Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $208.3083 (0.59%) ($207.7159 - $209.1727) on Mon. Jul. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $208.3083(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(25%)    VCIT(11%)    IPO(9%)    SIL(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SPLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $207.35(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.55(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.07(0.6%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $208.31
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $203.73

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.4% away from the target price of 208.31.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.02%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.3%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.02%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.76%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.69%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2017	202.15	207.07	207.55	207.35	207.61	207.72	208.31(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	10	79	26	2.14	64%	0.07	59.6	0.44%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Jun_30_2017	202.01	206.93	207.57	207.23	207.37	207.19	207.09(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-0	-52	-14	2.22	62%	0.06	63.5	0.43%	0	0.1	59	0
3	Jun_29_2017	201.88	206.85	207.61	207.33	207.55	207.51	206.48(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	0	-12	13	4.37	62%	0.07	66.1	0.43%	0	-0.3	54	0
4	Jun_28_2017	201.74	206.78	207.69	207.54	207.6	207.54	208.07(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-0	-5	37	4.69	68%	0.08	68.8	0.42%	0	1	69	0
5	Jun_27_2017	201.58	206.57	207.61	207.48	207.59	207.6	206.79(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	0	-28	38	1.98	66%	0.07	66.2	0.43%	0	0.2	65	0

6	Jun_26_2017	201.43	206.43	207.64	207.76	207.79	207.67	207.71(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-0	-4	73	1.94	69%	0.07	75.7	0.42%	0	0.9	75	0
7	Jun_23_2017	201.28	206.25	207.47	207.96	207.93	207.58	207.58(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-26	-10	-55	63	1.35	69%	0.08	87.5	0.43%	0	0.9	68	0
8	Jun_22_2017	201.11	206.08	207.34	207.93	208.18	207.91	207.57(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10	-30	77	2.7	69%	0.08	98.6	0.43%	0	1	68	0
9	Jun_21_2017	200.94	205.88	207.14	207.85	208.03	208.27	207.73(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	3	93	2.13	62%	0.08	105.3	0.43%	0	1.2	72	0
10	Jun_20_2017	200.77	205.63	206.9	207.76	207.71	208.45	208.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	111	20	102	137	1.76	62%	0.08	100	0.45%	0	1.6	82	0

11	Jun_19_2017	200.6	205.34	206.57	207.48	207.36	207.79	208.73(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	139	10	135	149	2.1	62%	0.08	92.6	0.45%	0	2	84	0
12	Jun_16_2017	200.43	204.97	206.22	206.92	206.9	206.96	207.41(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	0	31	98	2.37	60%	0.07	83.8	0.44%	0	1.5	76	0
13	Jun_15_2017	200.29	204.61	206.01	206.67	206.57	206.93	207.15(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	34	100	2.57	62%	0.07	64.8	0.44%	0	1.4	74	0
14	Jun_14_2017	200.14	204.24	205.78	206.31	206.35	206.83	207.29(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	110	20	105	125	5.42	62%	0.09	49	0.45%	0	1.5	79	0
15	Jun_13_2017	199.97	204.01	205.42	205.9	205.93	206.22	206.84(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	79	10	71	103	2.43	62%	0.09	46.8	0.45%	0	1.5	80	0

16	Jun_12_2017	199.8	203.8	205.11	205.51	205.57	205.87	205.9(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	44	90	3.68	60%	0.08	44.9	0.44%	0	1.2	80	0
17	Jun_9_2017	199.64	203.61	204.93	205.41	205.34	205.64	206.16(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	10	53	107	4.27	60%	0.09	42.5	0.44%	0	1.4	85	0
18	Jun_8_2017	199.47	203.4	204.72	205.26	205.22	205.27	205.37(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	0	31	120	2.03	60%	0.08	43.4	0.44%	0	1.2	87	0
19	Jun_7_2017	199.32	203.25	204.52	205.17	205.18	205.04	205.24(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-0	7	134	1.55	60%	0.08	43.8	0.44%	0	1.2	88	0
20	Jun_6_2017	199.16	203.11	204.28	204.84	204.97	205.17	204.9(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	10	11	124	2.1	60%	0.03	42.1	0.44%	0	1.2	58	0

21	Jun_5_2017	199.1	203	204.03	204.61	204.63	205.32	205.37(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	20	96	149	1.92	60%	0.08	43.8	0.44%	0	1.6	60	0
22	Jun_2_2017	198.95	202.85	203.64	204.36	204.23	204.76	205.42(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	125	20	118	147	2.31	58%	0.08	44.1	0.44%	0	1.9	63	0
23	Jun_1_2017	198.8	202.68	203.11	204.1	203.94	203.95	204.93(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	-0	37	91	1.83	62%	0.07	41.9	0.45%	0	1.8	60	0
24	May_31_2017	198.66	202.53	202.59	203.79	203.9	203.7	203.57(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-16	43	1.58	58%	0.07	37.5	0.45%	0	0.9	55	0
25	May_30_2017	198.53	202.46	202.5	203.62	203.79	203.94	203.78(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	7	48	1.07	55%		32.7	0.45%	0	1.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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