Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $184.1765 (0.25%) ($183.8604 - $184.7131) on Mon. Dec. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $184.1765(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(23%)    VCIT(10%)    TAN(9%)    VCSH(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-13%)    INDA(-11%)    SHY(-9%)    SPLV(-8%)    XLU(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $183.67(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $183.1(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $181.19(1.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $184.18
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $178.19

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.4% away from the target price of 184.18.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.83%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.86%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.98%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2016	175.79	181.19	183.1	183.67	183.9	184.02	184.18(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	10	37	90	2.93	59%	0.05	110.2	0.65%	0	1.1	80	INF
2	Dec_2_2016	175.71	180.56	182.75	183.39	183.58	183.79	183.72(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	12	77	2.77	59%	0.05	82.4	0.65%	0	0.9	80	INF
3	Dec_1_2016	175.62	179.96	182.47	183.31	183.37	183.78	183.87(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	20	43	94	8.32	59%	0.06	70	0.65%	0	1	82	INF
4	Nov_30_2016	175.52	179.35	182.14	183.06	183.2	183.38	183.39(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	67	10	54	107	4.77	59%	0.05	61.3	0.65%	0	1	87	INF
5	Nov_29_2016	175.43	178.8	181.89	182.79	182.85	182.95	183.19(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	0	12	110	2.26	59%	0.06	56.9	0.65%	0	1	90	INF

6	Nov_28_2016	175.32	178.3	181.61	182.44	182.58	183.03	182.8(-0.27%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	74	20	50	146	3.16	59%	0.06	53.9	0.65%	0	1	91	INF
7	Nov_25_2016	175.21	177.82	181.33	181.99	182.14	182.74	183.3(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	111	30	83	194	1.55	59%	0.11	52.1	0.65%	0	1.3	96	INF
8	Nov_23_2016	175.02	177.31	180.97	181.51	181.54	182.13	182.61(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	108	20	70	220	2.47	59%	0.07	51.3	0.65%	0	1.3	93	INF
9	Nov_22_2016	174.89	176.85	180.49	181.1	181.14	181.55	182.07(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	110	20	66	241	2.76	59%	0.05	50.9	0.65%	0	1.3	91	INF
10	Nov_21_2016	174.81	176.4	179.83	180.87	180.77	180.96	181.42(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	82	10	29	241	3	59%	0.06	52.6	0.65%	0	1.3	85	INF

11	Nov_18_2016	174.7	176.01	179.15	180.65	180.6	180.73	180.57(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	75	0	18	245	4.36	59%	0.06	55.1	0.64%	0	1.3	77	INF
12	Nov_17_2016	174.59	175.62	178.23	180.55	180.52	180.57	180.87(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	77	0	23	238	4.21	59%	0.07	57	0.64%	0	1.5	77	INF
13	Nov_16_2016	174.46	175.22	177.29	180.33	180.28	180.57	180.56(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	10	25	227	3.46	59%	0.09	60.6	0.64%	0	1.6	75	INF
14	Nov_15_2016	174.3	174.86	176.38	179.75	179.96	180.47	180.91(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	134	20	101	231	3.75	59%	0.11	60.8	0.65%	0	2	75	INF
15	Nov_14_2016	174.11	174.44	175.49	178.62	178.8	180.1	180.36(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	154	50	136	208	4.8	59%	0.09	57.6	0.65%	0	2.1	75	INF

16	Nov_11_2016	173.95	174.02	174.72	177.39	177.38	179.46	180.07(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	244	80	253	218	5	59%	0.05	47.8	0.65%	0	2.5	71	INF
17	Nov_10_2016	173.86	173.64	173.99	175.53	175.86	177.51	179.75(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	266	70	294	181	8.75	59%	0.07	29.8	0.65%	0	3.1	73	INF
18	Nov_9_2016	173.74	173.25	173.29	173.8	173.83	175.31	177.68(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	140	60	161	78	8.36	56%	0.05	2.5	0.64%	0	3.1	67	INF
19	Nov_8_2016	173.66	173	172.83	172.54	172.72	174.21	175.21(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	166	60	203	56	3.44	51%	0.04	-36.2	0.61%	0	2.2	56	INF
20	Nov_7_2016	173.59	172.87	172.61	171.92	171.92	172.36	174.24(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	83	20	111	0	3.4	51%	0.04	-57.1	0.61%	0	1.4	55	INF

21	Nov_4_2016	173.52	172.88	172.54	171.69	171.64	171.23	170.75(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-66	-20	-63	-76	4.34	48%	0.02	-61.8	0.56%	0	-2.2	40	INF
22	Nov_3_2016	173.49	173.05	172.8	172.19	172.2	171.48	171.13(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-83	-30	-88	-68	1.97	48%	0.02	-57.1	0.56%	0	-2.3	38	INF
23	Nov_2_2016	173.45	173.21	173.03	172.66	172.71	172.05	171.36(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-102	-30	-116	-60	3.55	48%	0.02	-39.5	0.56%	0	-2.5	44	INF
24	Nov_1_2016	173.41	173.36	173.28	173.12	173.26	172.91	172.1(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-45	-10	-54	-16	3.62	48%	0.02	-30.6	0.57%	0	-2	44	INF
25	Oct_31_2016	173.37	173.43	173.4	173.38	173.41	173.38	173.1(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-0	-27	4	1.42	50%		-25	0.56%	0	-0.6	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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