Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $107.9778 (-1.9%) ($107.9778 - $110.5470) on Wed. Dec. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $107.9778(-1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(69%)    PEJ(69%)    IVE(68%)    SPY(68%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    XHB(-3%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.14(-1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.94(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.84(2.99%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $192.308b

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(57%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 3.11%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(57%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2017	99.58	104.84	106.94	109.14	109.52	109.43	107.98(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	39	0	7	135	8.66	65%	0	67.9	1.15%	0	1	65	INF
2	Dec_19_2017	99.58	104.47	106.47	108.73	109.14	109.66	110.06(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	40	41	144	10.55	70%	0.02	64.3	1.12%	0	1.7	69	INF
3	Dec_18_2017	99.56	103.97	105.9	107.87	108.2	109.62	109.3(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	103	100	85	157	12.27	70%	0.02	57.6	1.12%	0	1.7	71	INF
4	Dec_15_2017	99.54	103.54	105.67	107.04	107.23	108.62	109.53(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	156	100	143	194	19.98	70%	0.02	52.4	1.12%	0	2.1	73	INF
5	Dec_14_2017	99.52	103.1	104.98	105.66	105.85	106.78	108.84(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	108	70	94	149	27.57	70%	0.05	46.1	1.12%	0	2.3	72	INF

6	Dec_13_2017	99.47	102.69	104.31	104.45	104.69	105.84	105.93(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	80	74	121	10.37	66%	0.02	43.8	1.08%	0	1.5	68	INF
7	Dec_12_2017	99.45	102.42	103.99	103.86	103.92	104.93	105.75(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	89	70	79	117	8.15	66%	0.01	41.4	1.09%	0	1.6	66	INF
8	Dec_11_2017	99.44	102.23	103.52	103.65	103.5	103.55	105.16(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-0	10	89	7.43	66%	0.01	51.9	1.09%	0	1.6	66	INF
9	Dec_8_2017	99.43	102.07	103.05	104.14	103.9	102.91	102.6(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-70	-51	82	6.54	63%	-0.03	80.6	1.05%	0	0.3	57	INF
10	Dec_7_2017	99.46	101.96	102.84	104.18	104.77	103.45	102.79(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-29	-70	-64	76	9.95	53%	-0.01	90.9	1.05%	0	0.5	57	INF

11	Dec_6_2017	99.47	101.77	102.62	104.09	104.66	104.89	102.99(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	30	-41	69	8.12	53%	0	90.8	1.19%	0	0.6	57	INF
12	Dec_5_2017	99.47	101.59	102.39	104.05	104.31	106.1	104.7(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	113	130	107	129	13.06	56%	0.02	97.9	1.17%	0	1.6	66	INF
13	Dec_4_2017	99.45	101.27	101.95	103.31	103.4	104.42	107.63(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	144	70	151	122	17.82	63%	0.05	94.7	1.11%	0	3.3	69	INF
14	Dec_1_2017	99.4	100.69	101.22	101.85	101.95	102.52	102.78(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	40	34	28	9.26	53%	0.01	91.6	0.96%	0	1.3	50	INF
15	Nov_30_2017	99.39	100.36	101.04	101.34	101.41	102.39	102.36(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	70	78	33	9.95	49%	0	73.3	0.97%	0	1.1	62	INF

16	Nov_29_2017	99.39	100.09	100.91	100.94	100.84	101.37	102.77(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	30	70	30	14.5	49%	0.02	66.8	0.97%	0	1.4	71	INF
17	Nov_28_2017	99.37	99.73	100.69	100.5	100.84	100.43	100.98(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	-0	10	-1	8.4	44%	0	56	0.95%	0	0.6	62	INF
18	Nov_27_2017	99.37	99.48	100.8	100.37	100.44	100.3	100.38(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-9	-10	-14	8	4.01	44%	-0.01	49.8	0.94%	0	0.4	64	INF
19	Nov_24_2017	99.38	99.28	100.99	100.5	100.53	100.45	100.23(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-0	-15	46	2.22	44%	-0.04	47.1	0.95%	0	0.4	71	INF
20	Nov_22_2017	99.42	99.09	101.01	100.69	100.69	100.57	100.33(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-10	81	4.14	46%	0.01	46.7	0.95%	0	0.5	73	INF

21	Nov_21_2017	99.41	98.85	100.89	100.87	100.82	100.61	100.58(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-20	-13	98	5.73	46%	-0.03	47.6	0.97%	0	0.7	69	INF
22	Nov_20_2017	99.44	98.63	100.77	100.91	100.87	100.82	100.34(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-0	-24	119	5.11	46%	-0.03	48.4	0.97%	0	0.7	72	INF
23	Nov_17_2017	99.47	98.43	100.59	101.29	101.06	101.02	101.01(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	-9	157	7.5	46%	-0.01	54.9	0.97%	0	1.1	74	INF
24	Nov_16_2017	99.48	98.22	100.16	101.56	101.32	100.93	101.17(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-30	-16	168	6.41	46%	-0.03	64.3	0.98%	0	1.3	73	INF
25	Nov_15_2017	99.51	97.99	99.68	101.38	101.7	101.09	101.26(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-30	-13	167	5.69	46%		68.5	0.98%	0	1.4	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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