Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Mon. Jun. 10, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $243.6567 (0.26%) ($243.3032 - $243.7156) on Thu. Dec. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $243.6567(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(25%)    VCIT(11%)    SIL(9%)    VCSH(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    SPLV(-9%)    SHY(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $243.12(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $242.73(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $240.72(1.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $243.66
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $239.03

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.8% away from the target price of 243.66.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.54%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.37%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2017	225.43	240.72	242.73	243.12	243.01	243.22	243.66(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	84	0	64	142	2.74	85%	0.13	113	0.38%	0	1.2	82	0
2	Dec_27_2017	225.14	240.28	242.49	242.91	242.96	243.22	243.02(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-0	-6	137	2.93	85%	0.13	108.3	0.38%	0	1	83	0
3	Dec_26_2017	224.85	239.82	242.25	242.9	243.03	242.8	242.79(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-7	-10	-55	139	2.16	85%	0.17	105.8	0.38%	0	1	79	0
4	Dec_22_2017	224.46	239.25	241.92	243	243.17	243.12	242.94(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	0	-26	165	1.85	85%	0.13	86	0.38%	0	1	71	0
5	Dec_21_2017	224.16	238.66	241.51	242.78	243.32	243.26	243.2(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	0	45	196	2.45	85%	0.13	87.7	0.38%	0	1.2	74	0

6	Dec_20_2017	223.87	238.04	240.95	242.26	242.94	243.23	242.62(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	20	26	171	2.4	85%	0.13	83	0.38%	0	1.2	70	0
7	Dec_19_2017	223.57	237.46	240.38	241.99	242.45	243.37	242.94(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	168	30	148	227	2.77	85%	0.14	82.4	0.38%	0	1.4	80	0
8	Dec_18_2017	223.26	236.79	239.8	241.5	241.93	242.64	243.32(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	237	30	227	266	3.29	85%	0.14	77.7	0.38%	0	1.6	83	0
9	Dec_15_2017	222.95	236.06	239.25	240.68	241.13	241.53	241.81(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	147	20	115	244	5.86	84%	0.14	71.8	0.37%	0	1.4	85	0
10	Dec_14_2017	222.64	235.45	238.81	240.05	240.42	241.21	240.59(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	173	30	138	276	4.71	83%	0.13	68.9	0.37%	0	1.2	84	0

11	Dec_13_2017	222.34	234.81	238.53	239.42	239.69	240.73	241.31(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	278	30	254	350	3.75	83%	0.14	61	0.37%	0	1.5	88	0
12	Dec_12_2017	222.03	234.19	237.86	238.51	238.64	239.63	240.47(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	250	30	221	337	3.28	83%	0.14	55.9	0.36%	0	1.5	83	0
13	Dec_11_2017	221.71	233.62	237.17	237.84	237.81	238.65	239.22(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	205	20	166	321	1.86	84%	0.14	53.5	0.36%	0	1.4	84	0
14	Dec_8_2017	221.41	233.1	236.38	237.63	237.54	237.65	238.68(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	129	0	77	285	2.7	84%	0.13	53.7	0.38%	0	1.5	85	0
15	Dec_7_2017	221.12	232.62	235.61	237.4	237.77	236.97	237.45(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-20	-67	231	2.72	83%	0.13	54.8	0.38%	0	1.3	77	0

16	Dec_6_2017	220.84	232.24	234.93	237.49	237.77	237.43	236.72(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-49	-10	-142	229	3.98	83%	0.12	60	0.38%	0	1.3	80	0
17	Dec_5_2017	220.57	231.89	234.36	237.06	237.83	238.58	237.1(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	185	30	133	341	4.93	76%	0.13	62.5	0.38%	0	1.6	74	0
18	Dec_4_2017	220.29	231.52	233.61	236.34	236.95	238.22	238.18(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	318	50	299	373	6.57	79%	0.13	63.7	0.4%	0	2.1	76	0
19	Dec_1_2017	220.01	231.07	232.64	234.9	235.27	237.08	237.54(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	325	60	322	333	9.77	79%	0.13	60.7	0.4%	0	2.4	75	0
20	Nov_30_2017	219.72	230.64	231.82	233.53	233.71	235.68	237.92(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	402	60	426	329	6.59	79%	0.13	58.2	0.4%	0	3.2	75	0

21	Nov_29_2017	219.43	230.16	230.76	232.03	232.17	233.46	234.57(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	308	40	332	236	3.38	76%	0.12	63.6	0.36%	0	2.9	65	0
22	Nov_28_2017	219.16	229.83	230.17	231.3	231.27	231.74	233.51(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	168	10	177	139	4.84	75%	0.12	61.5	0.36%	0	3.1	62	0
23	Nov_27_2017	218.9	229.55	229.72	230.48	230.82	230.88	230.95(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	10	65	60	2.33	72%	0.11	61.5	0.34%	0	1.6	53	0
24	Nov_24_2017	218.67	229.44	229.53	230.02	230.37	230.79	230.7(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	20	54	30	1.44	72%	0.16	54.1	0.34%	0	1.5	54	0
25	Nov_22_2017	218.33	229.33	229.38	229.8	229.89	230.75	230.4(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	136	30	160	62	2.86	75%		62.2	0.35%	0	1.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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