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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020



Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(Dollar Tree)

DLTR latest price $111.6900 (0.31%) ($109.9000 - $112.9300) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  DLTR advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  DLTR advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0.9% a week (48% probability)
  XLY(52%)    XLC(49%)    VT(47%)    SPY(46%)    EWI(44%)  
Factors Impacting DLTR price  DLTR will advance at least 0.5% in a week (24% probabilities).
  VXX(-32%)    UUP(-25%)    VIXM(-24%)    IGOV(-14%)    FEX(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.9
 
Relative Volatility   3.8 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1.7
Hourly Trend   7.08% [$110.83(7.21), $103.5(4.36)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.03% [$111.32, $111.35]


DLTR Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  83%
Bullish Price Move  2.4%
Bearish Probability  17%
Bearish Price Move  -2.4%
Recommended Position Size  28%
Latest Price  $111.6900
Next Day Open Price  $111.62(-0.06%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $114.53(2.54%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $108.23 - $116.1
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $96.19
5 Day Moving Average  $102.03(9.47%)
10 Day Moving Average  $98.44(13.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $96.19(16.11%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  29.9%
Market Cap  $26.493b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 3, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $109.83 ($90.00 - $140.00)
  23 analysts (last updated on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -1.67%
% to Low Target Price  -19.42%
% to High Target Price  25.35%
 


  
 
 


Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 5.63% (three month std-dev: 2.44%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DLTR price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_25_20200%-29.9% 2.6%,0.5(0.2)4%,0.7(0.4)3.7%,0.74.2-0.03%2.3%2.91.72.92.3NAN%1.43.63   111.69(0.31%)109.9-112.93Growing Uptrend 114.53(2.54%)108.23-116.180
2Nov_24_20200%-29.5% 1.3%,0.3(0.3)1.9%,0.4(0.4)3.7%,0.93.30.16%1.6%42.63.71.8NAN%1.59.45   111.34(14.08%)104.98-112.78Growing Uptrend 112.15(0.73%)107.74-113.2679
3Nov_23_2020-6.4%-13.5% 0.2%,0.1(0.1)-0.1%,-0(-0.1)0.5%,0.21.8-0.05%0.8%22.30.41.1NAN%1.32.78   97.6(2.82%)95.23-98.06Range Bound 96.98(-0.64%)96.1-97.6964
4Nov_20_2020-9%-10.4% -0.1%,-0(0)0.1%,0.1(-0.3)-0%,-00.6-0.2%0.8%0.70.4-0.71NAN%1.41.68   94.93(0.38%)94.02-96.92Range Bound 94.7(-0.24%)94.43-94.9367
5Nov_19_2020-9.3%-10% -0.1%,-0(0.1)0.6%,0.4(-0.1)0.3%,0.2-0.60.2%0.8%0.50.9-1.21NAN%1.71.6   94.57(0.99%)92.5-94.8N/A 94.48(-0.09%)94.08-94.8268
 
6Nov_18_2020-10.2%-8.9% -0.3%,-0.2(-0)0.8%,0.5(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.1-0.9-0.26%0.9%-0.1-0.7-1.61NAN%1.91.87   93.64(-0.17%)93.6-95.56N/A 93.83(0.2%)93.76-93.8958
7Nov_17_2020-10%-9.1% -0.3%,-0.1(0)1.4%,0.8(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.10.6-0.25%1.1%-0-0.7-2.21NAN%1.81.53   93.8(-1.76%)93.48-95.15N/A 94.01(0.22%)93.8-94.1863
8Nov_16_2020-8.4%-11% -0.3%,-0.1(0)1.6%,0.9(0)-0.1%,-00.90.05%1%0.9-0.1-1.91NAN%1.91.69   95.48(0.52%)94.95-95.98N/A 95.36(-0.13%)94.58-9658
9Nov_13_2020-8.9%-10.5% -0.3%,-0.1(-0.1)1.6%,0.9(0.2)-0.1%,-0.1-0.60.29%0.6%0.70-1.91NAN%1.11.45   94.99(1.99%)93.39-95.05Uptrend Reversal 95.54(0.58%)95.08-95.8558
10Nov_12_2020-10.7%-8.3% -0.1%,-0.1(-0.2)1.2%,0.6(-0)-0.4%,-0.2-1.80.02%0.1%-0.4-1.6-2.51.1NAN%0.71.87   93.14(-1.24%)92.59-94.71N/A 93.53(0.42%)93.54-93.5443
 
