Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $174.2166 (-0.08%) ($173.2144 - $174.4266) on Thu. Oct. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $174.2166(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(22%)    VCIT(10%)    SIL(8%)    TAN(8%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-13%)    INDA(-11%)    SHY(-9%)    XLU(-7%)    UUP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $174.06(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.85(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $173.58(0.37%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.71%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2016	172.54	173.58	173.85	174.06	173.96	174.08	174.22(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	0	12	18	2.37	59%	0.05	-41.9	0.58%	0	0.6	56	INF
2	Oct_5_2016	172.45	173.66	173.94	173.81	174.03	173.95	174.35(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	0	14	20	1.82	59%	0.05	-39.4	0.58%	0	0.6	52	INF
3	Oct_4_2016	172.36	173.75	173.93	173.89	173.92	173.83	173.22(-0.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-20	-0	-33	18	2.81	57%	0.03	-32.1	0.58%	0	-0.4	56	INF
4	Oct_3_2016	172.3	173.9	173.91	173.99	174.06	174.11	174.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	0	27	49	1.99	57%	0.05	-27.5	0.58%	0	0.1	57	INF
5	Sep_30_2016	172.22	173.99	173.79	173.69	173.82	174.01	174.46(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	10	21	27	4.58	61%	0.05	-29.8	0.58%	0	0.3	49	INF

6	Sep_29_2016	172.14	174.03	173.62	173.62	173.46	174	172.98(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	20	12	24	3.38	63%	0.03	-31.4	0.6%	0	-0.7	53	INF
7	Sep_28_2016	172.08	174.14	173.7	174.09	173.67	173.62	174.77(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10	44	38	6.41	71%	0.03	-25.6	0.61%	0	0.4	45	INF
8	Sep_27_2016	172.03	174.18	173.41	174	173.95	172.93	173.72(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-40	-69	-32	3.72	65%	0.04	-28.4	0.63%	0	-0.3	41	INF
9	Sep_26_2016	171.96	174.29	173.27	173.82	174.14	173.72	172.53(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-93	-10	-100	-70	2.64	63%	0.03	-32.2	0.66%	0	-1.1	38	INF
10	Sep_23_2016	171.9	174.43	173.47	173.87	174.23	174.98	174.12(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	30	40	44	-14	1.74	58%	0.04	-36.8	0.78%	0	-0.2	43	INF

11	Sep_22_2016	171.83	174.5	173.3	173.59	173.89	174.56	175.3(0.55%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	71	30	98	-12	2.32	58%	0.06	-45.5	0.78%	0	0.5	49	INF
12	Sep_21_2016	171.73	174.52	173.32	173.26	173.26	173.49	174.35(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	15	10	34	-43	4.5	58%	0.04	-53.9	0.78%	0	-0.1	47	INF
13	Sep_20_2016	171.66	174.62	173.5	172.76	173.02	173.22	172.81(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	10	23	-58	2	57%	0.02	-60.2	0.78%	0	-1.1	40	INF
14	Sep_19_2016	171.62	174.8	173.85	172.65	172.76	173.04	172.75(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	10	13	-64	2.26	57%	0.03	-65.9	0.78%	0	-1.3	38	INF
15	Sep_16_2016	171.57	174.99	174.18	173.02	172.66	172.82	172.74(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	0	20	-50	2.84	57%	0.03	-60.7	0.78%	0	-1.5	43	INF

16	Sep_15_2016	171.52	175.2	174.45	172.94	172.73	172.49	173.63(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10	-16	-68	3.99	57%	0.02	-65.1	0.78%	0	-1	43	INF
17	Sep_14_2016	171.48	175.36	174.62	173.43	172.95	172.5	171.89(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-83	-30	-81	-87	2.99	55%	0.01	-54.1	0.77%	0	-2.3	36	INF
18	Sep_13_2016	171.46	175.6	175.03	174.36	173.9	172.97	172.24(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-74	-50	-76	-66	7.48	53%	0.02	-43.1	0.77%	0	-2.7	35	INF
19	Sep_12_2016	171.43	175.85	175.44	175.23	174.82	173.39	174.62(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-116	-60	-131	-69	7.06	57%	0.03	-25.9	0.76%	0	-1.2	42	INF
20	Sep_9_2016	171.38	175.95	175.5	175.52	175.61	174.84	172.34(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-112	-30	-127	-66	8.24	51%	0.02	-16.1	0.75%	0	-3.7	28	INF

21	Sep_8_2016	171.35	176.19	175.87	176.13	176.23	176.24	176.07(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	0	2	-4	2.23	59%	0.04	25.8	0.7%	0	-0.2	42	INF
22	Sep_7_2016	171.29	176.17	175.85	175.96	175.99	176.39	176.55(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	20	20	27	-3	1.8	59%	0.04	29	0.7%	0	0.7	47	INF
23	Sep_6_2016	171.23	176.14	175.83	175.81	175.69	176.23	176.55(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	20	52	4	2.15	60%	0.06	41.9	0.7%	0	0.7	51	INF
24	Sep_2_2016	171.13	176.11	175.8	175.71	175.58	175.59	176.11(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	28	-0	40	-7	2.65	60%	0.04	50	0.7%	0	0	41	INF
25	Sep_1_2016	171.06	176.1	175.83	175.52	175.46	175.15	175.38(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10	-38	-45	3	60%		38.5	0.69%	0	-1.1	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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