Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $166.8645 (0.41%) ($165.9207 - $167.0589) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $166.8645(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(75%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLB(16%)    XLI(16%)    XLY(16%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    EMHY(-9%)    VIXM(-6%)    BND(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $164.26(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $164.04(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.91(1.19%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2015	165.51	164.91	164.04	164.26	164.86	166.16	166.86(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	110	70	137	30	2.76	49%	0.01	-15.1	0.71%	0	1.1	45	INF
2	Jul_13_2015	165.5	164.77	163.58	163.76	163.86	164.94	166.19(1.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	98	50	133	-9	3.87	49%	-0.01	-23.3	0.7%	0	0.8	44	INF
3	Jul_10_2015	165.51	164.72	163.49	163.22	163.27	163.57	164.16(1.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	38	10	69	-56	4.5	46%	0	-31.7	0.69%	0	-0.3	42	INF
4	Jul_9_2015	165.51	164.84	163.57	163.16	163.02	162.79	162.17(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-10	-32	-113	4.58	42%	-0.02	-28.8	0.67%	0	-1.6	32	INF
5	Jul_8_2015	165.55	165.05	163.95	163.55	163.28	162.97	161.93(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-20	-42	-104	6.85	42%	-0.02	-26.5	0.68%	0	-1.9	40	INF

6	Jul_7_2015	165.58	165.05	164.51	163.71	163.69	163.25	164.37(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-20	-15	-83	7.78	46%	-0.01	-32.6	0.65%	0	-0.6	47	INF
7	Jul_6_2015	165.6	165.18	164.79	163.34	163.61	163.59	163.49(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	0	-55	-97	3.75	46%	0	-46.7	0.65%	0	-1.1	49	INF
8	Jul_2_2015	165.6	165.25	165.07	163.79	163.74	164.12	163.83(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	20	13	-52	4.01	46%	0	-45.9	0.65%	0	-1	46	INF
9	Jul_1_2015	165.6	165.34	165.42	164.09	164.16	163.63	164.15(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-20	-8	-49	4.14	46%	0	-47.1	0.65%	0	-0.8	42	INF
10	Jun_30_2015	165.6	165.47	165.58	164.46	164.63	163.36	162.69(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-146	-50	-161	-102	9.15	45%	0.01	-42.2	0.65%	0	-2	39	INF

11	Jun_29_2015	165.59	165.66	165.89	165.44	165.5	164.7	162.52(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-128	-30	-150	-61	8.89	45%	-0.01	-26.7	0.68%	0	-2.5	48	INF
12	Jun_26_2015	165.6	165.88	166.13	166.42	166.51	165.9	165.75(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-38	-20	-54	11	4.86	51%	0.01	-13.1	0.63%	0	-0.1	58	INF
13	Jun_25_2015	165.58	165.9	166.1	166.53	166.93	166.3	165.31(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-61	-20	-83	7	3.6	46%	0.02	-20.3	0.63%	0	-0.6	53	INF
14	Jun_24_2015	165.54	165.99	166.24	166.94	167.13	167.12	166.01(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-16	0	-36	43	4.33	46%	0.03	-15.2	0.66%	0	0	53	INF
15	Jun_23_2015	165.49	166.06	166.26	166.87	167.21	167.56	167.6(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	20	63	78	3.12	49%	0.05	-22.7	0.66%	0	1.4	51	INF

16	Jun_22_2015	165.4	165.99	165.91	166.42	166.71	167.14	167.41(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	20	63	54	4.05	49%	0.06	-43.1	0.66%	0	1.3	53	INF
17	Jun_19_2015	165.3	166.01	165.58	165.81	166.04	166.86	166.34(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	40	77	30	3.96	51%	0.04	-56.5	0.66%	0	0.3	48	INF
18	Jun_18_2015	165.23	166.12	165.41	165.61	165.39	166.28	167.35(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	79	30	97	24	6.54	54%	0.07	-53.2	0.66%	0	1	53	INF
19	Jun_17_2015	165.12	166.16	165.2	165.48	165.05	165.23	165.64(0.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	26	-0	39	-12	3.65	52%	0.04	-46.3	0.67%	0	-0.4	42	INF
20	Jun_16_2015	165.06	166.31	165.3	165.59	165.35	164.5	165.39(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-40	-31	-41	3.28	55%	0.02	-34.1	0.67%	0	-0.6	40	INF

21	Jun_15_2015	165.02	166.46	165.38	165.31	165.52	164.88	164.36(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-89	-20	-93	-75	5.5	55%	0.02	-33	0.69%	0	-1.4	42	INF
22	Jun_12_2015	164.99	166.67	165.59	165.26	165.49	166.2	165.32(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	30	18	-41	4.57	58%	0.01	-32.6	0.69%	0	-0.9	37	INF
23	Jun_11_2015	164.97	166.81	165.68	165.14	165.19	166.16	166.71(0.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	89	40	123	-13	3.71	60%	0.04	-25.8	0.7%	0	-0.1	39	INF
24	Jun_10_2015	164.91	166.8	165.71	164.88	164.75	164.77	166.17(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	-0	32	-64	5.48	56%	0.04	-24.7	0.7%	0	-0.4	37	INF
25	Jun_9_2015	164.85	166.82	165.82	165.03	164.85	164.23	164(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-81	-30	-72	-107	4.72	53%		-18	0.72%	0	-1.9	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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