Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 6, 2021

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 9, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $345.8200 (-0.61%) ($343.6000 - $348.1100) on Tue. Jul. 6, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $345.8200(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    IWD(95%)    SPY(94%)    SDY(90%)    PAVE(87%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-50%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-14%)    TLT(0%)    TBT(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $345.59(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $343.7(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $342.8(0.88%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.9
One Month Target Price   > $355.5
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $343.59

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2.8% away from the target price of 355.5.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2021	335.03		343.7	345.59	345.84	346.84	345.82(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	20	53	112	3.89	56%	0.1	-1.9	0.67%	-0.5	0.9	52	0.9
2	Jul_2_2021	334.71	342.8	343.01	344.98	345.14	346.62	347.94(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	171	30	181	142	3.01	59%	0.1	-5.7	0.68%	1.5	1.4	54	1.5
3	Jul_1_2021	334.37	342.74	341.55	344.28	344.14	344.84	346.36(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	105	10	114	77	2.91	59%	0.1	-6.8	0.68%	1.5	1	50	1.7
4	Jun_30_2021	334.05	342.69	340.75	343.41	343.68	343.66	344.95(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	0	55	27	3.61	59%	0.1	-10.7	0.67%	1.7	0.6	48	1.5
5	Jun_29_2021	333.73	342.73	340.27	342.17	343.06	343.44	342.86(0.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	23	20	34	-9	2.33	59%	0.09	-16.3	0.67%	-0.6	0	45	1.4

6	Jun_28_2021	333.44	342.86	340.26	341.49	342.01	343.7	342.8(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	101	40	131	12	3.37	59%	0.1	-18.9	0.67%	-0.4	-0	42	1.7
7	Jun_25_2021	333.12	342.86	340.34	340.69	340.92	342.69	344.45(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	215	40	270	51	3.56	62%	0.11	-20.4	0.69%	1.4	0.4	44	2
8	Jun_24_2021	332.77	342.99	340.31	338.39	339.13	340.31	341.98(0.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	121	30	171	-28	3.67	60%	0.11	-34.3	0.69%	1.6	-0.3	37	1.7
9	Jun_23_2021	332.42	343.06	340.55	337.72	339.13	339.16	338.78(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	45	40	86	-78	3.05	55%	0.1	-35.2	0.68%	0.5	-1.2	35	1.7
10	Jun_22_2021	332.09	343.3	341.13	338.12	337.25	337.94	339.45(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	101	10	151	-50	3.44	55%	0.11	-31.1	0.69%	1.3	-1.1	35	1.4

11	Jun_21_2021	331.71	343.55	341.79	338.91	337.95	335.35	338.78(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-170	-60	-171	-168	5.18	55%	0.12	-25	0.69%	0.9	-1.4	35	0.6
12	Jun_18_2021	331.31	343.75	342.57	340.02	339.66	336.55	332.96(-1.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-392	-70	-435	-261	7.04	47%	0.08	-21.1	0.67%	-1.2	-3.3	18	-0.2
13	Jun_17_2021	331.04	344.25	344.13	342.45	342.23	340.55	338.65(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-230	-40	-256	-151	5.15	52%	0.11	1.6	0.64%	-1.2	-2.6	32	1
14	Jun_16_2021	330.67	344.35	344.92	343.71	343.74	342.77	340.76(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-130	-20	-146	-82	4.01	52%	0.1	26.2	0.64%	-1.9	-1.7	45	0.9
15	Jun_15_2021	330.35	344.4	345.52	344.52	344.79	343.91	343.41(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-20	-93	-41	2.13	55%	0.1	35	0.63%	-0.1	-0.5	54	1

16	Jun_14_2021	330.01	344.43	345.79	345.11	345.29	344.71	344.3(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-86	-10	-104	-31	2.52	55%	0.11	33.3	0.63%	-0.9	-0.1	54	1.4
17	Jun_11_2021	329.66	344.42	345.94	345.56	345.81	345.66	345.12(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-33	-0	-46	8	3	58%	0.1	31.7	0.64%	-1.1	0.3	65	1.4
18	Jun_10_2021	329.32	344.21	345.91	346.12	346.33	345.87	344.98(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-10	-24	34	3.09	61%	0.1	28.1	0.64%	-2	0.3	67	1.2
19	Jun_9_2021	328.98	343.79	345.78	346.33	346.67	345.95	344.79(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-38	-10	-61	30	2.58	61%	0.11	13.4	0.66%	-1.8	0.4	72	1
20	Jun_8_2021	328.62	343.7	345.65	346.64	346.56	346.78	346.34(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-25	0	-49	46	2.75	64%	0.05	19.5	0.66%	-0.2	0.9	69	1.2

21	Jun_7_2021	328.44	343.73	345.42	346.55	346.65	347.38	346.59(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	86	20	82	98	2.21	64%	0.12	28.6	0.67%	-0.4	1	58	1.4
22	Jun_4_2021	328.04	343.75	344.99	346.36	346.6	346.33	347.9(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	-0	50	77	2.59	63%	0.12	39.5	0.7%	1.4	1.4	59	1.5
23	Jun_3_2021	327.65	343.6	344.34	345.7	346.24	345.92	346.02(-0.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	0.1	-37	-0	-58	27	4.41	63%	0.11	43.4	0.71%	-0.1	0.8	65	1.2
24	Jun_2_2021	327.28	343.41	343.71	345.15	346.16	346.86	346.36(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	20	60	76	2.57	63%	0.11	45.1	0.71%	-0.2	1.1	74	1.5
25	Jun_1_2021	326.92	343.16	343.18	344.51	345.37	346.56	345.87(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	106	30	113	84	2.58	67%		42.5	0.72%	0.3	1	54	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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