Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jan. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $105.6370 (1.49%) ($104.4447 - $105.9956) on Sun. Jan. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $105.6370(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.54(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.69(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.01(3.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.84%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2017	93.21	102.01	102.69	103.54	103.86	104.57	105.64(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	100	60	98	107	9.55	81%	0.14	139.4	0.86%	0	2.8	74	0
2	Jan_5_2017	93.08	101.63	102.33	102.69	102.87	103.81	104.09(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	78	70	78	78	6.3	80%	0.12	163.1	0.84%	0	2.3	71	0
3	Jan_4_2017	92.97	101.28	102.12	102.09	102.17	103.15	104.14(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	96	70	103	75	8.32	80%	0.13	135	0.84%	0	2.4	72	0
4	Jan_3_2017	92.85	100.89	101.89	101.65	101.62	101.93	102.83(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	20	55	47	8.88	79%	0.1	107.8	0.83%	0	1.4	65	0
5	Dec_30_2016	92.76	100.51	101.68	101.47	101.43	101.2	101.02(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-20	-18	5	6.98	78%	0.08	69.8	0.81%	0	0.2	45	0

6	Dec_29_2016	92.69	100.24	101.71	101.7	101.59	101.31	101.35(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-20	-33	15	5.9	78%	0.09	66.9	0.82%	0	0.5	60	0
7	Dec_28_2016	92.61	99.96	101.67	101.9	101.78	101.66	101.1(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10	-23	46	5.18	78%	0.09	66.9	0.82%	0	0.4	71	0
8	Dec_27_2016	92.53	99.71	101.64	102.12	101.9	101.88	101.94(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-7	90	3.64	81%	0.11	70.3	0.81%	0	0.8	81	0
9	Dec_23_2016	92.43	99.38	101.54	102.15	102.02	101.91	101.92(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10	1	125	3.24	76%	0.12	68.4	0.83%	0	0.9	82	0
10	Dec_22_2016	92.32	99.04	101.5	101.91	102.13	101.92	102.19(-0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	-10	-1	163	5.23	77%	0.1	66	0.83%	0	1.1	86	0

11	Dec_21_2016	92.23	98.66	101.31	101.71	101.92	102.14	102.32(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	20	1	191	5.2	77%	0.12	62.3	0.84%	0	1.2	83	0
12	Dec_20_2016	92.12	98.25	100.91	101.41	101.75	102.35	102.22(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	102	50	60	227	8.95	77%	0.12	60.2	0.84%	0	1.4	82	0
13	Dec_19_2016	92.01	97.83	100.39	101.1	101.34	101.71	102.07(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	96	30	53	223	11.48	77%	0.11	57.9	0.84%	0	1.5	77	0
14	Dec_16_2016	91.91	97.44	99.82	100.86	101.34	101.15	100.72(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	58	20	7	210	12.64	76%	0.09	59	0.83%	0	1.2	76	0
15	Dec_15_2016	91.83	97.17	99.26	101.04	100.96	100.96	101.19(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	69	-0	17	225	8.75	76%	0.1	71	0.83%	0	1.5	80	0

16	Dec_14_2016	91.74	96.87	98.67	100.85	100.92	100.77	100.86(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	67	-10	14	226	7.96	76%	0.09	81.8	0.83%	0	1.6	80	0
17	Dec_13_2016	91.66	96.51	98.12	100.3	100.6	100.95	100.66(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	89	30	42	229	7.39	73%	0.08	86.2	0.83%	0	1.7	81	0
18	Dec_12_2016	91.59	96.18	97.63	99.53	99.74	101.07	100.87(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	145	100	113	241	7.88	74%	0.08	90.7	0.84%	0	2.1	83	0
19	Dec_9_2016	91.52	95.81	97.05	98.59	98.59	100.24	101.64(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	202	120	189	239	12.17	70%	0.08	100.5	0.85%	0	2.9	82	0
20	Dec_8_2016	91.45	95.29	96.35	97.21	97.24	98.41	100.21(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	152	90	148	162	16.52	68%	0.07	98.9	0.87%	0	2.8	69	0

21	Dec_7_2016	91.39	94.82	95.75	96.2	96.11	96.93	98.11(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	87	60	84	95	12.26	66%	0.03	100.6	0.83%	0	2.1	64	0
22	Dec_6_2016	91.36	94.46	95.33	95.65	95.6	96.08	96.83(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	30	60	64	8.43	64%	0	96.4	0.82%	0	1.5	66	0
23	Dec_5_2016	91.36	94.16	95.03	95.46	95.4	95.29	96.15(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10	16	37	11.33	64%	0	94.9	0.82%	0	1.2	62	0
24	Dec_2_2016	91.36	93.82	94.86	95.27	95.37	95.12	94.75(-0.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-16	-20	-26	16	7.74	62%	-0.01	75.8	0.81%	0	0.5	57	0
25	Dec_1_2016	91.37	93.58	94.93	95.33	95.4	95.5	95.17(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	10	-2	60	9.96	62%		70.5	0.81%	0	0.8	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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