Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $154.1700 (7.56%) ($150.2100 - $162.7100) on Thu. Jun. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.35% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $154.1700(7.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(3%)    BNDX(2%)    IBUY(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -3.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-29%)    OIH(-29%)    XLE(-27%)    USO(-24%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.175% (StdDev 6.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $145.29(6.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.42(13.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $141.16(9.22%)
To recent high   -47%
To recent low   29.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 8.16% (three month std-dev: 6.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.57%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.98%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -8.5%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 9.44%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.04%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2016	292.67	141.16	136.42	145.29	147.09	149.48	154.17(7.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	69	150	74	55	0.11	32%	-1.37	-26.7	6.35%	0	1.1	56	INF
2	Jun_15_2016	296.74	141.18	134.33	139.21	142.29	144.74	143.33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	27	190	32	11	0.11	28%	-1.43	-41.3	6.4%	0	0.2	53	INF
3	Jun_14_2016	301.04	141.55	133.52	134.83	137.67	144.69	143.33(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	420	82	4	0.08	28%	-1.84	-55.3	6.41%	0	0.1	43	INF
4	Jun_13_2016	306.68	142.2	133.16	129.92	130.65	139.85	144.17(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	74	510	104	-15	0.08	28%	-1.4	-73	6.44%	0	0.2	42	INF
5	Jun_10_2016	311.03	143.34	132.97	126.83	125.3	130.65	141.46(14.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	44	260	73	-43	0.11	26%	-1.65	-73.9	6.63%	0	-0.1	41	INF

6	Jun_9_2016	316.24	144.3	132.9	126.58	124.54	121.46	123.75(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-220	-9	-91	0.08	19%	-2.23	-74.5	6.34%	0	-1.4	24	INF
7	Jun_8_2016	323.45	146.22	134.58	128.92	127.69	119.95	121.46(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-102	-450	-94	-127	0.13	30%	-2.14	-79.6	6.42%	0	-1.8	24	INF
8	Jun_7_2016	330.53	148.48	137.83	131.96	133.4	127.63	118.75(-7.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-90	-270	-85	-104	0.11	28%	-0.66	-80.9	7.16%	0	-2.3	28	INF
9	Jun_6_2016	332.71	151.93	141.75	136.54	138.37	135.44	128.75(-8.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-110	-41	-73	0.1	29%	-1.77	-58.8	7.25%	0	-1.7	29	INF
10	Jun_3_2016	338.7	154.31	144.56	139.75	140.48	139.17	140.21(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-50	-24	-63	0.06	27%	-1.49	-45.5	7.31%	0	-1	29	INF

11	Jun_2_2016	343.84	155.81	146.49	140.25	142.45	141.3	135.42(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10	-3	-53	0.08	25%	-1.72	-37.4	7.46%	0	-1.5	32	INF
12	Jun_1_2016	349.85	158.15	148.77	141.17	142.01	141.8	136.67(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	10	-20	-58	0.08	25%	-1.48	-20.1	7.7%	0	-1.6	34	INF
13	May_31_2016	355.12	159.89	150.42	144.67	142.6	143.6	141.67(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	10	-10	-51	0.07	25%	-1.9	-5.9	7.58%	0	-1.4	34	INF
14	May_27_2016	362.01	160.46	152.12	147.83	146.12	142.22	144.79(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-220	-14	-57	0.05	25%	-1.16	-3	7.72%	0	-1.3	27	INF
15	May_26_2016	366.25	160.71	154.54	150.21	149.64	141.6	142.71(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-80	-390	-80	-80	0.05	25%	-1.05	-0.5	7.77%	0	-1.5	35	INF

16	May_25_2016	370.14	161.01	156.57	153.75	154.88	150.01	140(-9.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-74	-200	-74	-72	0.11	25%	-0.8	-2.3	7.79%	0	-1.6	37	INF
17	May_24_2016	373.14	160.93	158.86	157.34	159.83	157.68	154.17(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-50	-12	-47	0.08	26%	-0.76	-6.4	7.74%	0	-0.5	37	INF
18	May_23_2016	375.98	160.65	160.02	156.88	159.71	159.75	157.5(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	60	-9	-50	0.05	31%	-0.59	-17.4	7.75%	0	-0.2	46	INF
19	May_20_2016	378.23	160.83	162.84	157.04	158.32	161.97	156.67(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	190	12	-25	0.04	29%	-0.75	-26.6	8.11%	0	-0.3	57	INF
20	May_19_2016	381.1	160.78	164.73	159.67	157.76	159.67	160.42(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	21	50	28	-1	0.08	29%	-0.84	-35.9	8.18%	0	-0	59	INF

21	May_18_2016	384.33	161.32	165.72	160.04	158.25	154.66	157.92(3.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-190	-10	-5	0.07	32%	-0.74	-41.3	8.22%	0	-0.3	59	INF
22	May_17_2016	387.2	161.76	168.1	160.73	158.73	155.85	151.88(-4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-38	-160	-50	-0	0.09	31%	-0.81	-47.3	8.35%	0	-0.7	63	INF
23	May_16_2016	390.36	162.89	170.12	163.52	161.5	161.85	158.33(-6.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-20	-24	27	0.07	31%	-0.61	-42.9	8.48%	0	-0.3	58	INF
24	May_13_2016	392.77	164.31	169.59	169.48	166.26	161.6	169.79(4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-250	-17	42	0.08	31%	-0.64	-40	8.49%	0	0.3	55	INF
25	May_12_2016	395.29	165.59	167.49	170.73	171.3	161.15	162.29(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-50	-400	-74	21	0.06	31%		-44.3	8.52%	0	-0.2	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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