Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $147.7068 (-1.51%) ($144.6781 - $148.8970) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $147.7068(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(20%)    XBI(12%)    XLI(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    INDA(-6%)    XLU(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $157.49
5 Day Moving Average   $150.34(-1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152.37(-3.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $157.49(-6.21%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 3.77% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(41%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 2.78%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.75%(52%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 3.18%(66%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.66%(34%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2016	159.57	157.49	152.37	150.34	149.85	148.78	147.71(-1.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-150	-60	-112	-264	16.44	39%	-0.01	-55.7	1.06%	0	-1.6	15	INF
2	Jan_19_2016	159.58	158.16	153.63	151.7	151.33	149.91	149.97(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-125	-70	-85	-245	10.23	40%	0.01	-54.5	1.04%	0	-1.5	23	INF
3	Jan_15_2016	159.56	158.87	154.66	152.39	152.31	150.92	149.65(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-159	-70	-125	-262	19.97	43%	-0.04	-57	1.04%	0	-1.8	22	INF
4	Jan_14_2016	159.62	159.71	155.97	153.05	153.28	152.76	153.23(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-107	-20	-63	-239	14.75	46%	0.01	-56.3	1.01%	0	-1.4	25	INF
5	Jan_13_2016	159.6	160.26	157.07	153.3	153.73	153.7	151.13(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-86	10	-40	-225	16.37	43%	0.04	-56.4	1%	0	-2	25	INF

6	Jan_12_2016	159.54	160.87	158.53	154.72	154.29	153.8	154.5(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-82	-30	-45	-194	10.25	46%	0.05	-57.7	0.96%	0	-1.5	35	INF
7	Jan_11_2016	159.46	161.26	159.47	155.93	155.28	153.76	153.46(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-143	-80	-127	-191	12.35	46%	0.01	-59.9	0.96%	0	-2	37	INF
8	Jan_8_2016	159.45	161.83	160.57	157.33	157.05	154.78	152.9(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-178	-110	-176	-182	12.51	46%	-0.03	-56.9	0.96%	0	-2.6	29	INF
9	Jan_7_2016	159.5	162.41	161.8	159.34	158.48	156.8	154.51(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-208	-90	-223	-164	15.4	48%	-0.04	-55	0.96%	0	-2.9	28	INF
10	Jan_6_2016	159.57	162.93	162.73	161.37	160.55	159.33	158.24(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-113	-70	-122	-87	8.71	53%	-0.03	-54.5	0.91%	0	-2.3	39	INF

11	Jan_5_2016	159.61	163.32	163.11	162.88	162.24	160.17	160.54(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-122	-100	-141	-66	9.41	59%	-0.01	-39.8	0.9%	0	-1.6	47	INF
12	Jan_4_2016	159.63	163.63	163.13	163.55	163.5	161.78	160.44(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-151	-70	-178	-70	14.35	59%	-0.03	-28.7	0.92%	0	-1.9	50	INF
13	Dec_31_2015	159.67	163.79	163.48	164.29	164.42	164.32	162.97(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-0	-60	-9	5.77	64%	0.01	-25.5	0.91%	0	-0.5	47	INF
14	Dec_30_2015	159.65	163.92	163.76	164.63	164.6	165.22	164.67(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	50	53	2.91	69%	0.02	-21	0.9%	0	0.5	52	INF
15	Dec_29_2015	159.62	164.02	163.68	164.29	164.42	164.52	165.77(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	10	66	51	6.15	69%	0.02	-22.2	0.91%	0	1	52	INF

16	Dec_28_2015	159.59	164	163.34	163.41	163.67	163.99	163.9(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	20	12	-3	2.93	63%	0.01	-38.9	0.9%	0	-0.1	45	INF
17	Dec_24_2015	159.58	164.11	163.34	162.66	163.04	164.33	164.12(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	55	60	77	-11	1.77	63%	0.01	-47.3	0.93%	0	0	43	INF
18	Dec_23_2015	159.56	164.2	163.1	162.56	162.33	163.35	164.68(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	54	40	76	-12	6.46	63%	0.01	-46.1	0.93%	0	0.3	53	INF
19	Dec_22_2015	159.54	164.27	162.96	162.83	162.52	161.76	162.99(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-40	-0	-45	6	61%	0	-34.7	0.93%	0	-0.7	45	INF
20	Dec_21_2015	159.54	164.43	163.08	163.02	163.21	161.3	161.34(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-126	-80	-133	-104	6.47	60%	-0.01	-24.4	0.93%	0	-1.6	39	INF

21	Dec_18_2015	159.56	164.69	163.51	163.26	163.92	163.28	160.17(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-100	-20	-104	-89	10.95	56%	-0.03	-8.9	0.93%	0	-2.5	41	INF
22	Dec_17_2015	159.6	164.98	164.18	163.5	163.98	165.12	163.63(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	36	60	54	-19	8.5	61%	-0.01	1.1	0.92%	0	-0.9	44	INF
23	Dec_16_2015	159.61	165.08	164.17	163.65	163.21	164.56	166(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	81	50	110	-6	11.29	64%	0.02	5.6	0.9%	0	0.6	48	INF
24	Dec_15_2015	159.58	164.94	164.1	163.16	162.97	162.84	163.97(0.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	29	-10	53	-43	8.04	65%	0.02	-10.8	0.9%	0	-0.6	44	INF
25	Dec_14_2015	159.55	164.91	164.38	163.21	163	161.85	162.51(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-99	-50	-99	-100	12.32	63%		-15.8	0.91%	0	-1.5	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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