Trading Signals: DISCA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: DISCA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Apr. 1, 2022)

(Discovery Inc)
DISCA latest price $29.5500 (2.6%) ($28.7300 - $29.7200) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $29.5500(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DISCA advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DISCA advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DISCA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(54%)    IWN(49%)    IVE(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting DISCA price   DISCA will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-13%)    TIP(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.03(5.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.71(6.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.57(7.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $14.48b

$. DISCA price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.04%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.93%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.53%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2016	26.24	27.57	27.71	28.03	28.04	28.75	29.55(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	51	180	50	52	2.83	64%	0.19	74.3	1.85%	0	2.6	60	INF
2	Dec_7_2016	26.19	27.38	27.47	27.55	27.47	27.93	28.8(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	28	110	34	11	2.62	63%	0.11	67.5	1.83%	0	2.1	59	INF
3	Dec_6_2016	26.16	27.23	27.32	27.2	27.21	27.34	27.79(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	30	10	-26	2.19	56%	0.11	54.5	1.78%	0	0.8	49	INF
4	Dec_5_2016	26.13	27.13	27.29	27.18	27.19	27.01	27.39(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-50	-1	-41	3.07	56%	0.08	45.7	1.81%	0	0.3	39	INF
5	Dec_2_2016	26.11	27.04	27.3	27.14	27.26	27.08	26.6(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-30	-17	-39	2.43	54%	0.04	40.3	1.79%	0	-0.5	55	INF

6	Dec_1_2016	26.1	27.01	27.44	27.33	27.35	27.36	27.15(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	0	-5	-1	2.91	56%	0.08	43.1	1.77%	0	0.2	63	INF
7	Nov_30_2016	26.08	26.92	27.49	27.37	27.39	27.45	27.09(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	20	1	24	2.77	56%	0.04	35	1.76%	0	0.2	63	INF
8	Nov_29_2016	26.07	26.86	27.57	27.44	27.36	27.34	27.65(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10	1	53	2.65	59%	0.12	34.6	1.74%	0	0.8	69	INF
9	Nov_28_2016	26.04	26.78	27.63	27.42	27.39	27.32	27.22(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-20	-6	83	2.47	59%	0.04	32.4	1.73%	0	0.5	69	INF
10	Nov_25_2016	26.03	26.72	27.57	27.48	27.49	27.39	27.54(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-20	-8	98	0.65	59%	0.12	30.3	1.73%	0	0.8	71	INF

11	Nov_23_2016	26	26.65	27.43	27.58	27.58	27.47	27.35(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-7	113	1.9	59%	0.12	37.2	1.72%	0	0.8	68	INF
12	Nov_22_2016	25.97	26.6	27.3	27.63	27.68	27.59	27.46(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-20	-7	129	3.22	59%	0.08	43.9	1.72%	0	0.9	73	INF
13	Nov_21_2016	25.95	26.53	27.15	27.7	27.74	27.69	27.55(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10	-10	137	2	59%	0.08	52.5	1.73%	0	1.1	65	INF
14	Nov_18_2016	25.93	26.48	26.96	27.86	27.82	27.77	27.5(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	45	-20	9	154	2.59	59%	0.08	67.2	1.73%	0	1.2	61	INF
15	Nov_17_2016	25.91	26.43	26.78	27.65	27.75	27.8	28.03(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	20	23	147	3.58	63%	0.15	69.6	1.71%	0	1.9	68	INF

16	Nov_16_2016	25.87	26.3	26.55	27.25	27.31	27.88	27.63(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	150	28	115	2.68	63%	0.15	62	1.73%	0	1.7	61	INF
17	Nov_15_2016	25.83	26.2	26.31	26.9	26.86	27.7	27.8(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	210	56	87	5.46	63%	0.16	48.9	1.73%	0	2.2	59	INF
18	Nov_14_2016	25.79	26.07	26.09	26.51	26.25	26.73	28.35(7.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	54	100	54	54	7.01	66%	0.16	30.4	1.71%	0	3.5	66	INF
19	Nov_11_2016	25.75	25.9	25.84	25.95	25.8	26.03	26.44(1.58%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	11	50	18	-12	3.24	59%	0	-7.8	1.47%	0	1.3	46	INF
20	Nov_10_2016	25.75	25.85	25.77	25.79	25.76	25.76	26.03(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-0	10	-40	4.52	57%	0	-39	1.46%	0	0.4	41	INF

21	Nov_9_2016	25.75	25.83	25.78	25.74	25.72	25.57	25.9(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-40	0	-44	3.13	54%	0	-65.4	1.46%	0	0.2	53	INF
22	Nov_8_2016	25.75	25.84	25.82	25.6	25.75	25.76	25.85(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-13	20	-2	-45	3.44	54%	0	-88	1.49%	0	0	54	INF
23	Nov_7_2016	25.75	25.87	25.85	25.59	25.69	25.87	25.55(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	60	-1	-33	3.78	54%	0	-86	1.48%	0	-0.6	56	INF
24	Nov_4_2016	25.75	25.94	25.96	25.7	25.63	25.75	25.64(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	20	5	-3	5.61	54%	0	-74.5	1.48%	0	-0.5	56	INF
25	Nov_3_2016	25.75	26.01	26.05	25.75	25.67	25.51	25.78(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-50	-6	14	5	54%		-59.7	1.49%	0	-0.3	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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