Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 24, 2020

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $302.0200 (0.25%) ($300.9300 - $302.0800) on Thu. Dec. 24, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $302.0200(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    IWD(95%)    SPY(93%)    SDY(89%)    PAVE(85%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-52%)    UUP(-29%)    VXX(-17%)    EDOC(-4%)    TLT(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV -2.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $301.48(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $301.58(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $300.89(0.38%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.7
One Month Target Price   > $302.02
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $285.71

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.1% away from the target price of 302.02.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2020	285.65	300.89	301.58	301.48	301.13	301.64	302.02(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	10	13	5	1.96	74%	0.11	69.1	1.08%	-2.4	0.7	48	1.3
2	Dec_23_2020	285.34	300.73	301.44	301.78	301.22	301.26	301.28(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-0	17	11	2.71	69%	0.12	85.7	1.08%	0.8	0.3	54	0.5
3	Dec_22_2020	285.01	300.69	301.41	301.95	301.65	300.62	300.07(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-30	-38	-7	2.69	69%	0.12	94.6	1.11%	-0.7	-0.4	54	-0.7
4	Dec_21_2020	284.67	300.5	301.63	302.46	301.98	301.19	302.14(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-20	-73	-9	6.32	66%	0.13	78.8	1.1%	0	0.8	61	-1.6
5	Dec_18_2020	284.29	300.06	301.52	301.85	302.28	302.69	301.9(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	10	3	22	4.25	64%	0.14	50	1.13%	-1.6	0.7	65	1.2

6	Dec_17_2020	283.9	299.74	301.57	301.66	302.07	302.77	303.49(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	20	65	51	2.98	64%	0.13	53.3	1.14%	1.1	1.4	60	1.6
7	Dec_16_2020	283.52	299.31	301.22	301.07	301.25	301.86	302.15(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	20	36	36	1.96	64%	0.14	47.8	1.14%	0.9	1	59	1.5
8	Dec_15_2020	283.13	299.1	300.93	300.81	300.75	301.37	302.62(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	10	29	29	4.21	64%	0.13	53.9	1.14%	1.1	1.3	54	0.8
9	Dec_14_2020	282.76	298.94	300.52	300.73	300.86	300.65	299.1(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	-0	20	30	3.57	64%	0.12	71.8	1.13%	-0.7	0.1	59	-0.6
10	Dec_11_2020	282.41	298.76	300.33	301.13	300.87	300.14	300.93(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-35	-20	-51	12	2.45	64%	0.12	92.2	1.14%	0.3	0.8	69	0.3

11	Dec_10_2020	282.07	298.3	300.16	301.46	301.17	301.07	300.54(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-10	-32	30	2.39	61%	0.11	94.2	1.14%	-0.9	0.7	61	0.9
12	Dec_9_2020	281.76	297.98	299.99	301.37	301.52	301.6	300.88(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	0	29	60	3.06	63%	0.12	116	1.15%	-0.7	0.9	62	1
13	Dec_8_2020	281.43	297.66	299.93	301.03	301.03	301.26	302.2(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	10	18	56	2.17	60%	0.13	143.4	1.17%	1.1	1.4	56	1.6
14	Dec_7_2020	281.07	297.14	299.31	300.27	300.21	301.44	301.1(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	30	44	53	2.58	60%	0.12	167.6	1.2%	-0.5	1.2	51	1.1
15	Dec_4_2020	280.73	296.3	298.49	299.38	299.73	300.8	302.59(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	100	30	110	68	2.74	60%	0.13	142.7	1.21%	1.2	1.5	61	1.2

16	Dec_3_2020	280.37	295.39	297.75	298.71	298.49	298.97	300.06(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	19	32	3.11	56%	0.11	141.6	1.21%	1	1	64	0.9
17	Dec_2_2020	280.06	294.37	297.22	298.44	298.31	298.66	299.18(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	10	17	29	2.46	58%	0.12	125.8	1.26%	0.7	0.8	57	1
18	Dec_1_2020	279.73	293.22	297.09	298.69	298.62	298.01	298.44(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-20	2	32	2.81	58%	0.14	106.2	1.27%	0.3	0.7	56	1
19	Nov_30_2020	279.35	291.85	297.2	298.18	298.71	297.97	296.62(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-21	-10	-36	24	4.07	58%	0.13	82.4	1.27%	0.3	0.6	58	1.1
20	Nov_27_2020	278.99	290.38	297.08	297.37	298.31	299.23	299.24(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	30	30	62	1.51	58%	0.22	59.2	1.27%	-3.1	0.9	70	1.1

21	Nov_25_2020	278.39	288.81	296.29	296.58	296.84	299.45	298.74(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	111	60	114	100	2.62	58%	0.14	42.9	1.26%	0.3	0.8	69	1.3
22	Nov_24_2020	277.99	287.21	295.82	295.79	295.67	297.38	300.43(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	140	40	143	129	3.97	58%	0.14	35.2	1.26%	1.4	1.1	75	1.1
23	Nov_23_2020	277.61	285.9	295.18	295.36	295.01	294.23	295.89(1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-20	-8	97	2.8	56%	0.06	32	1.25%	2.3	0.9	76	1.1
24	Nov_20_2020	277.43	284.94	294.79	296.18	295.64	293.95	292.53(-0.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-59	-50	-112	101	3.09	56%	0.12	33.2	1.25%	-1	0.7	78	1.2
25	Nov_19_2020	277.09	284.43	294	296.71	297.1	295.79	295.33(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-30	-55	163	3.2	56%		34.4	1.24%	-0.8	1	84	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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