Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $152.9456 (1.11%) ($149.4593 - $153.4610) on Wed. Feb. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $152.9456(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(20%)    TAN(11%)    XBI(11%)    XLB(11%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    INDA(-6%)    XLU(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $152.54(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.23(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $151.78(0.77%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2016	159.39	151.78	151.23	152.54	152.52	151.89	152.95(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-30	-13	37	14.25	40%	-0.01	-90.4	1.15%	0	0.5	53	INF
2	Feb_2_2016	159.4	152.11	150.72	151.81	152.03	152.67	151.27(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	30	-10	4	7.9	40%	-0.01	-84.1	1.14%	0	-0.3	44	INF
3	Feb_1_2016	159.41	152.53	150.59	151.83	151.62	153.14	154.01(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	70	111	42	6.98	41%	0.01	-78.5	1.13%	0	0.4	50	INF
4	Jan_29_2016	159.4	152.91	150.11	150.78	150.84	151.39	154.04(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	65	30	86	0	6.18	41%	0.01	-87.2	1.13%	0	0.3	51	INF
5	Jan_28_2016	159.38	153.38	149.95	150.1	150.06	150.1	150.42(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	0	-8	-58	8.61	38%	0	-77.5	1.08%	0	-0.7	41	INF

6	Jan_27_2016	159.38	154.1	150.01	149.75	150.18	150.29	149.29(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	10	27	-75	10.12	38%	-0.03	-66	1.09%	0	-1	33	INF
7	Jan_26_2016	159.42	154.81	150.49	149.43	149.76	150.03	151.39(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	20	24	-104	5.95	39%	-0.06	-59.1	1.08%	0	-0.6	32	INF
8	Jan_25_2016	159.51	155.42	150.66	149.14	148.94	150.07	148.73(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	50	19	-140	5.78	36%	-0.01	-57.6	1.05%	0	-1.1	27	INF
9	Jan_22_2016	159.52	156.22	151.08	149.33	149.14	149.49	150.69(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	25	10	82	-147	7.39	41%	-0.01	-59	1.05%	0	-1	26	INF
10	Jan_21_2016	159.53	156.83	151.44	149.84	148.85	147.8	148.63(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-120	-70	-81	-236	16.78	39%	-0.03	-56.2	1.06%	0	-1.4	19	INF

11	Jan_20_2016	159.57	157.49	152.37	150.34	149.85	148.78	147.71(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-150	-60	-112	-264	16.44	39%	-0.01	-55.7	1.06%	0	-1.6	15	INF
12	Jan_19_2016	159.58	158.16	153.63	151.7	151.33	149.91	149.97(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-125	-70	-85	-245	10.23	40%	0.01	-54.5	1.04%	0	-1.5	23	INF
13	Jan_15_2016	159.56	158.87	154.66	152.39	152.31	150.92	149.65(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-159	-70	-125	-262	19.97	43%	-0.04	-57	1.04%	0	-1.8	22	INF
14	Jan_14_2016	159.62	159.71	155.97	153.05	153.28	152.76	153.23(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-107	-20	-63	-239	14.75	46%	0.01	-56.3	1.01%	0	-1.4	25	INF
15	Jan_13_2016	159.6	160.26	157.07	153.3	153.73	153.7	151.13(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-86	10	-40	-225	16.37	43%	0.04	-56.4	1%	0	-2	25	INF

16	Jan_12_2016	159.54	160.87	158.53	154.72	154.29	153.8	154.5(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-82	-30	-45	-194	10.25	46%	0.05	-57.7	0.96%	0	-1.5	35	INF
17	Jan_11_2016	159.46	161.26	159.47	155.93	155.28	153.76	153.46(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-143	-80	-127	-191	12.35	46%	0.01	-59.9	0.96%	0	-2	37	INF
18	Jan_8_2016	159.45	161.83	160.57	157.33	157.05	154.78	152.9(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-178	-110	-176	-182	12.51	46%	-0.03	-56.9	0.96%	0	-2.6	29	INF
19	Jan_7_2016	159.5	162.41	161.8	159.34	158.48	156.8	154.51(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-208	-90	-223	-164	15.4	48%	-0.04	-55	0.96%	0	-2.9	28	INF
20	Jan_6_2016	159.57	162.93	162.73	161.37	160.55	159.33	158.24(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-113	-70	-122	-87	8.71	53%	-0.03	-54.5	0.91%	0	-2.3	39	INF

21	Jan_5_2016	159.61	163.32	163.11	162.88	162.24	160.17	160.54(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-122	-100	-141	-66	9.41	59%	-0.01	-39.8	0.9%	0	-1.6	47	INF
22	Jan_4_2016	159.63	163.63	163.13	163.55	163.5	161.78	160.44(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-151	-70	-178	-70	14.35	59%	-0.03	-28.7	0.92%	0	-1.9	50	INF
23	Dec_31_2015	159.67	163.79	163.48	164.29	164.42	164.32	162.97(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-0	-60	-9	5.77	64%	0.01	-25.5	0.91%	0	-0.5	47	INF
24	Dec_30_2015	159.65	163.92	163.76	164.63	164.6	165.22	164.67(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	50	53	2.91	69%	0.02	-21	0.9%	0	0.5	52	INF
25	Dec_29_2015	159.62	164.02	163.68	164.29	164.42	164.52	165.77(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	10	66	51	6.15	69%		-22.2	0.91%	0	1	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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