Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $190.8488 (-0.29%) ($189.6773 - $191.0024) on Thu. Jan. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $190.8488(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(23%)    VCIT(10%)    VCSH(9%)    GDX(8%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-14%)    INDA(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    SPLV(-8%)    XLU(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $191.04(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $190.78(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $190.77(0.04%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.2
One Month Target Price   > $190.85
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $186.27

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7% away from the target price of 190.85.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.27% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2017	179.67		190.78		190.87	190.82	190.85(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-0	-16	-3	3.87	87%	0.09	88.9	0.48%	0	0.2	47	INF
2	Jan_11_2017	179.51	190.77	190.72	191.04	191	190.9	191.41(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-0	2	-3	5.21	78%	0.08	137.9	0.47%	0	1.1	48	INF
3	Jan_10_2017	179.36	190.69	190.69	191.04	190.95	190.92	190.51(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-0	-22	-10	3.03	77%	0.08	189.3	0.5%	0	-0.3	49	INF
4	Jan_9_2017	179.21	190.65	190.75	191.01	191.02	191.1	190.86(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	0	24	13	2.3	77%	0.08	223.3	0.5%	0	0.4	55	INF
5	Jan_6_2017	179.07	190.52	190.77	190.77	190.9	190.98	191.58(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	0	30	11	4.32	77%	0.08	217.6	0.49%	0	1.7	60	INF

6	Jan_5_2017	178.92	190.31	190.72	190.48	190.58	190.94	190.85(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	10	25	6	4.12	79%	0.08	186	0.49%	0	0.7	59	INF
7	Jan_4_2017	178.77	190.02	190.78	190.35	190.42	190.82	191.23(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	20	62	20	4.82	79%	0.08	146.4	0.49%	0	1.1	51	INF
8	Jan_3_2017	178.62	189.69	190.72	190.36	190.38	190.23	190.53(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10	7	4	6.67	79%	0.09	100	0.5%	0	0.5	56	INF
9	Dec_30_2016	178.46	189.38	190.7	190.48	190.57	190.02	189.66(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-20	-73	-20	4.28	80%	0.07	72.2	0.5%	0	0.1	54	INF
10	Dec_29_2016	178.33	189.11	190.79	190.76	190.86	190.52	190.12(-0.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-56	-10	-75	3	3.02	74%	0.08	70.9	0.51%	0	0.4	66	INF

11	Dec_28_2016	178.18	188.8	190.78	190.99	191.08	191.11	190.21(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	0	-20	45	3.82	74%	0.08	69.5	0.53%	0	0.5	71	INF
12	Dec_27_2016	178.03	188.47	190.85	191.24	191.21	191.19	191.29(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-0	16	107	2.34	78%	0.1	70.9	0.52%	0	0.9	86	INF
13	Dec_23_2016	177.86	188.05	190.71	191.13	191.22	191.04	191.14(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10	-8	121	1.37	73%	0.1	68.9	0.54%	0	0.9	86	INF
14	Dec_22_2016	177.68	187.67	190.54	190.96	191.11	191.23	191.06(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	33	10	-6	148	2.25	73%	0.1	72.2	0.55%	0	1	87	INF
15	Dec_21_2016	177.51	187.25	190.26	190.82	190.99	191.4	191.24(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	89	20	54	193	2.52	75%	0.1	73.7	0.55%	0	1.2	87	INF

16	Dec_20_2016	177.34	186.79	189.88	190.54	190.76	191	191.49(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	91	10	53	205	3.06	75%	0.1	72.9	0.56%	0	1.4	89	INF
17	Dec_19_2016	177.16	186.29	189.21	190.42	190.5	190.59	190.7(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	0	7	195	2.73	75%	0.09	75	0.56%	0	1.3	89	INF
18	Dec_16_2016	177	185.78	188.59	190.24	190.54	190.52	190.31(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	70	0	24	208	4.47	75%	0.08	74.2	0.56%	0	1.3	89	INF
19	Dec_15_2016	176.85	185.31	187.95	190.06	190.33	190.41	190.35(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	64	10	17	206	6.03	76%	0.08	75.7	0.56%	0	1.5	84	INF
20	Dec_14_2016	176.7	184.81	187.31	189.6	189.91	190.57	189.85(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	107	30	69	220	7.46	76%	0.08	78.5	0.57%	0	1.5	85	INF

21	Dec_13_2016	176.55	184.35	186.67	189.09	189.3	190.26	190.89(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	198	40	177	259	5.36	70%	0.09	86.5	0.57%	0	2.1	93	INF
22	Dec_12_2016	176.39	183.81	185.88	187.8	188.07	189.26	189.79(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	178	50	165	218	3.79	71%	0.08	94.1	0.6%	0	2.1	93	INF
23	Dec_9_2016	176.25	183.31	185.16	186.68	186.7	188.34	189.42(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	197	60	194	207	4.39	64%	0.08	109.4	0.61%	0	2.4	93	INF
24	Dec_8_2016	176.11	182.8	184.51	185.54	185.57	186.89	188.07(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	192	50	196	179	7.03	62%	0.06	130.6	0.67%	0	2.4	89	INF
25	Dec_7_2016	176	182.28	183.94	184.7	184.54	185.06	187.3(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	103	20	95	127	7.24	62%		141.7	0.67%	0	2.4	88	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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