Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $96.8820 (0.79%) ($96.3059 - $96.9504) on Wed. Sep. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $96.8820(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(69%)    IVE(68%)    IWD(68%)    SPY(67%)    IWM(66%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-15%)    XHB(-3%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $97.52
5 Day Moving Average   $96.12(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.75(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.52(-0.65%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $172.547b

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.89%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2017	102.24	97.52	95.75	96.12	96.17	96.34	96.88(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	10	21	-72	6.46	33%	-0.14	-39.3	1.13%	0	-0.3	32	INF
2	Sep_19_2017	102.38	97.69	95.92	96.05	96	95.99	96.12(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-0	0	-89	6.97	33%	-0.16	-36.9	1.13%	0	-0.8	30	INF
3	Sep_18_2017	102.54	97.82	96.2	95.94	96.04	96	95.8(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	0	6	-96	7.01	33%	-0.16	-39.2	1.13%	0	-1	28	INF
4	Sep_15_2017	102.7	97.96	96.51	95.74	95.92	96.01	96.21(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	10	8	-107	23.87	33%	-0.17	-46.3	1.13%	0	-0.9	31	INF
5	Sep_14_2017	102.87	98.11	96.75	95.46	95.7	96.08	95.6(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	40	24	-113	9.71	33%	-0.16	-51.7	1.13%	0	-1.3	34	INF

6	Sep_13_2017	103.03	98.32	97.21	95.3	95.35	95.82	96.5(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	40	8	-121	7.62	33%	-0.16	-57.7	1.12%	0	-1	37	INF
7	Sep_12_2017	103.19	98.46	97.56	95.82	95.51	95.33	95.59(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-20	-18	-119	9.15	35%	-0.15	-64.6	1.12%	0	-1.5	26	INF
8	Sep_11_2017	103.34	98.65	98.02	96.54	96.44	94.88	94.81(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-90	-120	-80	-118	9.61	35%	-0.15	-71	1.12%	0	-2.2	34	INF
9	Sep_8_2017	103.5	98.9	98.56	97.41	97.48	95.7	94.79(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-137	-130	-146	-111	13.15	36%	-0.16	-83.6	1.14%	0	-2.7	38	INF
10	Sep_7_2017	103.67	99.14	99.04	98.21	98.65	98	94.78(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-87	-30	-94	-66	26.42	36%	-0.15	-119.8	1.15%	0	-3.8	35	INF

11	Sep_6_2017	103.83	99.44	99.52	99.35	99.37	99.27	99.12(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10	-15	-5	7.53	40%	-0.12	-219.7	1.02%	0	-0.5	46	INF
12	Sep_5_2017	103.95	99.68	99.64	99.56	99.68	99.3	99.22(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-20	-15	8	9.59	40%	-0.11	-116	1.03%	0	-0.4	51	INF
13	Sep_1_2017	104.06	99.89	99.62	99.74	99.82	99.46	99.12(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-28	-20	-39	4	7.83	39%	-0.11	-84	1.03%	0	-0.4	52	INF
14	Aug_31_2017	104.17	100.17	99.56	99.92	100.04	100.05	98.83(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	0	-7	16	9.82	39%	-0.11	-71.2	1.03%	0	-0.6	47	INF
15	Aug_30_2017	104.28	100.54	99.59	99.98	100.03	100.18	100.46(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	10	21	30	6.57	40%	-0.09	-65.6	1.01%	0	-0	59	INF

16	Aug_29_2017	104.37	100.79	99.51	99.72	99.76	100.02	100.16(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	20	8	14	6.01	40%	-0.09	-57.1	1.01%	0	-0.2	47	INF
17	Aug_28_2017	104.46	101.15	99.4	99.75	99.7	99.89	100.15(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	19	10	27	-6	5.63	40%	-0.09	-47.2	1.02%	0	-0.3	32	INF
18	Aug_25_2017	104.55	101.49	99.28	99.48	99.6	99.5	100.01(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-0	14	-46	6.19	42%	-0.1	-43.6	1.02%	0	-0.4	34	INF
19	Aug_24_2017	104.65	101.83	99.23	99.15	99.32	99.51	99.14(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	20	-4	-95	6.98	42%	-0.11	-41.1	1.02%	0	-0.7	28	INF
20	Aug_23_2017	104.76	102.24	99.22	99.12	99.17	99.69	99.12(-1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	40	27	-124	5.95	42%	-0.1	-39	1.02%	0	-0.9	25	INF

21	Aug_22_2017	104.86	102.51	99.33	99.26	99.12	99.12	100.36(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-0	28	-153	6.89	44%	-0.1	-38.9	1.01%	0	-0.6	29	INF
22	Aug_21_2017	104.96	102.7	99.68	99.01	99.13	98.65	98.8(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-30	-29	-208	6.49	41%	-0.1	-40.9	0.99%	0	-1.1	19	INF
23	Aug_18_2017	105.07	103	100.16	99.06	99.3	99.11	98.34(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-84	-10	-36	-229	6.89	42%	-0.11	-39.6	1%	0	-1.4	21	INF
24	Aug_17_2017	105.19	103.33	100.82	99.31	99.53	99.6	99(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-50	10	7	-220	6.61	41%	-0.09	-37.4	0.99%	0	-1.4	21	INF
25	Aug_16_2017	105.29	103.64	101.54	99.3	99.49	99.49	99.8(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	10	-1	-226	6.7	39%		-35.4	1.01%	0	-1.3	22	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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