Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $98.2763 (-0.35%) ($98.0280 - $99.4318) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $98.2763(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(67%)    IWD(67%)    PEJ(67%)    SPY(66%)    IWM(64%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.2(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.36(3.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.48(4.02%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $175.03b

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(63%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -0.96%(69%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.74%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	95.09	94.48	95.36	97.2	97.74	98.45	98.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	70	50	121	6.82	64%	-0.11	45.8	1.34%	0	1.9	62	0
2	Apr_20_2016	95.19	94.18	94.71	96.38	96.61	98.12	98.62(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	78	120	72	96	7.71	61%	-0.13	34.2	1.35%	0	2.4	62	0
3	Apr_19_2016	95.31	93.89	94.13	95.65	95.7	97.02	98.02(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	100	100	105	85	10.64	61%	-0.1	26.2	1.37%	0	2.7	62	0
4	Apr_18_2016	95.41	93.66	93.55	94.64	94.81	95.1	96.91(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	56	30	62	38	10.67	61%	-0.13	9.3	1.36%	0	2.7	61	0
5	Apr_15_2016	95.53	93.53	93.24	93.65	93.9	94.39	94.15(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	40	12	-6	6.15	50%	-0.02	-11.3	1.33%	0	0.6	52	0

6	Apr_14_2016	95.55	93.56	93.26	93.23	93.47	94.52	94.19(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	90	57	9	6.68	50%	-0.2	-11.7	1.49%	0	0.6	57	0
7	Apr_13_2016	95.74	93.55	93.3	92.76	92.83	93.41	95(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	38	50	49	3	7.97	47%	-0.19	-20.7	1.49%	0	1.4	63	0
8	Apr_12_2016	95.92	93.48	93.21	92.38	92.31	92.43	92.97(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	10	5	-18	6.28	46%	-0.23	-31.4	1.51%	0	-0.5	49	0
9	Apr_11_2016	96.14	93.55	93.29	92.31	92.41	92.24	91.94(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10	-6	-26	5.92	46%	-0.24	-35.8	1.51%	0	-1.6	38	0
10	Apr_8_2016	96.37	93.64	93.47	92.77	92.44	92.19	92.08(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-30	-32	-30	6.98	46%	-0.22	-27.6	1.52%	0	-1.7	35	0

11	Apr_7_2016	96.58	93.68	93.57	93.28	93.06	92.57	91.83(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-40	-23	-23	7.53	46%	-0.23	-21.3	1.52%	0	-2.1	32	0
12	Apr_6_2016	96.8	93.77	93.67	93.88	93.61	92.69	93.09(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-80	-42	-23	6.95	46%	-0.19	0	1.51%	0	-0.9	46	0
13	Apr_5_2016	96.98	93.79	93.69	94.15	94.13	93.54	92.63(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-39	-40	-45	-20	10.82	44%	-0.19	11.1	1.51%	0	-1.5	45	0
14	Apr_4_2016	97.16	93.9	93.84	94.38	94.59	94.52	94.24(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	0	0	2	5.33	44%	-0.15	42.5	1.52%	0	0.5	49	0
15	Apr_1_2016	97.31	93.89	93.87	94.26	94.34	94.72	94.61(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	30	12	9	5.9	44%	-0.17	56.3	1.53%	0	1	57	0

16	Mar_31_2016	97.48	93.87	93.9	93.91	94.09	94.66	94.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	50	41	21	7.04	44%	-0.17	63.3	1.55%	0	1.3	63	0
17	Mar_30_2016	97.65	93.76	93.81	93.44	93.48	93.96	94.46(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	40	25	7	5.68	44%	-0.17	53.8	1.55%	0	0.9	57	0
18	Mar_29_2016	97.82	93.7	93.74	93.18	93.12	93.51	93.74(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	30	17	-1	5.17	44%	-0.18	59.5	1.55%	0	0.1	52	0
19	Mar_28_2016	98	93.59	93.79	93.24	93.06	93	93.67(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10	3	-7	5.32	44%	-0.26	45.9	1.55%	0	0.1	43	0
20	Mar_24_2016	98.26	93.47	93.78	93.45	93.22	92.72	92.84(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-40	-32	-19	5.58	44%	-0.16	44.3	1.55%	0	-0.6	45	0

21	Mar_23_2016	98.42	93.41	93.79	93.91	93.86	93.12	92.47(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-60	-31	-14	5.52	44%	-0.17	53	1.55%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	Mar_22_2016	98.59	93.36	93.89	94.21	94.27	93.72	93.19(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-40	-33	-6	6.48	44%	-0.17	57.6	1.56%	0	-0.1	55	0
23	Mar_21_2016	98.76	93.27	93.93	94.34	94.41	94.6	94.03(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	20	-5	9	7.07	44%	-0.15	67.8	1.55%	0	0.6	54	0
24	Mar_18_2016	98.91	93.17	94	94.41	94.27	94.82	94.73(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	40	28	38	10.21	40%	-0.15	82.1	1.56%	0	1.1	66	0
25	Mar_17_2016	99.06	92.97	93.92	94.17	94.01	94.21	95.12(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	10	27	42	6.38	39%		92.2	1.63%	0	1.5	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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