Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $208.7259 (0.64%) ($207.9101 - $208.8133) on Mon. Jun. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.45% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $208.7259(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(24%)    VCIT(10%)    IPO(9%)    SIL(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SPLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.225% (StdDev 0.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $207.48(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $206.57(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $205.34(1.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2
One Month Target Price   > $208.73
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $204.03

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.5% away from the target price of 208.73.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.21%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -0.36%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.23%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2017	200.6	205.34	206.57	207.48	207.36	207.79	208.73(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	139	10	135	149	2.1	62%	0.08	92.6	0.45%	0	2	84	INF
2	Jun_16_2017	200.43	204.97	206.22	206.92	206.9	206.96	207.41(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	0	31	98	2.37	60%	0.07	83.8	0.44%	0	1.5	76	INF
3	Jun_15_2017	200.29	204.61	206.01	206.67	206.57	206.93	207.15(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	10	34	100	2.57	62%	0.07	64.8	0.44%	0	1.4	74	INF
4	Jun_14_2017	200.14	204.24	205.78	206.31	206.35	206.83	207.29(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	110	20	105	125	5.42	62%	0.09	49	0.45%	0	1.5	79	INF
5	Jun_13_2017	199.97	204.01	205.42	205.9	205.93	206.22	206.84(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	79	10	71	103	2.43	62%	0.09	46.8	0.45%	0	1.5	80	INF

6	Jun_12_2017	199.8	203.8	205.11	205.51	205.57	205.87	205.9(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	10	44	90	3.68	60%	0.08	44.9	0.44%	0	1.2	80	INF
7	Jun_9_2017	199.64	203.61	204.93	205.41	205.34	205.64	206.16(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	10	53	107	4.27	60%	0.09	42.5	0.44%	0	1.4	85	INF
8	Jun_8_2017	199.47	203.4	204.72	205.26	205.22	205.27	205.37(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	0	31	120	2.03	60%	0.08	43.4	0.44%	0	1.2	87	INF
9	Jun_7_2017	199.32	203.25	204.52	205.17	205.18	205.04	205.24(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-0	7	134	1.55	60%	0.08	43.8	0.44%	0	1.2	88	INF
10	Jun_6_2017	199.16	203.11	204.28	204.84	204.97	205.17	204.9(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	10	11	124	2.1	60%	0.03	42.1	0.44%	0	1.2	58	INF

11	Jun_5_2017	199.1	203	204.03	204.61	204.63	205.32	205.37(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	20	96	149	1.92	60%	0.08	43.8	0.44%	0	1.6	60	INF
12	Jun_2_2017	198.95	202.85	203.64	204.36	204.23	204.76	205.42(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	125	20	118	147	2.31	58%	0.08	44.1	0.44%	0	1.9	63	INF
13	Jun_1_2017	198.8	202.68	203.11	204.1	203.94	203.95	204.93(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	-0	37	91	1.83	62%	0.07	41.9	0.45%	0	1.8	60	INF
14	May_31_2017	198.66	202.53	202.59	203.79	203.9	203.7	203.57(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-16	43	1.58	58%	0.07	37.5	0.45%	0	0.9	55	INF
15	May_30_2017	198.53	202.46	202.5	203.62	203.79	203.94	203.78(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	7	48	1.07	55%	0.1	32.7	0.45%	0	1.2	55	INF

16	May_26_2017	198.33	202.36	202.4	203.32	203.5	204.11	204.1(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	20	91	69	1.15	60%	0.07	32.7	0.48%	0	1.7	54	INF
17	May_25_2017	198.19	202.25	202.17	202.78	203.02	203.63	204.13(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	124	20	142	68	2.2	60%	0.07	37.5	0.48%	0	1.9	55	INF
18	May_24_2017	198.06	202.16	201.96	201.96	202.24	202.9	203.4(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	97	30	119	30	3.48	60%	0.07	36.4	0.48%	0	1.4	55	INF
19	May_23_2017	197.93	202.16	201.84	201.2	201.4	202.41	202.72(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	92	40	120	6	3.46	60%	0.03	42.9	0.48%	0	0.7	52	INF
20	May_22_2017	197.88	202.1	201.82	201.24	200.85	201.58	202.26(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	81	20	107	4	2.25	60%	0.07	64.4	0.48%	0	0.2	51	INF

21	May_19_2017	197.75	202.01	201.86	201.37	201.06	200.4	201.41(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-30	-0	-30	4.89	62%	0.06	57.6	0.48%	0	-0.5	48	INF
22	May_18_2017	197.63	201.88	202	201.49	201.49	200.12	200.04(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-186	-50	-212	-107	6.65	60%	0.05	57.4	0.48%	0	-1.3	37	INF
23	May_17_2017	197.53	201.84	202.23	201.94	202.05	201.73	199.56(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-134	-10	-154	-72	5.72	60%	0.04	53.6	0.48%	0	-1.3	30	INF
24	May_16_2017	197.45	201.75	202.53	202.52	202.44	202.86	202.93(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	10	71	38	1.75	69%	0.03	55.1	0.43%	0	0.7	55	INF
25	May_15_2017	197.39	201.51	202.45	202.46	202.27	202.36	202.91(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	39	20	1.82	70%		50.5	0.43%	0	0.8	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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