Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. Jun. 4, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $160.6460 (0.26%) ($159.0978 - $161.0125) on Wed. Jan. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $160.6460(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLI(18%)    XLY(18%)    XLB(17%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    VIXM(-8%)    EMHY(-8%)    BND(-7%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $161.89
5 Day Moving Average   $159.73(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.71(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.89(-0.77%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2015	157.83	161.89	160.71	159.73	159.6	160.08	160.65(0.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	25	20	44	-31	6.26	65%	0.04	-1.6	0.78%	0	-0.6	39	INF
2	Jan_20_2015	157.77	161.99	160.54	159.82	159.31	159.55	160.23(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	0	7	-70	7.22	65%	0.04	8.9	0.79%	0	-0.8	37	INF
3	Jan_16_2015	157.71	162.11	160.53	160.03	159.77	159.11	160.02(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-30	-30	-99	8.72	67%	0.03	15.8	0.81%	0	-1	36	INF
4	Jan_15_2015	157.66	162.07	160.8	160.47	160.45	159.08	158.41(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-136	-60	-135	-140	9.29	63%	0.02	18.6	0.8%	0	-1.8	31	INF
5	Jan_14_2015	157.63	162	161.25	161.52	161.37	160.42	159.33(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-125	-40	-127	-120	11.09	63%	0.03	19.5	0.81%	0	-1.3	33	INF

6	Jan_13_2015	157.59	161.92	161.74	161.8	162.38	161.81	161.09(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10	-9	-68	9.91	62%	0.04	8.7	0.79%	0	-0.3	39	INF
7	Jan_12_2015	157.52	161.8	162.09	161.32	161.98	162.32	161.32(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	30	-12	-71	4.31	62%	0.04	-7.2	0.82%	0	-0.2	47	INF
8	Jan_9_2015	157.45	161.78	162.44	161.07	161.38	162.94	162.22(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	65	70	95	-26	6.65	58%	0.05	-13.2	0.82%	0	0.2	51	INF
9	Jan_8_2015	157.37	161.68	162.68	161.2	160.91	161.64	163.63(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	30	108	8	7.17	62%	0.06	-17.7	0.85%	0	0.7	67	INF
10	Jan_7_2015	157.27	161.6	162.76	161.04	160.94	159.82	160.73(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-50	-63	-31	5.55	56%	0.04	-20.1	0.84%	0	-0.3	68	INF

11	Jan_6_2015	157.2	161.72	163.12	161.75	161.81	160.18	158.71(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-135	-70	-170	-28	10.13	54%	0.04	-12.1	0.86%	0	-1.1	60	INF
12	Jan_5_2015	157.13	161.99	163.57	162.98	163.06	162.06	160.04(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-87	-40	-129	38	6.7	54%	0.06	1.8	0.85%	0	-0.7	60	INF
13	Jan_2_2015	157.04	162.15	163.86	163.96	164.01	163.45	162.88(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-21	-20	-61	101	5	60%	0.11	12.9	0.83%	0	0.3	57	INF
14	Dec_31_2014	156.86	162.17	163.49	164.34	164.52	164.07	162.82(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-20	-47	113	4.51	57%	0.08	19.2	0.83%	0	0.2	59	INF
15	Dec_30_2014	156.73	162.18	162.9	164.73	164.8	164.58	164.27(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-27	106	2.95	59%	0.09	24.6	0.84%	0	0.8	53	INF

16	Dec_29_2014	156.59	162.06	162.2	164.71	164.9	164.97	164.87(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	14	101	2.53	59%	0.1	24.8	0.84%	0	1.1	53	INF
17	Dec_26_2014	156.43	161.93	161.52	164.26	164.61	165.02	164.94(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	20	40	77	1.92	60%	0.15	22.5	0.84%	0	1.2	50	INF
18	Dec_24_2014	156.19	161.79	161.07	163.75	164.01	164.84	164.79(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	82	40	85	72	1.65	58%	0.11	20.6	0.86%	0	1.2	52	INF
19	Dec_23_2014	156.02	161.66	160.56	162.51	163.14	164.21	164.79(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	124	60	147	55	6.22	57%	0.1	9.3	0.87%	0	1.3	51	INF
20	Dec_22_2014	155.87	161.52	160.26	160.76	161.33	163.18	164.18(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	108	90	141	8	7.86	56%	0.1	-7.6	0.88%	0	1.1	51	INF

21	Dec_19_2014	155.72	161.41	160.07	159.3	159.65	162.07	162.61(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	153	110	204	0	11.45	55%	0.08	-23	0.87%	0	0.5	50	INF
22	Dec_18_2014	155.59	161.34	160.14	158.38	158.42	159.49	162.39(2.42%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	107	50	155	-37	9.75	55%	0.06	-33.3	0.87%	0	0.5	48	INF
23	Dec_17_2014	155.49	161.28	160.18	158.06	157.81	157.24	158.55(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-66	-30	-44	-130	12.9	52%	0.03	-36.2	0.82%	0	-1.2	36	INF
24	Dec_16_2014	155.44	161.43	160.66	158.37	158.69	157.35	156.05(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-132	-50	-124	-156	12.26	50%	0.02	-31.8	0.8%	0	-2.5	24	INF
25	Dec_15_2014	155.41	161.7	161.4	159.67	159.72	158.39	156.91(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-154	-60	-160	-136	8.87	50%		-17.6	0.8%	0	-2.8	27	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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