Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $168.6618 (0.73%) ($168.6239 - $170.0183) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $168.6618(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(22%)    TAN(10%)    XBI(10%)    XLY(10%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-12%)    SHY(-9%)    INDA(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    XLU(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $167.73(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.58(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.46(0.12%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2016	163.68	168.46	168.58	167.73	167.82	168.35	168.66(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	91	20	117	13	2.96	50%	0.09	38.2	0.58%	0	0.2	54	INF
2	Jun_17_2016	163.53	168.31	168.66	167.58	167.38	168.35	167.45(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10	-19	-44	2.75	48%	0.1	30.8	0.58%	0	-0.7	42	INF
3	Jun_16_2016	163.36	168.18	168.79	167.93	167.6	167.29	168(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-51	-20	-53	-46	5.57	48%	0.12	23.4	0.59%	0	-0.1	47	INF
4	Jun_15_2016	163.17	168.07	168.88	168.39	168.14	167.48	167.16(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-72	-30	-82	-42	2.47	48%	0.1	25.3	0.59%	0	-0.5	41	INF
5	Jun_14_2016	163.01	168.07	169.02	169.05	168.76	167.92	167.39(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-100	-40	-122	-32	3.64	48%	0.12	26.9	0.59%	0	-0.4	53	INF

6	Jun_13_2016	162.82	168.01	169.13	169.53	169.48	168.81	167.91(-0.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-68	-30	-95	12	5.11	48%	0.11	35.6	0.58%	0	-0.1	66	INF
7	Jun_10_2016	162.64	167.91	169.25	169.88	169.86	169.6	169.19(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-21	-10	-48	62	4.13	55%	0.13	35.2	0.59%	0	0.7	74	INF
8	Jun_9_2016	162.43	167.81	169.2	169.76	169.91	170.16	170.29(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	10	31	115	2.14	57%	0.14	36.4	0.59%	0	1.4	85	INF
9	Jun_8_2016	162.2	167.65	169.04	169.45	169.47	170.13	170.46(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	30	74	141	1.71	57%	0.13	36.6	0.59%	0	1.7	73	INF
10	Jun_7_2016	161.99	167.55	168.73	169.01	168.97	169.66	169.82(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	117	30	105	152	1.57	57%	0.05	36.8	0.59%	0	1.4	71	INF

11	Jun_6_2016	161.91	167.4	168.32	168.68	168.44	168.82	169.63(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	10	58	115	2.72	57%	0.12	27.8	0.59%	0	1.5	59	INF
12	Jun_3_2016	161.71	167.27	167.91	168.68	168.27	168.27	168.57(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10	12	94	4.37	55%	0.1	27.1	0.59%	0	0.9	63	INF
13	Jun_2_2016	161.55	167.16	167.5	168.68	168.41	168.05	168.78(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-20	-25	63	1.97	55%	0.11	22.9	0.59%	0	1.2	54	INF
14	Jun_1_2016	161.37	167.03	167.19	168.56	168.54	168.27	168.26(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-22	-10	-46	49	2.48	62%	0.09	11.1	0.59%	0	0.9	53	INF
15	May_31_2016	161.22	166.97	166.93	168.39	168.7	168.76	168.18(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	10	29	55	2.4	55%	0.14	0	0.6%	0	0.9	45	INF

16	May_27_2016	160.99	166.98	166.81	167.85	168.27	168.8	168.99(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	30	63	49	1.63	62%	0.09	-13.9	0.65%	0	1.5	55	INF
17	May_26_2016	160.84	166.89	166.45	167.14	167.45	168.64	168.59(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	102	60	122	42	2.26	62%	0.06	-38.7	0.65%	0	1.3	53	INF
18	May_25_2016	160.74	166.85	166.29	166.27	166.65	167.74	168.78(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	135	50	167	39	2.73	65%	0.06	-57.8	0.66%	0	1.4	56	INF
19	May_24_2016	160.65	166.89	166.1	165.65	165.67	166.27	167.43(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	53	30	75	-13	2.8	63%	0.04	-69.8	0.67%	0	0.4	53	INF
20	May_23_2016	160.58	166.97	166.22	165.28	165.32	165.56	165.47(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	10	23	-38	1.74	60%	0.03	-74.7	0.65%	0	-1	44	INF

21	May_20_2016	160.53	167.16	166.37	165.64	165.47	165.08	165.45(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-11	-48	2.75	63%	0.01	-67.7	0.68%	0	-1.1	40	INF
22	May_19_2016	160.51	167.38	166.56	165.66	165.72	165.07	164.2(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-87	-30	-89	-81	5.09	61%	0	-65.6	0.68%	0	-2	40	INF
23	May_18_2016	160.51	167.65	166.82	166.29	166.15	165.87	165.69(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-10	-64	-61	4.1	65%	0	-55.1	0.67%	0	-1.3	42	INF
24	May_17_2016	160.51	167.89	166.9	166.6	166.61	166.37	165.62(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-10	-37	-60	3.35	69%	0.01	-43.8	0.67%	0	-1.5	36	INF
25	May_16_2016	160.49	168.11	167.08	167.29	167.06	166.43	167.22(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-30	-49	-54	2.39	75%		-23.8	0.69%	0	-0.6	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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