Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $227.3892 (-0.21%) ($227.3500 - $228.2982) on Mon. Oct. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $227.3892(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(25%)    VCIT(11%)    SIL(9%)    VCSH(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-13%)    SPLV(-9%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $226.4(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $224.97(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $222.68(2.11%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.5
One Month Target Price   > $227.39
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $223.18

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5% away from the target price of 227.39.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 45 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(60%) Sample size 45 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.03%(60%) Sample size 45 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.6%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2017	213.49	222.68	224.97	226.4	226.71	227.61	227.39(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	234	30	225	262	2.33	68%	0.1	69.6	0.37%	0	1.5	90	0
2	Oct_20_2017	213.27	222.18	224.45	225.74	225.85	226.58	227.86(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	209	20	198	243	3.28	68%	0.11	65.2	0.37%	0	1.9	95	0
3	Oct_19_2017	213.04	221.68	223.86	224.84	224.96	225.81	226.23(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	172	30	157	218	2.31	65%	0.11	63.7	0.37%	0	1.7	96	0
4	Oct_18_2017	212.81	221.27	223.46	224.2	224.37	225.12	226.05(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	214	30	205	241	2.72	65%	0.1	64.1	0.37%	0	1.9	96	0
5	Oct_17_2017	212.59	220.88	222.96	223.64	223.68	224.12	224.48(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	130	10	104	207	1.84	62%	0.06	69.2	0.36%	0	1.5	95	0

6	Oct_16_2017	212.46	220.57	222.6	223.33	223.36	223.62	224.08(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	117	10	85	214	2.37	62%	0.09	73.8	0.36%	0	1.5	95	0
7	Oct_13_2017	212.26	220.25	222.2	222.95	223.09	223.24	223.38(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	85	10	46	203	1.74	62%	0.09	78	0.36%	0	1.4	93	0
8	Oct_12_2017	212.06	219.94	221.74	222.72	222.84	223.1	222.99(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	10	45	201	1.31	65%	0.09	85.9	0.36%	0	1.4	87	0
9	Oct_11_2017	211.86	219.62	221.29	222.59	222.59	222.95	223.26(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	119	10	87	213	1.42	65%	0.1	94.9	0.37%	0	1.7	85	0
10	Oct_10_2017	211.65	219.26	220.76	222.16	222.26	222.58	222.92(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	116	10	90	195	1.42	65%	0.1	100	0.37%	0	1.7	79	0

11	Oct_9_2017	211.44	218.9	220.22	221.76	221.84	222.24	222.21(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	106	10	83	174	1.01	65%	0.1	106.4	0.37%	0	1.6	78	0
12	Oct_6_2017	211.23	218.55	219.76	221.32	221.43	221.95	222.23(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	150	20	140	179	2.09	60%	0.11	94.2	0.37%	0	1.6	80	0
13	Oct_5_2017	211	218.08	219.32	220.59	220.76	221.45	222.32(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	160	20	159	161	2.26	60%	0.11	79.6	0.38%	0	1.8	83	0
14	Oct_4_2017	210.77	217.6	218.89	219.8	219.9	220.9	221.12(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	177	30	185	151	1.75	58%	0.09	69.4	0.38%	0	1.5	82	0
15	Oct_3_2017	210.59	217.18	218.62	219.16	219.13	220.07	220.95(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	210	30	227	160	2.51	60%	0.09	60.4	0.38%	0	1.6	83	0

16	Oct_2_2017	210.4	216.74	218.33	218.46	218.43	218.89	219.97(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	133	10	139	116	2.61	58%	0.09	54.7	0.38%	0	1.4	82	0
17	Sep_29_2017	210.22	216.45	218.11	217.99	218	218.18	218.59(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	10	46	78	2.42	51%	0.08	55.9	0.38%	0	1	81	0
18	Sep_28_2017	210.05	216.22	217.98	217.87	217.83	217.96	218.37(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	0	21	93	1.46	54%	0.08	58.8	0.39%	0	1	87	0
19	Sep_27_2017	209.89	215.97	217.82	217.84	217.8	217.82	217.9(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	29	0	2	110	2.38	52%	0.08	60.2	0.4%	0	0.9	87	0
20	Sep_26_2017	209.73	215.73	217.66	218	217.95	217.69	217.48(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10	-28	128	1.31	52%	0.07	62.5	0.4%	0	0.8	84	0

21	Sep_25_2017	209.59	215.48	217.51	218.17	218.1	217.79	217.61(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-10	-64	147	2.84	52%	0.08	65.4	0.4%	0	0.9	87	0
22	Sep_22_2017	209.43	215.23	217.29	218.24	218.25	218.2	217.98(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-0	-21	176	2.45	52%	0.08	69.4	0.4%	0	1.2	68	0
23	Sep_21_2017	209.27	214.94	216.79	218.09	218.22	218.41	218.24(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	10	47	194	1.74	52%	0.08	70.1	0.4%	0	1.4	70	0
24	Sep_20_2017	209.11	214.64	216.25	217.78	217.87	218.3	218.66(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	111	20	83	195	1.82	52%	0.08	66	0.4%	0	1.8	75	0
25	Sep_19_2017	208.94	214.34	215.65	217.27	217.37	218.03	218.35(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	146	20	129	196	2.04	54%		63.2	0.4%	0	2	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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