Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $168.8222 (0.14%) ($168.3054 - $169.1481) on Tue. May. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $168.8222(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(75%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLY(17%)    XLB(16%)    XLI(16%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    EMHY(-8%)    VIXM(-7%)    BND(-7%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $168.07(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $167.11(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.43(1.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.8
One Month Target Price   > $174.39
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $167.85

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 3.3% away from the target price of 174.39.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2015	164.12	166.43	167.11	168.07	168.31	168.63	168.82(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	20	48	88	2.77	54%	0.02	51.9	0.75%	0	1.8	61	INF
2	May_18_2015	164.08	166.23	166.72	167.59	167.76	168.36	168.59(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	30	55	72	2.89	54%	0.02	43.1	0.75%	0	2	56	INF
3	May_15_2015	164.04	166.08	166.45	167.22	167.15	167.99	168.41(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	30	70	70	4.52	54%	0.03	38.6	0.75%	0	2	58	INF
4	May_14_2015	163.99	165.85	166.16	167.03	166.86	167.16	168.09(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	10	72	64	4.92	54%	0.02	29	0.75%	0	2.2	56	INF
5	May_13_2015	163.96	165.75	165.76	166.43	166.71	166.31	166.44(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10	10	15	3.85	52%	0.01	21.8	0.75%	0	0.8	51	INF

6	May_12_2015	163.94	165.74	165.76	165.99	166.22	166.56	166.41(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	20	-19	-8	4.74	52%	0.01	18.5	0.75%	0	0.7	52	INF
7	May_11_2015	163.92	165.71	165.68	165.68	165.9	167.11	166.75(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	85	60	100	38	3.75	52%	0.02	16.7	0.75%	0	1.2	57	INF
8	May_8_2015	163.88	165.63	165.58	165.56	165.49	165.88	167.46(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	79	20	94	32	5.53	52%	0.04	19.2	0.75%	0	2.1	56	INF
9	May_7_2015	163.82	165.63	165.43	165.2	165.26	164.69	165.09(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-20	-32	-18	4.14	48%	0.04	26.1	0.73%	0	-0.6	57	INF
10	May_6_2015	163.76	165.55	165.53	165	165.44	165.1	164.27(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-10	-53	-33	7.53	48%	0.05	31.3	0.74%	0	-1.6	42	INF

11	May_5_2015	163.67	165.58	165.69	165.31	165.41	165.83	164.84(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	20	-4	-8	5.32	51%	0.05	47.9	0.74%	0	-0.9	44	INF
12	May_4_2015	163.59	165.56	165.73	165.65	165.48	165.77	166.16(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	10	55	21	3.26	53%	0.06	54	0.74%	0	0.7	51	INF
13	May_1_2015	163.5	165.47	165.69	165.6	165.42	165	165.66(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-20	-26	-10	3.9	59%	0.03	62	0.77%	0	0.2	52	INF
14	Apr_30_2015	163.45	165.35	165.53	165.71	165.71	165.2	164.08(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-20	-63	-31	8.56	54%	0.02	60.3	0.77%	0	-1.3	43	INF
15	Apr_29_2015	163.41	165.3	165.78	165.71	166.08	165.85	165.82(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-19	-10	-25	0	6.56	59%	0.02	62.7	0.78%	0	0.5	54	INF

16	Apr_28_2015	163.38	165.19	165.83	166.12	166.09	166.23	166.53(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	5	20	4.53	56%	0.02	52.9	0.79%	0	1.2	60	INF
17	Apr_27_2015	163.34	165.11	165.75	165.83	165.95	166.3	165.91(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	30	29	4.97	52%	0.01	43.3	0.8%	0	0.7	59	INF
18	Apr_24_2015	163.32	164.96	165.7	165.8	165.75	165.95	166.25(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	10	34	34	4.01	52%	0.02	24.7	0.82%	0	1.1	60	INF
19	Apr_23_2015	163.29	164.77	165.66	165.32	165.61	165.59	166.09(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	0	14	26	4.89	51%	0.02	3.8	0.83%	0	1	64	INF
20	Apr_22_2015	163.26	164.61	165.56	165.4	165.25	165.56	165.81(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-5	10	-15	26	5.58	53%	0.02	-5.1	0.84%	0	0.9	66	INF

21	Apr_21_2015	163.23	164.58	165.44	165.53	165.51	165.63	165.07(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	37	0	32	52	3.6	53%	0.02	2.6	0.86%	0	0.4	58	INF
22	Apr_20_2015	163.2	164.64	165.37	165.68	165.69	164.93	165.78(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-11	-30	-25	31	5.36	53%	0.02	9.8	0.85%	0	0.8	52	INF
23	Apr_17_2015	163.17	164.66	165.23	165.58	165.67	165.39	163.85(-1.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-58	-10	-82	14	8.68	51%	0.01	19	0.84%	0	-0.6	56	INF
24	Apr_16_2015	163.16	164.72	165.2	166.01	166.01	166.46	166.48(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	20	44	81	3.87	56%	0.02	29.8	0.82%	0	1.3	69	INF
25	Apr_15_2015	163.12	164.68	164.82	165.73	165.78	165.95	166.45(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	10	46	74	4.38	56%		37.3	0.83%	0	1.3	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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