Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 31, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Jun. 13, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $163.6426 (-0.3%) ($163.4666 - $164.6151) on Fri. Jul. 31, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $163.6426(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(75%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLB(16%)    XLI(16%)    XLY(16%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    EMHY(-9%)    VIXM(-6%)    BND(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $164.6
5 Day Moving Average   $163.29(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $164.08(-0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.6(-0.58%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2015	165.41	164.6	164.08	163.29	163.55	163.98	163.64(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	13	20	44	-79	4.48	49%	-0.01	-9.6	0.68%	0	-0.5	39	INF
2	Jul_30_2015	165.42	164.61	164.41	163.08	162.89	163.83	164.14(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	28	40	59	-65	3.66	47%	0.02	-16.7	0.69%	0	-0.3	51	INF
3	Jul_29_2015	165.39	164.62	164.73	163.06	162.75	163.11	164.18(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	44	10	71	-37	4.18	47%	0.01	-21.1	0.7%	0	-0.2	59	INF
4	Jul_28_2015	165.38	164.56	164.98	163.26	162.94	161.95	163.11(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-50	-69	-65	5.63	47%	-0.01	-29.1	0.7%	0	-0.8	58	INF
5	Jul_27_2015	165.4	164.55	165.36	163.79	163.63	162.38	161.37(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-158	-60	-182	-84	5.37	44%	-0.01	-33.1	0.69%	0	-1.6	42	INF

6	Jul_24_2015	165.42	164.78	165.89	164.98	164.76	163.93	162.57(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-103	-40	-132	-16	4.59	46%	-0.02	-19.1	0.68%	0	-1.2	50	INF
7	Jul_23_2015	165.46	164.93	166.11	165.91	165.79	164.88	164.09(-0.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-63	-40	-94	31	4.97	48%	-0.01	-10.4	0.67%	0	-0.5	53	INF
8	Jul_22_2015	165.48	165.02	165.98	166.61	166.43	165.59	165.14(-0.37%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-77	-40	-115	36	3.81	48%	-0.01	1.9	0.67%	0	0.1	55	INF
9	Jul_21_2015	165.5	165.13	165.71	166.95	167	166.71	165.76(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-25	-10	-56	69	5.03	48%	-0.01	11.6	0.67%	0	0.3	63	INF
10	Jul_20_2015	165.52	165.19	165.58	167.17	167.22	167.27	167.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	0	14	117	2.96	53%	0.01	21.6	0.66%	0	1.1	70	INF

11	Jul_17_2015	165.51	165.12	165.19	166.94	166.98	167.29	167.22(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	10	33	105	2.76	49%	0	21.2	0.68%	0	1.1	53	INF
12	Jul_16_2015	165.51	165.11	164.84	166.33	166.67	167.17	167.55(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	30	91	101	2.5	49%	0	14	0.71%	0	1.3	55	INF
13	Jul_15_2015	165.51	164.99	164.47	165.25	165.8	166.66	166.87(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	50	93	64	3.41	49%	0	-2.8	0.7%	0	1	51	INF
14	Jul_14_2015	165.51	164.91	164.04	164.26	164.86	166.16	166.86(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	110	70	137	30	2.76	49%	0.01	-15.1	0.71%	0	1.1	45	INF
15	Jul_13_2015	165.5	164.77	163.58	163.76	163.86	164.94	166.19(1.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	98	50	133	-9	3.87	49%	-0.01	-23.3	0.7%	0	0.8	44	INF

16	Jul_10_2015	165.51	164.72	163.49	163.22	163.27	163.57	164.16(1.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	38	10	69	-56	4.5	46%	0	-31.7	0.69%	0	-0.3	42	INF
17	Jul_9_2015	165.51	164.84	163.57	163.16	163.02	162.79	162.17(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-10	-32	-113	4.58	42%	-0.02	-28.8	0.67%	0	-1.6	32	INF
18	Jul_8_2015	165.55	165.05	163.95	163.55	163.28	162.97	161.93(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-20	-42	-104	6.85	42%	-0.02	-26.5	0.68%	0	-1.9	40	INF
19	Jul_7_2015	165.58	165.05	164.51	163.71	163.69	163.25	164.37(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-20	-15	-83	7.78	46%	-0.01	-32.6	0.65%	0	-0.6	47	INF
20	Jul_6_2015	165.6	165.18	164.79	163.34	163.61	163.59	163.49(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	0	-55	-97	3.75	46%	0	-46.7	0.65%	0	-1.1	49	INF

21	Jul_2_2015	165.6	165.25	165.07	163.79	163.74	164.12	163.83(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	20	13	-52	4.01	46%	0	-45.9	0.65%	0	-1	46	INF
22	Jul_1_2015	165.6	165.34	165.42	164.09	164.16	163.63	164.15(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-20	-8	-49	4.14	46%	0	-47.1	0.65%	0	-0.8	42	INF
23	Jun_30_2015	165.6	165.47	165.58	164.46	164.63	163.36	162.69(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-146	-50	-161	-102	9.15	45%	0.01	-42.2	0.65%	0	-2	39	INF
24	Jun_29_2015	165.59	165.66	165.89	165.44	165.5	164.7	162.52(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-128	-30	-150	-61	8.89	45%	-0.01	-26.7	0.68%	0	-2.5	48	INF
25	Jun_26_2015	165.6	165.88	166.13	166.42	166.51	165.9	165.75(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-38	-20	-54	11	4.86	51%		-13.1	0.63%	0	-0.1	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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