Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $560.0000 (6.79%) ($500.8300 - $574.8600) on Thu. Jan. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.15% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $560.0000(6.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    VIXM(7%)    BNDX(2%)    SHY(2%)    XHB(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -4.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-30%)    OIH(-29%)    XLE(-28%)    USO(-25%)    IWN(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.075% (StdDev 8.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $477.21(17.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $459.22(21.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $461.63(21.31%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   133.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 11.26% (three month std-dev: 8.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 13.25%(50%) Average negative next day return: -9.65%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -13.41%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.93%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.86%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2016	361.28	461.63	459.22	477.21	481.87	524.38	560(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	364	650	435	152	0.01	67%	0.62	60	8.15%	0	1.9	62	INF
2	Jan_6_2016	359.05	453.49	454.01	459.79	458.02	469.37	524.38(20.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	187	160	227	66	0.02	63%	0.53	67.2	8.13%	0	1.4	62	INF
3	Jan_5_2016	357.17	447.54	454.73	442.36	449.19	439.37	434.43(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-110	-43	-45	0	56%	0.25	73.2	8.03%	0	-0.3	51	INF
4	Jan_4_2016	356.28	443.47	463.79	447	447.87	446.67	431.98(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-75	-10	-85	-43	0.01	56%	0.25	83.1	8.29%	0	-0.2	55	INF
5	Dec_31_2015	355.4	438.35	470.73	442.85	451.46	459	435.26(-7.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	87	180	101	46	0.01	52%	0.27	71	8.59%	0	-0.1	62	INF

6	Dec_30_2015	354.46	432.41	473.59	436.79	439.94	449.06	472.92(8.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	170	28	21	0.01	50%	0.4	65.1	8.54%	0	0.6	62	INF
7	Dec_29_2015	353.05	422.78	469.67	447.68	438.85	443.92	437.19(-4.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-13	20	-22	14	0	50%	0.29	62.6	8.58%	0	0.2	58	INF
8	Dec_28_2015	352.04	415.28	472.05	470.15	463.83	430.82	457.66(11.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-77	-540	-106	9	0.01	53%	0.37	66.7	8.56%	0	0.5	59	INF
9	Dec_24_2015	350.75	406.75	469.4	484.54	487.1	433.78	411.2(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-378	-750	-468	-107	0	51%	0.21	70.6	8.61%	0	0.1	64	INF
10	Dec_23_2015	350.01	399.93	466.99	502.46	513.89	496.84	405(-23.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-210	-160	-280	0	0.01	53%	0.2	75.1	8.61%	0	0.1	67	INF

11	Dec_22_2015	349.32	393.23	467.25	513.03	520.24	540.41	527.34(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	168	310	152	214	0.01	57%	0.65	75.6	8.15%	0	1.4	81	INF
12	Dec_21_2015	347.06	381.05	454.61	493.35	497.49	530.93	549.53(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	301	500	305	287	0	57%	0.75	73.5	8.15%	0	1.8	86	INF
13	Dec_18_2015	344.47	367.82	439.81	474.55	468.64	500.06	529.64(5.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	296	430	295	299	0.01	59%	0.7	73.3	8.15%	0	1.9	83	INF
14	Dec_17_2015	342.06	354.72	420.73	453.55	451.5	464.05	500.78(9.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	257	180	250	277	0.01	59%	0.61	69.4	8.23%	0	1.9	81	INF
15	Dec_16_2015	339.98	342.2	402.18	427.46	431.6	437.22	457.86(6.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	85	120	51	187	0.01	55%	0.47	61.3	8.16%	0	1.7	81	INF

16	Dec_15_2015	338.4	332.68	386.89	414.54	417.07	438.94	428.96(-5.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	143	390	119	214	0.01	55%	0.36	62	8.35%	0	1.5	80	INF
17	Dec_14_2015	337.18	324.04	371.43	409.26	406.44	425.98	455.52(7.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	223	320	213	251	0.01	56%	0.48	63.9	8.34%	0	2.1	74	INF
18	Dec_11_2015	335.56	315.46	353.17	400.01	400.05	395.19	424.64(14.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	98	-80	68	186	0.01	56%	0.37	72.9	8.34%	0	2	70	INF
19	Dec_10_2015	334.32	308.9	338.36	383.16	397.87	386.91	370.31(-5.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-80	-56	122	0	53%	0.15	78.2	8.18%	0	1.3	68	INF
20	Dec_9_2015	333.82	304.08	327.74	372.11	385.26	404.9	393.28(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	460	65	162	0.01	55%	0.26	77.7	8.15%	0	1.9	75	INF

21	Dec_8_2015	332.97	296.43	314.03	353.93	364.54	408.82	402.55(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	371	940	404	270	0.01	55%	0.3	70.3	8.2%	0	2.5	71	INF
22	Dec_7_2015	331.96	288.29	301.85	327.07	331.72	365.61	409.27(20.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	369	760	411	241	0.01	55%	0.34	56	8.22%	0	3.3	74	INF
23	Dec_4_2015	330.82	279.94	289.31	300.05	300.78	320.27	340.4(8.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	192	460	214	125	0.01	51%	0.04	42.3	7.89%	0	2.5	57	INF
24	Dec_3_2015	330.68	275.09	282.56	287.68	284.69	297.84	315.05(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	125	290	143	71	0.01	50%	-0.07	18.6	7.85%	0	1.9	52	INF
25	Dec_2_2015	330.91	271.76	276.71	276.87	277.38	281.29	302.4(12.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	81	100	97	31	0.01	50%		-11.5	7.83%	0	1.6	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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