Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $104.9000 (-6.22%) ($103.5400 - $110.0000) on Mon. Aug. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.5% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $104.9000(-6.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP declines -10.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    IBUY(7%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(3%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -3.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    XLE(-26%)    USO(-24%)    XME(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.25% (StdDev 6.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

Resistance Level   $131.12
5 Day Moving Average   $115.18(-8.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $121.75(-13.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.12(-20%)
To recent high   -36.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 9.95% (three month std-dev: 6.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.13%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.74%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 8.17%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.48%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.8%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.52%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2016	159.21	131.12	121.75	115.18	114.4	109.67	104.9(-6.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-74	-310	-58	-122	0.11	49%	-0.34	-27.1	6.5%	0	-2	35	0
2	Aug_12_2016	159.76	132.46	126.37	117.33	117	114.86	111.86(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-140	-43	-106	0.08	49%	-1.05	-30.4	6.49%	0	-1.8	35	0
3	Aug_11_2016	161.46	133.52	128.79	119.62	117.84	119.14	114.58(-8.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	30	-17	-90	0.1	49%	-1.09	-31.1	6.48%	0	-1.8	42	0
4	Aug_10_2016	163.24	134.34	131.97	122.46	120.02	119.15	124.79(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-110	6	-68	0.08	48%	-0.79	-34.4	6.41%	0	-1	46	0
5	Aug_9_2016	164.54	134.57	134.28	123.79	122.36	116.54	119.79(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-77	-370	-74	-85	0.07	48%	-0.83	-35.6	6.55%	0	-1.5	47	0

6	Aug_8_2016	165.92	134.75	136.42	129.63	128.19	120.89	115.63(-6.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-102	-430	-110	-76	0.14	48%	-0.85	-31.4	6.59%	0	-2	45	0
7	Aug_5_2016	167.34	136.08	139.79	136.88	136.59	128.18	123.33(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-70	-440	-84	-28	0.09	48%	-0.78	-6.5	6.57%	0	-1.5	51	0
8	Aug_4_2016	168.66	136.93	141.46	139.21	141.57	135.5	128.75(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-76	-250	-95	-19	0.1	48%	-0.83	2.5	6.6%	0	-1	53	0
9	Aug_3_2016	170.08	137.85	142.64	142.71	144.88	145.01	131.46(-11.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-19	50	-33	25	0.13	51%	-1.02	22.5	6.66%	0	-0.8	56	0
10	Aug_2_2016	171.83	138.29	142.96	146.13	146.39	147.63	148.96(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	60	32	68	0.08	55%	-0.91	33.5	6.72%	0	1.3	66	0

11	Aug_1_2016	173.4	137.88	141.32	144.29	144.85	144.74	151.88(12.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	14	10	-1	57	0.1	55%	-0.8	15.5	6.72%	0	1.7	72	0
12	Jul_29_2016	174.8	136.65	138.96	143.5	144.88	145.14	135(-7.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	11	40	-2	49	0.12	51%	-1.15	5.1	6.59%	0	-0.2	48	0
13	Jul_28_2016	176.84	136.71	138.63	144.04	145.45	144.96	146.25(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	10	16	54	0.06	54%	-1.06	14.6	6.52%	0	1.2	55	0
14	Jul_27_2016	178.74	135.99	136.82	142.54	143.25	144.61	148.54(6.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	80	8	34	0.11	51%	-1.25	11.1	6.6%	0	1.7	50	0
15	Jul_26_2016	181.01	135.54	134.66	139.29	140.89	145.93	139.79(-5.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	280	46	29	0.07	48%	-0.89	8.1	6.66%	0	0.6	51	0

16	Jul_25_2016	182.63	136.63	132.78	137.79	138.12	141.89	147.92(7.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	58	200	70	20	0.06	48%	-1.06	16.8	6.72%	0	1.2	53	0
17	Jul_22_2016	184.59	136.26	132.78	133.87	134.51	135.86	137.71(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	15	80	22	-7	0.07	43%	-1.34	6	6.68%	0	0.2	58	0
18	Jul_21_2016	187.1	135.59	131.78	132.42	132.89	134.35	138.75(4.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	90	20	-11	0.1	43%	-1.67	-12.6	6.81%	0	0.3	53	0
19	Jul_20_2016	190.27	135.17	132.39	130.29	131.41	133.15	132.29(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	120	25	-9	0.08	43%	-2.13	-24.5	6.79%	0	-0.3	52	0
20	Jul_19_2016	194.42	134.97	133.07	129.33	129.09	131.43	132.29(3.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	16	120	25	-13	0.03	43%	-2.28	-34	6.81%	0	-0.3	47	0

21	Jul_18_2016	198.96	135.05	134.02	126.92	127.55	129.66	128.33(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	10	130	24	-34	0.06	43%	-2.22	-45.5	6.86%	0	-0.7	36	0
22	Jul_15_2016	203.47	135.7	134.12	129.38	125.65	126.75	130.42(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-30	-5	-46	0.05	43%	-2.38	-39.7	6.88%	0	-0.5	48	0
23	Jul_14_2016	208.43	136.82	134.71	131.13	128.06	125.44	128.13(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-210	-19	-40	0.04	43%	-2.34	-20.8	6.91%	0	-0.8	56	0
24	Jul_13_2016	213.42	137.6	135.25	134.96	131.96	124.56	127.5(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-460	-66	-45	0.13	43%	-2.47	-1.8	6.91%	0	-1	53	0
25	Jul_12_2016	218.82	138.42	136.7	137.42	135.67	130.69	120.21(-14.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-80	-300	-94	-39	0.17	39%		15.7	6.88%	0	-1.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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