Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $230.4032 (-0.24%) ($230.1876 - $231.2751) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $230.4032(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(25%)    VCIT(11%)    SIL(9%)    VCSH(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-13%)    SPLV(-9%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $229.8(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $229.38(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $229.33(0.47%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $230.4
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $226.37

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.1% away from the target price of 230.4.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.32%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.08%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2017	218.33	229.33	229.38	229.8	229.89	230.75	230.4(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	136	30	160	62	2.86	75%	0.05	62.2	0.35%	0	1.3	54	INF
2	Nov_21_2017	218.21	229.2	229.34	229.26	229.53	229.94	230.95(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	164	20	197	64	2.75	75%	0.11	57.1	0.36%	0	2.2	61	INF
3	Nov_20_2017	217.98	229.1	229.22	228.87	228.81	229.02	229.4(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	10	-1	-21	2.06	73%	0.11	70.6	0.35%	0	0.4	58	INF
4	Nov_17_2017	217.75	229	229.28	228.86	228.81	229.12	228.66(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	60	10	73	21	3.48	64%	0.1	88.6	0.35%	0	-0.4	56	INF
5	Nov_16_2017	217.53	228.97	229.4	228.95	228.66	228.59	229.6(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10	54	23	2.93	67%	0.1	93.2	0.39%	0	0.6	55	INF

6	Nov_15_2017	217.31	228.81	229.41	228.91	228.61	228.21	227.69(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-90	-20	-108	-35	2.82	64%	0.1	96	0.37%	0	-1	46	INF
7	Nov_14_2017	217.1	228.75	229.55	229.4	228.92	228.74	228.98(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-52	-10	-71	6	2.57	70%	0.1	95.2	0.37%	0	0.2	62	INF
8	Nov_13_2017	216.89	228.54	229.51	229.63	229.29	229	229.35(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-26	-10	-42	22	2.45	70%	0.1	88	0.37%	0	0.5	53	INF
9	Nov_10_2017	216.67	228.3	229.39	229.77	229.59	229.11	229.13(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-59	-20	-84	17	2.51	64%	0.1	83.9	0.37%	0	0.4	63	INF
10	Nov_9_2017	216.45	228.03	229.38	229.92	229.81	229.57	229.41(-0.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-51	-10	-78	29	4.22	64%	0.1	80.4	0.39%	0	0.6	60	INF

11	Nov_8_2017	216.23	227.73	229.3	229.97	229.99	230.06	230.14(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	0	25	91	1.53	64%	0.1	77.1	0.38%	0	1	72	INF
12	Nov_7_2017	216.01	227.39	229.08	229.72	229.76	230.05	230.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	59	10	45	102	2.39	64%	0.1	76.1	0.38%	0	1.1	73	INF
13	Nov_6_2017	215.79	227.04	228.95	229.37	229.51	229.92	230.09(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	113	10	103	141	2.55	64%	0.11	73.7	0.38%	0	1.2	77	INF
14	Nov_3_2017	215.56	226.65	228.68	228.96	229.08	229.47	229.86(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	98	10	84	141	2.57	64%	0.11	72.4	0.38%	0	1.2	78	INF
15	Nov_2_2017	215.33	226.27	228.48	228.76	228.69	229.1	229.65(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	89	10	66	157	2.46	64%	0.1	77.6	0.38%	0	1.3	79	INF

16	Nov_1_2017	215.11	225.91	228.14	228.55	228.58	228.7	228.89(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	94	0	68	172	2.68	64%	0.11	80.7	0.38%	0	1.1	79	INF
17	Oct_31_2017	214.88	225.52	227.87	228.35	228.58	228.28	228.35(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-0	-26	149	1.77	64%	0.1	84.3	0.38%	0	1	76	INF
18	Oct_30_2017	214.66	225.16	227.51	228.47	228.48	228.46	228.05(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-0	-40	162	2.67	64%	0.1	88.2	0.38%	0	1	76	INF
19	Oct_27_2017	214.44	224.76	227.14	228.34	228.66	228.68	228.87(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	85	0	44	207	2.94	66%	0.11	85.9	0.38%	0	1.4	83	INF
20	Oct_26_2017	214.2	224.26	226.6	228.14	228.45	228.51	228.56(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	64	10	19	200	2.58	67%	0.11	83.5	0.38%	0	1.4	82	INF

21	Oct_25_2017	213.96	223.75	226.06	227.67	228.13	228.64	227.89(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	123	20	91	220	3.81	67%	0.11	79.4	0.38%	0	1.3	80	INF
22	Oct_24_2017	213.73	223.26	225.6	227.3	227.49	228.4	228.99(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	206	30	187	261	3.3	70%	0.11	74.3	0.38%	0	1.8	91	INF
23	Oct_23_2017	213.49	222.68	224.97	226.4	226.71	227.61	227.39(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	234	30	225	262	2.33	68%	0.1	69.6	0.37%	0	1.5	90	INF
24	Oct_20_2017	213.27	222.18	224.45	225.74	225.85	226.58	227.86(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	209	20	198	243	3.28	68%	0.11	65.2	0.37%	0	1.9	95	INF
25	Oct_19_2017	213.04	221.68	223.86	224.84	224.96	225.81	226.23(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	172	30	157	218	2.31	65%		63.7	0.37%	0	1.7	96	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.