11Nov_11_2020-9.6%-9.7% 0.2%,0.1(-0.2)1.3%,0.7(0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-1.2-0.64%-0.1%0.2-1.4-2.81.1NAN%1.31.5   94.31(-0.59%)94.15-96.13Uptrend 94.54(0.24%)94.22-94.6752
12Nov_10_2020-9%-10.3% 0.5%,0.3(-0.2)1%,0.5(0.2)0.3%,0.10.6-0.07%-0.5%0.4-0.3-2.41.1NAN%0.71.78   94.87(-1.04%)93.92-96.07Uptrend 95.09(0.23%)94.73-95.2549
13Nov_9_2020-8.1%-11.5% 0.8%,0.4(0)0.6%,0.3(0.4)1%,0.50.9-0.11%-0.8%0.90.6-1.71.1NAN%-0.42.41   95.87(0.36%)95.86-101.25Uptrend 96.03(0.17%)95.54-96.2550
14Nov_6_2020-8.4%-11.1% 0.8%,0.4(0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(0.3)1.1%,0.60.60.27%-1.2%0.81.1-0.31.1NAN%1.91.54   95.53(0.38%)93.59-95.99N/A 95.31(-0.23%)94.69-95.8150
15Nov_5_2020-8.7%-10.7% 0.6%,0.3(0.1)-0.8%,-0.4(0.3)0.7%,0.42.40.18%-1.1%0.60.9-0.41.1NAN%0.91.45   95.17(-0.09%)93.95-96.34N/A 94.91(-0.27%)94.6-95.1748
 
16Nov_4_2020-8.6%-10.8% 0.4%,0.2(0.2)-1.5%,-0.7(0.3)1%,0.52.7-0.27%-1.2%0.71.30.81.2NAN%0.51.61   95.26(1.71%)92.85-96.79Downtrend 95.04(-0.23%)95.06-95.0145
17Nov_3_2020-10.2%-8.9% 0.1%,0.1(0)-2.1%,-0.9(0.1)0.2%,0.10.9-0.29%-1%01.41.11.4NAN%-1.61.89   93.66(2.78%)91.75-94.94Downtrend 93.19(-0.5%)92.99-93.6646
18Nov_2_2020-12.6%-6% 0%,0(-0)-2.4%,-0.9(-0)-0.3%,-0.1-0.60.33%-0.6%-1-0.50.61.4NAN%-2.51.25   91.13(0.8%)89.79-91.57Correction 88.77(-2.59%)88.38-90.3334
19Oct_30_2020-13.3%-5.1% 0.1%,0(-0.2)-2.3%,-0.9(-0.3)-1.1%,-0.4-0.6-0.2%-0.2%-1.2-1.40.91.5NAN%-2.21.42   90.41(-1.63%)89.14-91.51Correction 87.85(-2.83%)87.44-89.536
20Oct_29_2020-11.9%-6.9% 0.4%,0.2(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.6(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.2-1.20.49%0.3%-0.6-0.81.31.4NAN%-2.41.34   91.91(1.46%)90.15-92.57Correction 90.19(-1.87%)89.87-91.4647
 
21Oct_28_2020-13.1%-5.3% 0.7%,0.3(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.4(-0.4)-0.9%,-0.4-1.2-0.02%0.8%-1.2-1.91.21.4NAN%-2.41.59   90.59(-2.42%)90.52-92.88Correction 89.29(-1.44%)89.02-90.3751
22Oct_27_2020-11%-8% 1.2%,0.5(-0.1)0%,0(-0.4)-0.6%,-0.2-0.9-0.01%1.3%-0.3-1.20.51.5NAN%-0.61.26   92.84(0.35%)92.59-94.05Downtrend Reversal 92.12(-0.78%)91.9-92.9660
23Oct_26_2020-11.3%-7.6% 1.5%,0.6(-0.2)1.1%,0.4(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.2-0.3-0.06%1.8%-0.3-1.70.11.5NAN%-0.21.57   92.52(-3.06%)92.03-94.91Uptrend Consolidation 92.8(0.3%)92.76-92.9264
24Oct_23_2020-8.5%-11% 2%,0.7(-0)2%,0.7(-0.1)-0%,-0-0.3-0.15%2.2%0.9-0.611.6NAN%0.82.03   95.44(1.76%)93.81-96.05Uptrend Consolidation 94.95(-0.51%)94.53-96.2267
25Oct_22_2020-10.1%-9.1% 2.1%,0.7(-0.1)2.3%,0.8(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.2-0.6-0.32%2.4%0.3-2.20.11.7NAN%0.61.63   93.79(-1.09%)93.58-95.18Uptrend Consolidation 93.71(-0.08%)93.39-94.6860
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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