Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $173.7203 (0.69%) ($172.0423 - $173.8539) on Tue. Sep. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $173.7203(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    BOTZ(63%)    GDXJ(23%)    VCIT(10%)    TAN(9%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-13%)    INDA(-11%)    SHY(-9%)    IPO(-8%)    XLU(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $174.18
5 Day Moving Average   $174(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $173.41(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $174.18(-0.26%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2016	172.03	174.18	173.41	174	173.95	172.93	173.72(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-40	-69	-32	3.72	65%	0.04	-28.4	0.63%	0	-0.3	41	INF
2	Sep_26_2016	171.96	174.29	173.27	173.82	174.14	173.72	172.53(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-93	-10	-100	-70	2.64	63%	0.03	-32.2	0.66%	0	-1.1	38	INF
3	Sep_23_2016	171.9	174.43	173.47	173.87	174.23	174.98	174.12(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	30	40	44	-14	1.74	58%	0.04	-36.8	0.78%	0	-0.2	43	INF
4	Sep_22_2016	171.83	174.5	173.3	173.59	173.89	174.56	175.3(0.55%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	71	30	98	-12	2.32	58%	0.06	-45.5	0.78%	0	0.5	49	INF
5	Sep_21_2016	171.73	174.52	173.32	173.26	173.26	173.49	174.35(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	15	10	34	-43	4.5	58%	0.04	-53.9	0.78%	0	-0.1	47	INF

6	Sep_20_2016	171.66	174.62	173.5	172.76	173.02	173.22	172.81(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	10	23	-58	2	57%	0.02	-60.2	0.78%	0	-1.1	40	INF
7	Sep_19_2016	171.62	174.8	173.85	172.65	172.76	173.04	172.75(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	10	13	-64	2.26	57%	0.03	-65.9	0.78%	0	-1.3	38	INF
8	Sep_16_2016	171.57	174.99	174.18	173.02	172.66	172.82	172.74(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	0	20	-50	2.84	57%	0.03	-60.7	0.78%	0	-1.5	43	INF
9	Sep_15_2016	171.52	175.2	174.45	172.94	172.73	172.49	173.63(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10	-16	-68	3.99	57%	0.02	-65.1	0.78%	0	-1	43	INF
10	Sep_14_2016	171.48	175.36	174.62	173.43	172.95	172.5	171.89(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-83	-30	-81	-87	2.99	55%	0.01	-54.1	0.77%	0	-2.3	36	INF

11	Sep_13_2016	171.46	175.6	175.03	174.36	173.9	172.97	172.24(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-74	-50	-76	-66	7.48	53%	0.02	-43.1	0.77%	0	-2.7	35	INF
12	Sep_12_2016	171.43	175.85	175.44	175.23	174.82	173.39	174.62(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-116	-60	-131	-69	7.06	57%	0.03	-25.9	0.76%	0	-1.2	42	INF
13	Sep_9_2016	171.38	175.95	175.5	175.52	175.61	174.84	172.34(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-112	-30	-127	-66	8.24	51%	0.02	-16.1	0.75%	0	-3.7	28	INF
14	Sep_8_2016	171.35	176.19	175.87	176.13	176.23	176.24	176.07(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	0	2	-4	2.23	59%	0.04	25.8	0.7%	0	-0.2	42	INF
15	Sep_7_2016	171.29	176.17	175.85	175.96	175.99	176.39	176.55(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	20	20	27	-3	1.8	59%	0.04	29	0.7%	0	0.7	47	INF

16	Sep_6_2016	171.23	176.14	175.83	175.81	175.69	176.23	176.55(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	20	52	4	2.15	60%	0.06	41.9	0.7%	0	0.7	51	INF
17	Sep_2_2016	171.13	176.11	175.8	175.71	175.58	175.59	176.11(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	28	-0	40	-7	2.65	60%	0.04	50	0.7%	0	0	41	INF
18	Sep_1_2016	171.06	176.1	175.83	175.52	175.46	175.15	175.38(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10	-38	-45	3	60%	0.04	38.5	0.69%	0	-1.1	41	INF
19	Aug_31_2016	170.99	176.05	175.98	175.57	175.59	175.58	175.23(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-0	-21	-36	1.88	60%	0.05	28.9	0.69%	0	-1	37	INF
20	Aug_30_2016	170.9	176.01	176.12	175.71	175.69	175.78	175.77(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	0	9	-17	1.87	60%	0.06	25	0.7%	0	-0.3	52	INF

21	Aug_29_2016	170.8	175.92	176.18	175.86	175.73	175.78	176.08(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10	-13	-21	2.23	60%	0.06	20.4	0.7%	0	0.2	52	INF
22	Aug_26_2016	170.69	175.85	176.28	175.91	176.02	175.6	175.12(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10	-30	-21	3.4	60%	0.06	17.9	0.7%	0	-0.7	46	INF
23	Aug_25_2016	170.59	175.84	176.42	176.2	176.19	175.85	175.64(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10	-54	-20	2.03	62%	0.05	21.4	0.7%	0	-0.2	50	INF
24	Aug_24_2016	170.51	175.82	176.42	176.45	176.4	176.43	175.92(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	0	-16	14	1.88	65%	0.06	25	0.7%	0	0.1	66	INF
25	Aug_23_2016	170.4	175.78	176.55	176.6	176.55	176.53	176.53(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-0	17	38	1.65	65%		25	0.71%	0	0.8	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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