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     Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)

DIA latest price $341.8600 (0.42%) ($340.9820 - $342.4300) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  The Top
Average Daily Price Swing  $5.17 (1.55% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.83% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.3% (StdDev 0.83%)
Daily Moving Force  0.5%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  0.37%
Trend   0.22%
Trend Strength  1.3%
Trend Clarity  0.19(0.3/5.17/332.99)
RSI   80
Momentum  1.9
Latest Price  $341.8600(0.42%)
Forecasted Low Price  341.18(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  345.28(1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  1.7% (336.16)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.8%
Hourly Trend   0.6% [$340.73(2.1), $338.9(1.1)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  DIA advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support DIA advance at 0.2% a week (87% probability)
  IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    XLV(82%)    XLI(76%)    VYM(75%)  
Factors Impacting DIA price  DIA will decline at least -0.3% in a week (37% probabilities).
  UNG(-44%)    IGOV(-41%)    ROBT(-35%)    OIH(-31%)    USO(-29%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.2
 
Relative Volatility   -0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV   1.5 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $342.54(0.2%)
Support Level  $332.99
5 Day Moving Average  $338.83(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average  $337.25(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $332.99(2.66%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  14%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  71%
Stage of the Market  Normal
 
Average Volume  3.44 million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0
One Month Target Price  > $341.86
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $327.67
One Year Target Price   $329.04 (-3.75%)
 
Short-term volatility trend  Equity Bullish (-1.4)
Mid-term volatility trend  Equity Bullish (-1.3)
Risk Appetite   (0)
Fed Balance Sheet  7.363 T (Mon. Dec. 14, 2020) Expansion
Fed Fund Rate  0.09% (Wed. Dec. 23, 2020) No Change
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.7% away from the target price of 341.86.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.83%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
Hourly
Trend
Strength
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Apr_16_2021332.99 (0.2%)337.25 (0.2%)338.83 (0.2%) 338.9 340.73(0%)341.86(0.42%)340.98-342.431.5(1.7)1.5 0.5%0.3%0%0.37%0.22%1.3%801.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)8-1.2-0.3The Top 341.89(0.01%)337.08-345.843.75   0%-14% 
2Apr_15_2021332.32 (0.2%)336.2 (0.2%)338.03 (0.3%) 337.8 338.63(0%)340.44(0.86%)338.83-340.721.6(1.7)1.1 0.4%0.3%0%0.34%0.22%1.2%841.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)8-1.4-0.4Uptrend 341.87(0.42%)338.98-343.123.87   0%-13.6% 
3Apr_14_2021331.8 (0.2%)335.18 (0.2%)336.97 (0.2%) 337.07 337.07(0%)337.53(0.22%)336.74-339.111.5(1.3)0.8 0.1%0.2%0%0.08%0.22%1%841.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)8-1.3-0.5Uptrend 338.95(0.42%)336.53-339.973.96   -0.1%-12.6% 
4Apr_13_2021331.34 (0.2%)334.52 (0.2%)336.34 (0.1%) 336.3 336.97(0%)336.79(-0.23%)335.49-337.421.6(1.3)0.7 0.1%0.1%0%0.06%0.24%1%841.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)9-2-0.8Uptrend 338.14(0.4%)335.84-339.123.27   -0.3%-12.3% 
5Apr_12_2021330.98 (0.2%)334.01 (0.2%)335.86 (0.1%) 335.72 337.06(0%)337.55(-0.09%)336.65-337.861.7(1.7)1.8 0.3%0.2%0%0.29%0.26%0.9%721.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)9-1.7-0.8After Top 337.92(0.11%)333.92-341.182.94   -0.1%-12.6% 
 
6Apr_9_2021330.49 (0.2%)333.3 (0.4%)335.39 (0.4%) 335.03 335.62(0%)337.86(0.81%)335.36-338.081.7(2)3.1 0.3%0.3%0%0.19%0.28%0.8%751.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)9-1.6-1.2Breakout 339.35(0.44%)336.64-340.493.03   0%-12.7% 
7Apr_8_2021329.85 (0.2%)332.15 (0.2%)334.1 (0.3%) 334.54 334.38(0%)335.13(0.23%)333.43-335.151.5(1.6)1.3 0.1%0.3%0%-0.08%0.24%0.7%601.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)8-2-1.4Growing Uptrend 336.74(0.48%)334.27-337.382.66   -0%-11.8% 
8Apr_7_2021329.26 (0.2%)331.08 (0.2%)333.11 (0.2%) 333.64 334.43(0%)334.37(0%)333.44-335.171.3(1.5)-0.6 0.1%0.3%0%-0.04%0.2%0.6%551.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)8-1.8-1.7Growing Uptrend 335.74(0.41%)333.59-336.292.63   -0.2%-11.5% 
9Apr_6_2021328.5 (0.2%)330.08 (0.2%)332.4 (0.2%) 332.71 334.69(0%)334.37(-0.25%)333.78-335.421.2(1.5)0.3 0.4%0.2%0%0.48%0.18%0.5%591.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)7-1.8-1.9Growing Uptrend 335.61(0.37%)333.38-336.162.97   -0.2%-11.5% 
10Apr_5_2021327.71 (0.2%)329.33 (0.2%)331.86 (0.3%) 331.77 332.84(0%)335.2(1.13%)333.91-336.151.1(1.8)1.3 0.5%0.3%0%0.41%0.16%0.5%571.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)6-1.5-2Growing Uptrend 336.51(0.39%)333.9-337.155.62   0%-11.8% 
 
