Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $166.2466 (-0.02%) ($165.7420 - $166.5083) on Fri. Nov. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $166.2466(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(20%)    XBI(13%)    XLI(13%)    XLY(13%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    EMHY(-10%)    ARKK(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    INDA(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $166.27(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $165.03(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $165.24(0.61%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.6
One Month Target Price   > $166.25
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $158.02

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.8% away from the target price of 166.25.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_27_2015	159.69	165.24	165.03	166.27	166.13	166.26	166.25(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	0	9	30	2.88	63%	0.01	29.2	0.99%	0	0.6	46	INF
2	Nov_25_2015	159.67	165.18	164.69	166.12	166.22	166.07	166.27(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-0	11	15	2.23	65%	0.01	34.4	1.12%	0	0.7	48	INF
3	Nov_24_2015	159.65	165.13	164.54	165.97	165.97	166	166.32(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	0	-2	3	4.37	59%	0.02	48.9	1.14%	0	0.8	48	INF
4	Nov_23_2015	159.62	165	164.43	165.34	165.68	166.37	166.1(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	40	41	6	2.6	59%	0.04	48.4	1.23%	0	0.7	46	INF
5	Nov_20_2015	159.56	164.89	164.43	164.72	164.98	165.94	166.4(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	50	75	9	7.73	52%	0.02	48.9	1.3%	0	1	51	INF

6	Nov_19_2015	159.53	164.78	164.32	163.6	163.79	164.98	165.49(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	45	50	63	-8	5.46	51%	0.01	40.9	1.32%	0	0.5	54	INF
7	Nov_18_2015	159.52	164.66	164.37	163.04	162.85	164.02	165.55(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	42	50	61	-14	6.25	51%	0.02	33.6	1.33%	0	0.5	51	INF
8	Nov_17_2015	159.49	164.39	164.43	162.95	162.54	162.6	163.16(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	-0	19	-32	6.61	49%	0.01	34.7	1.31%	0	-0.6	42	INF
9	Nov_16_2015	159.48	164.27	164.78	163.44	163.06	161.67	163.03(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-70	-55	-47	5.01	49%	-0.02	42.1	1.31%	0	-0.6	50	INF
10	Nov_13_2015	159.51	164.16	165.09	163.88	163.91	162.48	160.78(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-98	-60	-111	-58	8.01	48%	-0.03	46.9	1.3%	0	-1.4	41	INF

11	Nov_12_2015	159.55	164.17	165.51	165.1	164.93	164.46	162.7(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-48	-20	-58	-18	6.16	48%	-0.03	61.7	1.3%	0	-0.6	46	INF
12	Nov_11_2015	159.59	164.04	165.8	165.84	165.68	165.35	165.07(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-10	20	2.86	48%	-0.01	63.5	1.28%	0	0.4	62	INF
13	Nov_10_2015	159.61	163.68	165.85	166.11	165.89	165.41	165.6(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-18	-20	-34	30	4.84	49%	-0.01	63.9	1.29%	0	0.7	74	INF
14	Nov_9_2015	159.63	163.36	165.68	166.35	166.28	166.01	165.26(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10	-19	49	7.96	49%	-0.01	69.6	1.3%	0	0.6	71	INF
15	Nov_6_2015	159.64	163.07	165.57	166.48	166.46	166.37	166.87(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-0	4	71	7.64	49%	-0.01	74.6	1.3%	0	1.2	77	INF

16	Nov_5_2015	159.65	162.68	165.31	165.98	166.2	166.37	166.4(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	20	10	78	5.01	49%	0.01	80.7	1.3%	0	1.2	77	INF
17	Nov_4_2015	159.64	162.28	164.96	165.75	165.85	166.55	166.41(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	30	38	96	6.87	49%	0.01	89.5	1.3%	0	1.3	79	INF
18	Nov_3_2015	159.63	161.83	164.33	165.57	165.43	165.85	166.8(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	20	43	103	4.28	49%	0.02	95.9	1.3%	0	1.6	84	INF
19	Nov_2_2015	159.6	161.29	163.68	164.94	164.99	165.15	165.92(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	10	19	89	4.18	49%	0	102.6	1.3%	0	1.5	74	INF
20	Oct_30_2015	159.6	160.8	163.12	164.54	164.54	165.01	164.4(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	20	13	85	6.53	49%	-0.01	104.9	1.29%	0	1.1	68	INF

21	Oct_29_2015	159.62	160.26	162.71	164.52	164.32	164.82	165.23(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	20	39	100	4.73	49%	-0.01	96.9	1.29%	0	1.4	73	INF
22	Oct_28_2015	159.63	159.58	162.13	164.04	164.06	164.08	165.51(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	0	37	96	7.35	51%	0.01	90.5	1.29%	0	1.5	75	INF
23	Oct_27_2015	159.62	158.88	161.33	162.89	163.37	163.83	163.63(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	30	17	71	4.7	50%	0	77.8	1.29%	0	1.2	75	INF
24	Oct_26_2015	159.62	158.18	160.84	162.2	162.54	164.05	163.96(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	78	70	74	91	3.8	50%	-0.01	66.3	1.3%	0	1.3	79	INF
25	Oct_23_2015	159.63	157.43	160.36	161.48	161.53	162.91	164.29(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	104	60	105	102	7.64	49%		58.5	1.3%	0	1.6	81	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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