Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $165.3891 (0.62%) ($164.1616 - $165.5275) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $165.3891(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(75%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLY(17%)    XLB(16%)    XLI(16%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    EMHY(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    BND(-7%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $166.31
5 Day Moving Average   $165.59(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $165.3(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.31(-0.55%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2015	165.06	166.31	165.3	165.59	165.35	164.5	165.39(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-40	-31	-41	3.28	55%	0.02	-34.1	0.67%	0	-0.6	40	0
2	Jun_15_2015	165.02	166.46	165.38	165.31	165.52	164.88	164.36(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-89	-20	-93	-75	5.5	55%	0.02	-33	0.69%	0	-1.4	42	0
3	Jun_12_2015	164.99	166.67	165.59	165.26	165.49	166.2	165.32(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	30	18	-41	4.57	58%	0.01	-32.6	0.69%	0	-0.9	37	0
4	Jun_11_2015	164.97	166.81	165.68	165.14	165.19	166.16	166.71(0.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	89	40	123	-13	3.71	60%	0.04	-25.8	0.7%	0	-0.1	39	0
5	Jun_10_2015	164.91	166.8	165.71	164.88	164.75	164.77	166.17(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	-0	32	-64	5.48	56%	0.04	-24.7	0.7%	0	-0.4	37	0

6	Jun_9_2015	164.85	166.82	165.82	165.03	164.85	164.23	164(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-81	-30	-72	-107	4.72	53%	0	-18	0.72%	0	-1.9	24	0
7	Jun_8_2015	164.85	166.97	166.09	165.48	165.57	164.72	164.1(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-86	-30	-78	-108	4.38	53%	0.02	-8.9	0.73%	0	-2.2	26	0
8	Jun_5_2015	164.81	167.15	166.5	165.96	166.03	165.47	164.73(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-88	-20	-85	-98	5.23	49%	0.04	8.8	0.75%	0	-2.1	30	0
9	Jun_4_2015	164.75	167.2	166.9	166.26	166.44	166.43	165.39(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	0	-24	-64	7.31	49%	0.04	21.2	0.75%	0	-1.6	35	0
10	Jun_3_2015	164.68	167.17	167.22	166.64	166.61	166.59	166.93(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-0	6	-34	5.48	51%	0.04	23.3	0.74%	0	-0.2	55	0

11	Jun_2_2015	164.62	167.17	167.4	166.76	166.66	166.44	166.26(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10	-23	-33	5.11	51%	0.03	17.7	0.74%	0	-0.6	52	0
12	Jun_1_2015	164.57	167.08	167.64	166.8	166.89	166.64	166.49(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10	-25	-24	4.35	51%	0.02	20.3	0.75%	0	-0.4	51	0
13	May_29_2015	164.53	167.05	167.84	167.14	166.99	166.87	166.22(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10	-43	-19	4.92	51%	0.02	24.7	0.75%	0	-0.6	44	0
14	May_28_2015	164.5	166.96	168.04	167.64	167.41	167.15	167.31(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-10	-16	18	3.66	51%	0.04	25.8	0.76%	0	0.2	64	0
15	May_27_2015	164.43	166.89	167.98	167.9	167.79	167.1	167.52(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-40	-30	-59	17	3.59	51%	0.05	31.1	0.76%	0	0.4	69	0

16	May_26_2015	164.34	166.84	167.89	168.16	168.21	167.68	166.46(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-51	-20	-76	26	5.53	51%	0.05	41.6	0.76%	0	-0.3	61	0
17	May_22_2015	164.26	166.82	167.95	168.59	168.64	168.47	168.2(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-20	66	2.36	54%	0.02	51.1	0.73%	0	0.9	61	0
18	May_21_2015	164.22	166.71	167.88	168.63	168.68	168.73	168.69(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	0	0	84	2.72	54%	0.04	60.5	0.74%	0	1.4	65	0
19	May_20_2015	164.16	166.57	167.53	168.51	168.59	168.81	168.62(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	10	31	99	5.08	54%	0.02	61	0.74%	0	1.5	71	0
20	May_19_2015	164.12	166.43	167.11	168.07	168.31	168.63	168.82(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	20	48	88	2.77	54%	0.02	51.9	0.75%	0	1.8	61	0

21	May_18_2015	164.08	166.23	166.72	167.59	167.76	168.36	168.59(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	30	55	72	2.89	54%	0.02	43.1	0.75%	0	2	56	0
22	May_15_2015	164.04	166.08	166.45	167.22	167.15	167.99	168.41(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	30	70	70	4.52	54%	0.03	38.6	0.75%	0	2	58	0
23	May_14_2015	163.99	165.85	166.16	167.03	166.86	167.16	168.09(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	10	72	64	4.92	54%	0.02	29	0.75%	0	2.2	56	0
24	May_13_2015	163.96	165.75	165.76	166.43	166.71	166.31	166.44(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10	10	15	3.85	52%	0.01	21.8	0.75%	0	0.8	51	0
25	May_12_2015	163.94	165.74	165.68	165.99	166.22	166.56	166.41(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	20	-19	-8	4.74	52%		18.5	0.75%	0	0.7	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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