11Apr_1_2021326.73 (0.2%)328.37 (0%)330.94 (0.3%) 330.72 330.74(0%)331.45(0.38%)329.72-331.60.9(0.8)0.3 0.1%0.2%0%-0%0.12%0.5%562.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)5-0.3-2.3Uptrend 332.68(0.37%)330.72-333.515.93   -0.1%-10.6% 
12Mar_31_2021325.7 (0.2%)328.11 (0%)329.89 (0.4%) 330.23 330.71(0%)330.18(-0.19%)329.94-331.620.9(0.7)-0.7 0.2%0.1%0%0.05%0.1%0.7%602.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)50.2-1.8Uptrend 331.5(0.4%)329.39-332.393.76   -0.4%-10.1% 
13Mar_30_2021324.88 (0.2%)328.12 (0%)328.67 (0.4%) 328.6 330.7(0%)330.82(-0.25%)329.78-331.60.9(0.9)0.9 0.4%0.1%0%0.42%0.1%1%642.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)51-2.5Uptrend 331.88(0.32%)329.66-332.814.41   -0.3%-10.3% 
14Mar_29_2021324.06 (0.2%)327.88 (0%)327.32 (0.3%) 327.21 329.76(0%)331.66(0.32%)328.9-332.460.8(1.2)1.5 0.7%0.1%0%0.69%0.1%1.2%722.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)51-2.3The Top 331.49(-0.05%)327.63-334.685.18   0%-10.6% 
15Mar_26_2021323.26 (0.2%)327.66 (0%)326.44 (0.3%) 325.9 326.49(0%)330.61(1.36%)326.68-330.890.7(1.1)2.7 0.4%0.2%0%0.09%0.12%1.4%722.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)50.8-2Uptrend 331.93(0.4%)329.19-333.094.94   -0%-10.3% 
 
16Mar_25_2021322.23 (0.2%)327.39 (0.2%)325.52 (-0.2%) 325.28 324.66(0%)326.19(0.65%)320.62-326.620.6(0.6)0.2 -0.2%0.1%0%-0.25%0.14%1.6%712.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.1%)51.1-2.2Uptrend Consolidation 325.51(-0.21%)324.8-327.585.5   -1.4%-8.8% 
17Mar_24_2021321.63 (0.2%)327.34 (0.2%)326.15 (-0.4%) 325.98 325.31(0%)324.08(0.01%)324.08-327.730.7(0.4)-3.3 -0.3%0%0%-0.09%0.22%1.8%762.5 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)61.1-1.8Uptrend Consolidation 323.56(-0.16%)322.71-326.146.07   -2%-8.1% 
18Mar_23_2021321.4 (0.2%)327.35 (0.4%)327.49 (-0.3%) 327.23 325.89(0%)324.06(-0.97%)323.44-327.481(0.4)-2.8 -0.3%0.1%0%-0.08%0.32%1.9%682.5 Correction  Range(0.3%)70.7-2.2Uptrend 327.3(1%)323.54-328.925.05   -2%-8.1% 
19Mar_22_2021320.98 (0.2%)326.93 (0.4%)328.45 (-0.2%) 328.36 326.65(0%)327.24(0.38%)325.03-327.981.3(0.9)-0.7 -0.4%0.2%0%-0.44%0.36%1.9%702.6 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.2%)81-1Uptrend 330.84(1.1%)326-332.893.8   -1.1%-9.1% 
20Mar_19_2021320.36 (0.2%)326.11 (0.4%)329.02 (-0.1%) 329.06 328.57(0%)326.01(-1.02%)324.98-328.181.6(0.8)-1.7 -0.3%0.3%0%-0.21%0.4%1.8%662.5 Correction  Higher(0.5%)91.4-0.1Uptrend 330.09(1.25%)324.97-332.275.63   -1.4%-8.7% 
 
21Mar_18_2021319.8 (0.2%)325.13 (0.6%)329.48 (0.3%) 329.63 330.08(0%)329.36(-0.43%)328.77-332.861.9(1.4)-0.8 0.2%0.5%0%0.27%0.46%1.7%772.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)92-1.3Relative Overbought 333.28(1.19%)324.67-340.315.36   -0.4%-9.9% 
22Mar_17_2021319.07 (0.2%)323.25 (0.6%)328.67 (0.5%) 328.81 329.55(0%)330.77(0.58%)328.38-331.032.1(1.8)2.6 0.3%0.5%-0.8%0.13%0.42%1.3%692.4 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-1.3%)81.3-0.4Growing Uptrend 335.67(1.48%)328.79-337.384.32   0%-10.3% 
23Mar_16_2021318.31 (0.2%)321.47 (0.4%)327.18 (0.6%) 327.63 329.18(0%)328.86(-0.37%)328.32-3302.3(1.8)0.9 0.5%0.4%-1.2%0.23%0.36%1%582.2 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-2.1%)81.2-0.4Growing Uptrend 332.81(1.2%)327.06-334.253.14   -0.4%-9.7% 
24Mar_15_2021317.59 (0.2%)319.98 (0.4%)325.13 (0.7%) 325.86 328.06(0%)330.09(0.54%)326.81-330.242.3(2.3)2.2 0.7%0.4%-1.2%0.31%0.3%0.8%642 Breakout  Lower(-2%)81.60.6Approaching Top 330.75(0.2%)323.37-336.814.45   0%-10.1% 
25Mar_12_2021316.78 (0.2%)318.44 (0.2%)322.77 (0.8%) 323.48 326.09(0%)328.31(0.92%)325.5-328.492.2(2.5)1.4 0.7%0.5%-0.8%0.39%0.24%0.5%631.7 Breakout  Lower(-1.2%)71.80.1Approaching Top 328.15(-0.05%)322.3-332.914.25   0%-9.8% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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