Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $209.2504 (0.11%) ($208.8036 - $209.3475) on Thu. Jul. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.45% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $209.2504(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(24%)    VCIT(11%)    IPO(9%)    SIL(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SPLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.225% (StdDev 0.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $208.36(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.95(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.82(0.69%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2
One Month Target Price   > $209.25
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $204.54

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.8% away from the target price of 209.25.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.34% (three month std-dev: 0.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.11%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2017	202.85	207.82	207.95	208.36	208.35	209.06	209.25(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	110	20	121	76	1.59	62%	0.04	70.6	0.45%	0	2	58	INF
2	Jul_12_2017	202.76	207.71	207.81	207.91	207.98	208.28	209.03(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	87	10	98	54	2.1	62%	0.05	76.7	0.46%	0	2.1	56	INF
3	Jul_11_2017	202.66	207.6	207.58	207.78	207.59	207.64	207.81(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-0	-19	-5	1.58	60%	0.02	92.9	0.45%	0	0.4	47	INF
4	Jul_10_2017	202.61	207.51	207.57	207.88	207.78	207.68	207.82(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-0	10	4	1.16	60%	0.05	84.8	0.45%	0	0.5	44	INF
5	Jul_7_2017	202.51	207.43	207.54	207.74	207.91	207.54	207.88(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10	-25	-14	1.33	60%	0.05	77.8	0.45%	0	0.6	53	INF

6	Jul_6_2017	202.41	207.32	207.5	207.46	207.8	207.88	207(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	10	-45	-30	2.3	60%	0.04	63.4	0.45%	0	-0.4	50	INF
7	Jul_5_2017	202.32	207.24	207.58	207.67	207.74	208.28	208.4(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	20	79	29	1.8	64%	0.08	71.7	0.44%	0	1.2	56	INF
8	Jul_3_2017	202.15	207.07	207.55	207.35	207.61	207.72	208.31(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	10	79	26	2.14	64%	0.07	59.6	0.44%	0	1.1	59	INF
9	Jun_30_2017	202.01	206.93	207.57	207.23	207.37	207.19	207.09(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-0	-52	-14	2.22	62%	0.06	63.5	0.43%	0	0.1	59	INF
10	Jun_29_2017	201.88	206.85	207.61	207.33	207.55	207.51	206.48(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	0	-12	13	4.37	62%	0.07	66.1	0.43%	0	-0.3	54	INF

11	Jun_28_2017	201.74	206.78	207.69	207.54	207.6	207.54	208.07(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-0	-5	37	4.69	68%	0.08	68.8	0.42%	0	1	69	INF
12	Jun_27_2017	201.58	206.57	207.61	207.48	207.59	207.6	206.79(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	0	-28	38	1.98	66%	0.07	66.2	0.43%	0	0.2	65	INF
13	Jun_26_2017	201.43	206.43	207.64	207.76	207.79	207.67	207.71(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-0	-4	73	1.94	69%	0.07	75.7	0.42%	0	0.9	75	INF
14	Jun_23_2017	201.28	206.25	207.47	207.96	207.93	207.58	207.58(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-26	-10	-55	63	1.35	69%	0.08	87.5	0.43%	0	0.9	68	INF
15	Jun_22_2017	201.11	206.08	207.34	207.93	208.18	207.91	207.57(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10	-30	77	2.7	69%	0.08	98.6	0.43%	0	1	68	INF

16	Jun_21_2017	200.94	205.88	207.14	207.85	208.03	208.27	207.73(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	3	93	2.13	62%	0.08	105.3	0.43%	0	1.2	72	INF
17	Jun_20_2017	200.77	205.63	206.9	207.76	207.71	208.45	208.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	111	20	102	137	1.76	62%	0.08	100	0.45%	0	1.6	82	INF
18	Jun_19_2017	200.6	205.34	206.57	207.48	207.36	207.79	208.73(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	139	10	135	149	2.1	62%	0.08	92.6	0.45%	0	2	84	INF
19	Jun_16_2017	200.43	204.97	206.22	206.92	206.9	206.96	207.41(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	0	31	98	2.37	60%	0.07	83.8	0.44%	0	1.5	76	INF
20	Jun_15_2017	200.29	204.61	206.01	206.67	206.57	206.93	207.15(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	34	100	2.57	62%	0.07	64.8	0.44%	0	1.4	74	INF

21	Jun_14_2017	200.14	204.24	205.78	206.31	206.35	206.83	207.29(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	110	20	105	125	5.42	62%	0.09	49	0.45%	0	1.5	79	INF
22	Jun_13_2017	199.97	204.01	205.42	205.9	205.93	206.22	206.84(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	79	10	71	103	2.43	62%	0.09	46.8	0.45%	0	1.5	80	INF
23	Jun_12_2017	199.8	203.8	205.11	205.51	205.57	205.87	205.9(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	44	90	3.68	60%	0.08	44.9	0.44%	0	1.2	80	INF
24	Jun_9_2017	199.64	203.61	204.93	205.41	205.34	205.64	206.16(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	10	53	107	4.27	60%	0.09	42.5	0.44%	0	1.4	85	INF
25	Jun_8_2017	199.47	203.4	204.72	205.26	205.22	205.27	205.37(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	0	31	120	2.03	60%		43.4	0.44%	0	1.2	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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