Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $202.2924 (-0.54%) ($202.2443 - $203.5454) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $202.2924(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(24%)    VCIT(10%)    SIL(9%)    VCSH(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    SPLV(-8%)    XLU(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $201.46(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $200.48(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $197.53(2.41%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(36%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 1.58%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -1.21%(39%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 2%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.28%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2017	186.8	197.53	200.48	201.46	201.71	202.94	202.29(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	212	50	196	260	3.34	82%	0.16	68.5	0.44%	0	1.3	89	INF
2	Mar_1_2017	186.5	196.97	200.09	201.06	200.98	201.73	203.38(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	230	20	208	294	7.85	86%	0.17	62.8	0.43%	0	1.7	97	INF
3	Feb_28_2017	186.18	196.33	199.46	200.37	200.31	200.48	200.45(-0.15%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	106	10	54	260	2.82	84%	0.14	59	0.39%	0	1.1	96	INF
4	Feb_27_2017	185.92	195.88	199.06	200.19	200.09	200.23	200.75(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	105	0	45	283	3.43	84%	0.15	61	0.39%	0	1.4	99	INF
5	Feb_24_2017	185.64	195.47	198.49	199.73	199.81	200.14	200.4(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	130	10	74	296	3.7	84%	0.15	63.4	0.39%	0	1.4	97	INF

6	Feb_23_2017	185.36	195.08	197.86	199.34	199.31	199.94	200.3(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	159	20	106	319	3.18	84%	0.15	69.3	0.39%	0	1.6	98	INF
7	Feb_22_2017	185.09	194.68	197.12	198.96	198.84	199.47	199.94(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	195	20	147	339	2.25	84%	0.15	75	0.39%	0	1.7	98	INF
8	Feb_21_2017	184.82	194.23	196.41	198.41	198.42	198.69	199.57(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	181	10	131	331	3.08	84%	0.2	77.4	0.39%	0	1.9	98	INF
9	Feb_17_2017	184.45	193.74	195.7	197.75	197.74	198.21	198.43(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	123	20	68	289	5.75	83%	0.15	74.1	0.39%	0	1.7	85	INF
10	Feb_16_2017	184.18	193.32	195.11	197.04	197.21	198.14	198.47(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	235	40	207	317	4.59	83%	0.13	69.2	0.39%	0	2	74	INF

11	Feb_15_2017	183.94	192.86	194.35	196.12	196.28	197.27	198.37(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	251	40	241	279	3.65	83%	0.14	62.3	0.39%	0	2.3	73	INF
12	Feb_14_2017	183.68	192.43	193.59	194.99	195.19	196.28	197.21(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	223	40	226	215	3.59	82%	0.14	56.7	0.39%	0	2.4	71	INF
13	Feb_13_2017	183.43	192.06	192.92	194.11	194.2	195.29	196.27(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	216	40	229	176	2.64	81%	0.13	50	0.39%	0	2.4	74	INF
14	Feb_10_2017	183.2	191.77	192.42	193.36	193.47	194.1	194.87(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	175	20	187	140	2.88	82%	0.11	44.6	0.38%	0	2.2	74	INF
15	Feb_9_2017	183	191.55	192.19	192.9	192.91	193.11	193.89(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	78	10	73	91	3.49	84%	0.11	42.2	0.4%	0	1.9	70	INF

16	Feb_8_2017	182.8	191.42	192.06	192.31	192.59	192.84	192.73(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	10	57	79	2.29	83%	0.12	31.6	0.43%	0	1.2	70	INF
17	Feb_7_2017	182.59	191.3	192.04	191.94	192.1	192.72	192.79(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	90	30	88	95	2.61	86%	0.11	23.2	0.43%	0	1.4	65	INF
18	Feb_6_2017	182.39	191.2	191.87	191.52	191.63	192.33	192.51(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	111	30	117	91	2.77	86%	0.12	18.9	0.49%	0	1.3	63	INF
19	Feb_3_2017	182.18	191.14	191.64	191.35	191.19	191.48	192.6(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	63	10	64	60	4.86	86%	0.1	21.6	0.49%	0	1.5	59	INF
20	Feb_2_2017	181.99	191.05	191.41	191.39	191.05	190.93	190.9(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-24	-10	-38	18	2.64	85%	0.11	27.1	0.49%	0	-0.2	51	INF

21	Feb_1_2017	181.79	191.06	191.29	191.8	191.58	190.9	190.92(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-42	-30	-61	14	3.68	80%	0.1	39.6	0.49%	0	-0.2	47	INF
22	Jan_31_2017	181.6	191.05	191.22	192.14	192.02	191.16	190.66(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-105	-30	-138	-7	4.63	80%	0.09	47.9	0.5%	0	-0.4	52	INF
23	Jan_30_2017	181.43	191.01	191.19	192.24	192.45	192.26	191.64(-0.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-24	-0	-42	32	4.72	84%	0.11	42.9	0.49%	0	0.7	54	INF
24	Jan_27_2017	181.23	190.93	191.11	191.93	192.21	192.88	192.84(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	30	80	67	3.58	89%	0.09	29.4	0.48%	0	2	55	INF
25	Jan_26_2017	181.06	190.79	190.89	191.41	191.5	192.65	192.93(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	149	40	171	84	4	89%		8.7	0.49%	0	2.4	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.