Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $154.4117 (-1.08%) ($154.1193 - $155.9254) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $154.4117(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(21%)    XBI(11%)    XLY(11%)    TAN(10%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-12%)    SHY(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    INDA(-7%)    XLU(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $154.65(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.32(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.1(1.52%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.17%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2016	159.44	152.1	152.32	154.65	154.78	155.47	154.41(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	30	41	66	6.05	43%	-0.01	62	1.22%	0	1	57	INF
2	Feb_22_2016	159.46	151.81	151.89	154.17	154.49	154.76	156.09(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	66	20	68	58	3.45	43%	0.02	54.2	1.21%	0	1.8	53	INF
3	Feb_19_2016	159.43	151.52	151.41	152.93	153.41	154.08	153.99(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	40	38	18	4.66	41%	0.02	38.1	1.2%	0	1.2	48	INF
4	Feb_18_2016	159.4	151.26	151.34	151.53	152.24	154.23	154.18(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	100	110	121	35	5.19	43%	0.02	14.4	1.2%	0	1.4	58	INF
5	Feb_17_2016	159.37	150.94	151.16	150.57	150.33	152.74	154.57(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	108	110	133	33	5.58	43%	0.03	-12.1	1.22%	0	1.7	61	INF

6	Feb_16_2016	159.32	150.69	150.79	149.69	149.44	150.26	152.01(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	87	30	113	7	5.45	43%	0.08	-33.8	1.2%	0	0.7	51	INF
7	Feb_12_2016	159.2	150.57	150.94	149.34	148.97	147.92	149.93(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-60	-39	-45	7.07	40%	-0.01	-46.9	1.2%	0	-0.3	54	INF
8	Feb_11_2016	159.21	150.72	151.34	149.71	149.18	148.63	146.95(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-98	-40	-111	-58	14.81	37%	-0.03	-43	1.17%	0	-1.9	44	INF
9	Feb_10_2016	159.26	150.95	151.75	151.08	150.59	150.02	149.38(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-40	-14	13	8.21	39%	-0.01	-45.1	1.16%	0	-0.9	54	INF
10	Feb_9_2016	159.28	151.2	151.8	151.8	151.32	149.72	150.17(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-59	-80	-80	5	11.45	39%	-0.03	-46.2	1.16%	0	-0.5	57	INF

11	Feb_8_2016	159.32	151.36	151.94	152.02	151.91	151.16	150.27(-0.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-71	-40	-97	8	13.38	39%	-0.01	-58.3	1.16%	0	-0.5	52	INF
12	Feb_5_2016	159.34	151.49	151.84	152.76	152.41	152.92	151.76(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	20	-1	59	8.29	39%	-0.02	-69.9	1.16%	0	0.1	55	INF
13	Feb_4_2016	159.37	151.61	151.74	153.22	152.67	152.66	153.83(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	-10	45	80	11.72	40%	-0.01	-82.9	1.15%	0	1	50	INF
14	Feb_3_2016	159.39	151.78	151.23	152.54	152.52	151.89	152.95(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-30	-13	37	14.25	40%	-0.01	-90.4	1.15%	0	0.5	53	INF
15	Feb_2_2016	159.4	152.11	150.72	151.81	152.03	152.67	151.27(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	30	-10	4	7.9	40%	-0.01	-84.1	1.14%	0	-0.3	44	INF

16	Feb_1_2016	159.41	152.53	150.59	151.83	151.62	153.14	154.01(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	70	111	42	6.98	41%	0.01	-78.5	1.13%	0	0.4	50	INF
17	Jan_29_2016	159.4	152.91	150.11	150.78	150.84	151.39	154.04(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	65	30	86	0	6.18	41%	0.01	-87.2	1.13%	0	0.3	51	INF
18	Jan_28_2016	159.38	153.38	149.95	150.1	150.06	150.1	150.42(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	0	-8	-58	8.61	38%	0	-77.5	1.08%	0	-0.7	41	INF
19	Jan_27_2016	159.38	154.1	150.01	149.75	150.18	150.29	149.29(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	10	27	-75	10.12	38%	-0.03	-66	1.09%	0	-1	33	INF
20	Jan_26_2016	159.42	154.81	150.49	149.43	149.76	150.03	151.39(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	20	24	-104	5.95	39%	-0.06	-59.1	1.08%	0	-0.6	32	INF

21	Jan_25_2016	159.51	155.42	150.66	149.14	148.94	150.07	148.73(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	50	19	-140	5.78	36%	-0.01	-57.6	1.05%	0	-1.1	27	INF
22	Jan_22_2016	159.52	156.22	151.08	149.33	149.14	149.49	150.69(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	25	10	82	-147	7.39	41%	-0.01	-59	1.05%	0	-1	26	INF
23	Jan_21_2016	159.53	156.83	151.44	149.84	148.85	147.8	148.63(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-120	-70	-81	-236	16.78	39%	-0.03	-56.2	1.06%	0	-1.4	19	INF
24	Jan_20_2016	159.57	157.49	152.37	150.34	149.85	148.78	147.71(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-150	-60	-112	-264	16.44	39%	-0.01	-55.7	1.06%	0	-1.6	15	INF
25	Jan_19_2016	159.58	158.16	153.63	151.7	151.33	149.91	149.97(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-125	-70	-85	-245	10.23	40%		-54.5	1.04%	0	-1.5	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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