Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $147.2900 (5.37%) ($129.7500 - $150.4200) on Thu. Jul. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.18% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $147.2900(5.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(3%)    IBUY(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -3.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-29%)    OIH(-28%)    XLE(-26%)    USO(-24%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.59% (StdDev 7.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $138.71(6.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $139.89(5.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.04(5.93%)
To recent high   -43.6%
To recent low   24%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 7.18% (three month std-dev: 7.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.61%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2016	233.71	139.04	139.89	138.71	139.37	141.95	147.29(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	140	5	7	0.09	40%	-1.79	23.1	7.18%	0	0.8	49	INF
2	Jul_6_2016	237.96	137.8	138.17	135.75	138.55	142.55	139.79(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	260	49	7	0.06	40%	-2.15	7.6	7.14%	0	0.2	51	INF
3	Jul_5_2016	243.19	136.83	136.98	136.13	136.18	136.8	142.5(11.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	30	1	-19	0.11	40%	-1.99	-1	7.23%	0	0.5	52	INF
4	Jul_1_2016	248.14	136.15	136.03	140.63	137.6	134.55	127.92(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-220	-40	-27	0.09	36%	-2.2	3.8	7.04%	0	-0.7	46	INF
5	Jun_30_2016	253.73	136.79	137.41	143.54	143.86	135.57	136.04(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-400	-35	-16	0.08	36%	-1.99	10.4	7.01%	0	-0.1	50	INF

6	Jun_29_2016	258.88	136.77	139.07	140.96	144.89	140.65	132.5(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-59	-120	-71	-22	0.06	36%	-1.9	1.9	7%	0	-0.4	58	INF
7	Jun_28_2016	263.89	137	140.19	140.46	142.49	152.16	141.67(-14.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	520	48	36	0.05	36%	-1.58	-6.5	6.98%	0	0.4	62	INF
8	Jun_27_2016	268.14	136.95	140.31	137.54	137.71	149.14	165(15.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	144	580	163	87	0.09	39%	-1.34	-19.9	6.78%	0	2.5	72	INF
9	Jun_24_2016	271.77	135.73	137.89	131.21	131.3	132.81	142.5(15.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	53	80	60	32	0.11	33%	-1.2	-47.6	6.52%	0	0.7	59	INF
10	Jun_23_2016	275.07	135.67	137.7	130.96	129.19	126.28	123.13(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-200	-63	-16	0.05	32%	-1.22	-56.7	6.19%	0	-1.3	43	INF

11	Jun_22_2016	278.47	136.56	138.08	137.17	133.31	129.78	130(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-40	-270	-55	4	0.07	32%	-1.43	-50.3	6.45%	0	-0.7	49	INF
12	Jun_21_2016	282.51	137.71	137.49	139.83	140.06	132.09	127.08(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-43	-390	-58	4	0.09	32%	-1.23	-39.2	6.44%	0	-1.1	47	INF
13	Jun_20_2016	286.02	139.19	136.97	143.08	143.16	136.85	133.33(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-84	-310	-107	-16	0.06	32%	-1.04	-29.2	6.42%	0	-0.6	47	INF
14	Jun_17_2016	289.04	140.31	136.63	145.25	146.38	148.02	141.25(-8.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	100	-15	20	0.09	32%	-1.24	-27.8	6.39%	0	0.1	49	INF
15	Jun_16_2016	292.67	141.16	136.42	145.29	147.09	149.48	154.17(7.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	69	150	74	55	0.11	32%	-1.37	-26.7	6.35%	0	1.1	56	INF

16	Jun_15_2016	296.74	141.18	134.33	139.21	142.29	144.74	143.33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	27	190	32	11	0.11	28%	-1.43	-41.3	6.4%	0	0.2	53	INF
17	Jun_14_2016	301.04	141.55	133.52	134.83	137.67	144.69	143.33(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	420	82	4	0.08	28%	-1.84	-55.3	6.41%	0	0.1	43	INF
18	Jun_13_2016	306.68	142.2	133.16	129.92	130.65	139.85	144.17(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	74	510	104	-15	0.08	28%	-1.4	-73	6.44%	0	0.2	42	INF
19	Jun_10_2016	311.03	143.34	132.97	126.83	125.3	130.65	141.46(14.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	44	260	73	-43	0.11	26%	-1.65	-73.9	6.63%	0	-0.1	41	INF
20	Jun_9_2016	316.24	144.3	132.9	126.58	124.54	121.46	123.75(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-220	-9	-91	0.08	19%	-2.23	-74.5	6.34%	0	-1.4	24	INF

21	Jun_8_2016	323.45	146.22	134.58	128.92	127.69	119.95	121.46(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-102	-450	-94	-127	0.13	30%	-2.14	-79.6	6.42%	0	-1.8	24	INF
22	Jun_7_2016	330.53	148.48	137.83	131.96	133.4	127.63	118.75(-7.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-90	-270	-85	-104	0.11	28%	-0.66	-80.9	7.16%	0	-2.3	28	INF
23	Jun_6_2016	332.71	151.93	141.75	136.54	138.37	135.44	128.75(-8.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-110	-41	-73	0.1	29%	-1.77	-58.8	7.25%	0	-1.7	29	INF
24	Jun_3_2016	338.7	154.31	144.56	139.75	140.48	139.17	140.21(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-50	-24	-63	0.06	27%	-1.49	-45.5	7.31%	0	-1	29	INF
25	Jun_2_2016	343.84	155.81	146.49	140.25	142.45	141.3	135.42(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10	-3	-53	0.08	25%		-37.4	7.46%	0	-1.5	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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