Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $83.8129 (0.77%) ($83.4496 - $84.1809) on Mon. Aug. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $83.8129(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DIS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(67%)    SPY(66%)    IWM(63%)    VT(62%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.48(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.66(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.1(3.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $149.271b

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. DIS price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.04%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2014	77.71	81.1	81.66	82.48	82.68	83.38	83.81(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	70	82	130	4.98	67%	0.14	66.2	0.81%	0	2.5	65	0
2	Aug_15_2014	77.6	80.9	81.38	82.01	82.05	82.66	83.17(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	78	50	69	103	8.21	69%	0.13	60.4	0.82%	0	2.5	57	0
3	Aug_14_2014	77.5	80.73	81.01	81.56	81.65	81.99	82.55(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	69	30	67	74	8.22	65%	0.12	48	0.83%	0	2.3	59	0
4	Aug_13_2014	77.41	80.56	80.75	80.98	81.17	81.45	81.61(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	30	25	21	4.53	64%	0.1	20.7	0.84%	0	1.5	53	0
5	Aug_12_2014	77.33	80.45	80.7	80.8	80.82	81.32	81.24(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	40	33	25	4.51	64%	0.09	2.5	0.84%	0	1.2	55	0

6	Aug_11_2014	77.26	80.4	80.6	80.71	80.69	80.88	81.51(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	20	40	23	5.05	64%	0.09	0	0.84%	0	1.8	55	0
7	Aug_8_2014	77.19	80.4	80.55	80.66	80.55	80.32	80.91(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-2	-20	-7	13	6.38	66%	0.08	-1.3	0.84%	0	0.9	55	0
8	Aug_7_2014	77.13	80.35	80.49	80.39	80.66	80.5	79.66(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-0	-13	-0	7.92	64%	0.06	-13.3	0.84%	0	-1.2	50	0
9	Aug_6_2014	77.08	80.41	80.62	80.46	80.5	80.78	80.66(-0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	30	-3	21	9.79	67%	0.05	-6.7	0.84%	0	0.4	59	0
10	Aug_5_2014	77.04	80.44	80.57	80.57	80.5	80.82	80.81(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	30	39	49	9.36	67%	0.06	2.6	0.84%	0	0.6	58	0

11	Aug_4_2014	76.99	80.4	80.52	80.47	80.5	80.22	81.27(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-20	13	35	8.26	67%	0.09	0	0.84%	0	1.4	55	0
12	Aug_1_2014	76.92	80.36	80.38	80.45	80.42	80.01	79.54(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-39	-40	-53	2	6.76	64%	0.04	8.2	0.81%	0	-1.4	43	0
13	Jul_31_2014	76.89	80.43	80.43	80.61	80.69	80.62	80(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-0	-19	15	6.34	64%	0.04	33.8	0.81%	0	-0.8	44	0
14	Jul_30_2014	76.86	80.46	80.37	80.78	80.7	80.83	81.24(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	10	13	24	7.3	69%	0.05	61.4	0.78%	0	1.4	51	0
15	Jul_29_2014	76.82	80.42	80.2	80.78	80.66	80.76	80.3(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	13	10	17	-1	5.48	67%	0.05	84.8	0.78%	0	-0.2	42	0

16	Jul_28_2014	76.78	80.4	80.19	80.57	80.53	80.57	81.19(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	0	14	0	4.55	71%	0.07	107.5	0.77%	0	1.5	58	0
17	Jul_25_2014	76.73	80.31	80.13	80.3	80.41	80.56	80.33(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	20	12	-14	4.67	62%	0.05	113.2	0.77%	0	0	47	0
18	Jul_24_2014	76.69	80.24	80.18	80.23	80.28	80.49	80.86(0.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	24	20	34	-8	4.17	62%	0.05	96.3	0.8%	0	0.9	49	0
19	Jul_23_2014	76.65	80.11	80.17	79.9	80.04	80.26	80.15(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	20	23	-28	3.65	61%	0.05	72.2	0.79%	0	0.1	47	0
20	Jul_22_2014	76.61	79.97	80.27	79.77	79.85	80.08	80.31(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	20	16	-32	4.98	61%	0.05	49.6	0.79%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Jul_21_2014	76.57	79.82	80.24	79.76	79.86	79.82	79.87(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	0	2	-38	4.8	61%	0.05	40.9	0.79%	0	0	52	0
22	Jul_18_2014	76.53	79.7	80.32	79.95	79.97	79.63	79.94(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-30	-37	-34	4.72	61%	0.05	41.6	0.8%	0	0.2	56	0
23	Jul_17_2014	76.49	79.61	80.42	80.15	80.32	79.91	79.21(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-30	-49	-10	6.89	61%	0.04	47.7	0.8%	0	-0.3	58	0
24	Jul_16_2014	76.46	79.56	80.57	80.49	80.68	80.31	79.51(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-24	-30	-42	31	10.68	65%	0.05	51.7	0.81%	0	-0	64	0
25	Jul_15_2014	76.42	79.46	80.68	80.84	80.82	80.73	80.25(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10	-20	86	7.01	68%		52.2	0.83%	0	0.5	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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