Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $103.7613 (0.74%) ($102.1576 - $103.9603) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $103.7613(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(67%)    PEJ(67%)    SPY(66%)    IWM(64%)    VT(62%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $111.68
5 Day Moving Average   $108.41(-4.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.62(-6.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.68(-7.09%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $184.799b

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 5.09%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.07%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.5%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.41%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.82%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2015	105.44	111.68	110.62	108.41	106.73	103.06	103.76(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-136	-290	-131	-151	15.79	43%	0.02	-17.2	1.37%	0	-2.4	24	INF
2	Aug_6_2015	105.42	112.07	111.59	110.43	109.61	104.19	103(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-282	-370	-315	-183	57.18	41%	0.01	1.2	1.37%	0	-3.1	25	INF
3	Aug_5_2015	105.41	112.47	112.66	112.61	112.39	110.39	104.88(-9.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.5	-205	-130	-238	-107	61.01	44%	0.04	30.1	1.36%	0	-3.4	27	INF
4	Aug_4_2015	105.37	112.75	113.58	114.38	114.42	115.03	115.47(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	40	84	92	12.62	65%	0.14	83.5	0.71%	0	1.8	74	INF
5	Aug_3_2015	105.22	112.52	113.33	113.76	113.89	114.38	114.93(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	30	79	75	8.43	65%	0.14	87.8	0.71%	0	1.6	74	INF

6	Jul_31_2015	105.07	112.26	113.17	113.22	113.3	113.81	113.87(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	30	52	51	5.77	67%	0.12	87.8	0.71%	0	1.2	67	INF
7	Jul_30_2015	104.94	112.03	113.05	113.01	112.88	113.4	113.9(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	30	54	59	4.43	67%	0.16	82.6	0.73%	0	1.3	75	INF
8	Jul_29_2015	104.77	111.8	112.95	112.78	112.74	112.78	113.72(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	0	31	61	6.08	67%	0.16	82.4	0.75%	0	1.3	78	INF
9	Jul_28_2015	104.6	111.51	112.8	112.68	112.7	112.37	112.41(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-20	-34	53	6.45	64%	0.12	72.8	0.74%	0	0.5	76	INF
10	Jul_27_2015	104.47	111.24	112.8	112.84	112.9	112.69	112.21(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-10	-39	64	5.18	64%	0.14	64.8	0.74%	0	0.5	57	INF

11	Jul_24_2015	104.32	111.06	112.76	112.84	113.15	113.03	112.83(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-8	104	4.32	64%	0.13	72	0.73%	0	0.9	67	INF
12	Jul_23_2015	104.18	110.82	112.54	113.09	113.21	113.11	112.73(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-0	-7	116	3.35	64%	0.12	73.8	0.74%	0	0.9	70	INF
13	Jul_22_2015	104.05	110.56	112.26	113.14	113.1	113.27	113.23(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	36	10	5	128	4.71	64%	0.13	77.3	0.74%	0	1.2	71	INF
14	Jul_21_2015	103.92	110.29	111.89	112.94	113.01	113.32	113.21(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	20	44	150	4.79	64%	0.13	83.8	0.74%	0	1.4	76	INF
15	Jul_20_2015	103.78	109.99	111.67	112.66	112.74	112.93	113.47(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	10	36	168	6.95	67%	0.14	88.4	0.74%	0	1.7	80	INF

16	Jul_17_2015	103.63	109.62	111.29	112.37	112.39	112.71	112.79(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	20	29	162	5.11	67%	0.14	92.6	0.76%	0	1.5	66	INF
17	Jul_16_2015	103.48	109.32	110.93	111.91	112.2	112.54	112.98(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	91	30	66	166	6.3	67%	0.13	95.6	0.78%	0	1.8	68	INF
18	Jul_15_2015	103.35	108.93	110.54	111.26	111.66	112.07	112.25(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	40	45	146	4.85	67%	0.14	91.7	0.78%	0	1.7	69	INF
19	Jul_14_2015	103.21	108.56	110.09	110.67	111.19	111.86	111.83(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	60	62	131	5.06	67%	0.13	88.6	0.78%	0	1.6	64	INF
20	Jul_13_2015	103.08	108.17	109.59	110.52	110.7	111.25	112.02(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	40	71	129	7.6	67%	0.14	86.8	0.78%	0	1.9	67	INF

21	Jul_10_2015	102.94	107.75	109.21	110.08	110.36	110.51	110.49(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	20	45	119	7.02	65%	0.13	80.6	0.77%	0	1.3	67	INF
22	Jul_9_2015	102.81	107.44	108.96	109.8	109.98	110.15	109.69(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	20	10	104	7.02	65%	0.12	78.1	0.77%	0	1.1	62	INF
23	Jul_8_2015	102.69	107.15	108.73	109.71	109.7	110.2	109.3(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	63	30	41	129	8.45	65%	0.11	72.9	0.77%	0	1	66	INF
24	Jul_7_2015	102.58	106.82	108.59	109.38	109.48	109.82	111.12(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	110	20	92	165	8.36	71%	0.09	60.3	0.74%	0	1.9	75	INF
25	Jul_6_2015	102.49	106.41	108.17	108.49	108.78	109.21	109.79(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	40	29	127	5.88	69%		49	0.73%	0	1.6	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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