Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $204.0951 (-0.02%) ($203.8818 - $204.2686) on Fri. May. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $204.0951(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(24%)    VCIT(10%)    IPO(9%)    SIL(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SPLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $203.32(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $202.4(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $202.36(0.86%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $206.34
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $201.39

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.1% away from the target price of 206.34.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.51%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.86%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.33%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.21%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2017	198.33	202.36	202.4	203.32	203.5	204.11	204.1(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	86	20	91	69	1.15	60%	0.07	32.7	0.48%	0	1.7	54	0
2	May_25_2017	198.19	202.25	202.17	202.78	203.02	203.63	204.13(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	124	20	142	68	2.2	60%	0.07	37.5	0.48%	0	1.9	55	0
3	May_24_2017	198.06	202.16	201.96	201.96	202.24	202.9	203.4(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	97	30	119	30	3.48	60%	0.07	36.4	0.48%	0	1.4	55	0
4	May_23_2017	197.93	202.16	201.84	201.2	201.4	202.41	202.72(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	92	40	120	6	3.46	60%	0.03	42.9	0.48%	0	0.7	52	0
5	May_22_2017	197.88	202.1	201.82	201.24	200.85	201.58	202.26(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	81	20	107	4	2.25	60%	0.07	64.4	0.48%	0	0.2	51	0

6	May_19_2017	197.75	202.01	201.86	201.37	201.06	200.4	201.41(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-30	-0	-30	4.89	62%	0.06	57.6	0.48%	0	-0.5	48	0
7	May_18_2017	197.63	201.88	202	201.49	201.49	200.12	200.04(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-186	-50	-212	-107	6.65	60%	0.05	57.4	0.48%	0	-1.3	37	0
8	May_17_2017	197.53	201.84	202.23	201.94	202.05	201.73	199.56(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-134	-10	-154	-72	5.72	60%	0.04	53.6	0.48%	0	-1.3	30	0
9	May_16_2017	197.45	201.75	202.53	202.52	202.44	202.86	202.93(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	10	71	38	1.75	69%	0.03	55.1	0.43%	0	0.7	55	0
10	May_15_2017	197.39	201.51	202.45	202.46	202.27	202.36	202.91(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	39	20	1.82	70%	0.06	50.5	0.43%	0	0.8	51	0

11	May_12_2017	197.27	201.33	202.35	202.45	202.29	202.01	202.02(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-26	-10	-34	0	1.58	72%	0.06	50	0.44%	0	0.4	68	0
12	May_11_2017	197.15	201.11	202.37	202.6	202.48	202.17	202.28(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-32	-10	-50	22	3.09	72%	0.06	43.6	0.44%	0	0.6	81	0
13	May_10_2017	197.04	200.93	202.37	202.58	202.56	202.57	202.47(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	0	-21	57	1.39	73%	0.06	41.7	0.44%	0	0.7	79	0
14	May_9_2017	196.92	200.77	202.37	202.53	202.52	202.79	202.61(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	60	10	41	116	1.57	74%	0.06	40.8	0.44%	0	0.9	85	0
15	May_8_2017	196.8	200.6	202.39	202.44	202.33	202.56	202.9(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	10	50	144	2.31	74%	0.07	40.6	0.45%	0	1.1	75	0

16	May_5_2017	196.67	200.41	202.16	202.24	202.15	202.26	202.75(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	0	25	141	1.67	74%	0.07	39.8	0.44%	0	1.2	67	0
17	May_4_2017	196.54	200.23	201.75	202.11	202.1	202.09	202.19(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-0	2	137	2.64	74%	0.07	39.4	0.44%	0	1	71	0
18	May_3_2017	196.41	200.08	201.42	202.18	202.14	202.04	202.22(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-0	-17	132	1.83	76%	0.06	41.3	0.45%	0	1.2	63	0
19	May_2_2017	196.29	199.93	200.92	202.23	202.27	202.11	202.13(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-0	-27	116	1.36	76%	0.07	43.8	0.46%	0	1.2	60	0
20	May_1_2017	196.16	199.77	200.52	202.34	202.44	202.24	201.93(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10	-16	120	1.89	76%	0.07	50.6	0.46%	0	1.3	59	0

21	Apr_28_2017	196.03	199.63	200.23	202.04	202.49	202.42	202.08(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	0	23	123	1.93	70%	0.07	49.4	0.47%	0	1.5	59	0
22	Apr_27_2017	195.89	199.5	199.76	201.3	202.01	202.64	202.55(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	96	30	90	114	1.95	70%	0.08	42.1	0.47%	0	2	61	0
23	Apr_26_2017	195.73	199.32	199.34	200.52	200.99	202.56	202.46(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	203	60	224	138	2.87	70%	0.1	31.3	0.47%	0	2.3	61	0
24	Apr_25_2017	195.54	199.16	198.98	199.4	199.82	201.38	202.66(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	262	60	306	129	3.48	72%	0.1	10.5	0.47%	0	3.1	60	0
25	Apr_24_2017	195.35	198.92	198.6	198.47	198.6	199.42	200.44(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	137	30	169	42	3.22	71%		-34.1	0.46%	0	1.9	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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