Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $156.0521 (-0.55%) ($155.9516 - $159.2855) on Tue. Dec. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $156.0521(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(20%)    XLB(18%)    XLI(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    EMHY(-7%)    BND(-7%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $161.43
5 Day Moving Average   $158.37(-1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.66(-2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.43(-3.33%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.38%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.94%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.98%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2014	155.44	161.43	160.66	158.37	158.69	157.35	156.05(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-132	-50	-124	-156	12.26	50%	0.02	-31.8	0.8%	0	-2.5	24	0
2	Dec_15_2014	155.41	161.7	161.4	159.67	159.72	158.39	156.91(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-154	-60	-160	-136	8.87	50%	0.02	-17.6	0.8%	0	-2.8	27	0
3	Dec_12_2014	155.38	161.92	161.98	160.91	160.75	160.03	158.02(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-114	-30	-122	-91	12.28	50%	0.03	4.7	0.8%	0	-2.8	31	0
4	Dec_11_2014	155.34	161.92	162.49	162.1	161.82	161.05	160.78(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-56	-40	-63	-33	6.87	53%	0.04	40.3	0.77%	0	-1.2	49	0
5	Dec_10_2014	155.28	162.09	162.69	162.61	162.52	161.47	160.11(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-87	-50	-106	-30	7.62	53%	0.03	58.8	0.76%	0	-1.8	47	0

6	Dec_9_2014	155.23	162.12	162.97	163.28	163.07	162.58	162.55(-0.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-61	-20	-83	5	7.95	55%	0.06	88.1	0.74%	0	0.4	65	0
7	Dec_8_2014	155.14	162.01	162.96	163.39	163.42	163.57	163.08(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	10	10	53	5.57	55%	0.05	97.1	0.74%	0	0.9	74	0
8	Dec_5_2014	155.06	161.86	162.89	163.21	163.28	163.55	163.96(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	10	40	69	4.27	55%	0.07	97.3	0.74%	0	1.8	87	0
9	Dec_4_2014	154.95	161.65	162.64	162.96	162.86	163.27	163.34(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	25	60	4.79	55%	0.06	106.9	0.74%	0	1.5	84	0
10	Dec_3_2014	154.86	161.43	162.43	162.81	162.74	163.01	163.46(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	10	49	71	11.01	55%	0.06	118.7	0.74%	0	1.7	87	0

11	Dec_2_2014	154.77	161.17	162.21	162.62	162.55	162.45	163.09(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10	4	53	3.92	55%	0.06	119.8	0.74%	0	1.5	86	0
12	Dec_1_2014	154.68	160.92	161.98	162.49	162.5	162.46	162.22(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-16	44	6.67	55%	0.06	127.9	0.74%	0	0.9	83	0
13	Nov_28_2014	154.59	160.71	161.84	162.5	162.59	162.64	162.67(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	0	13	60	4.04	55%	0.07	137	0.74%	0	1.3	96	0
14	Nov_26_2014	154.48	160.41	161.64	162.27	162.55	162.53	162.59(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	0	20	63	3.01	55%	0.06	106.2	0.73%	0	1.1	96	0
15	Nov_25_2014	154.39	160.01	161.42	161.99	162.16	162.54	162.55(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	20	18	62	5.51	55%	0.06	102.8	0.73%	0	1.1	97	0

16	Nov_24_2014	154.3	159.63	161.2	161.72	161.79	162.56	162.4(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	30	73	88	2.41	55%	0.05	95.1	0.73%	0	1.1	98	0
17	Nov_21_2014	154.22	159.17	160.98	161.4	161.44	161.78	162.31(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	20	78	94	4.78	55%	0.05	91.5	0.73%	0	1.1	98	0
18	Nov_20_2014	154.14	158.71	160.74	161.07	160.95	161.02	161.49(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	16	0	-0	63	2.88	55%	0.05	87.6	0.73%	0	0.9	95	0
19	Nov_19_2014	154.06	158.24	160.56	160.93	160.88	161.1	161.2(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	38	10	22	85	4.01	55%	0.06	84.5	0.73%	0	0.9	97	0
20	Nov_18_2014	153.97	157.69	160.35	160.76	160.78	160.88	161.22(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	0	28	107	4.72	55%	0.06	83.5	0.73%	0	1	98	0

21	Nov_17_2014	153.88	157.19	160.05	160.59	160.52	160.67	160.8(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	10	4	109	3.67	55%	0.05	80.7	0.74%	0	0.9	94	0
22	Nov_14_2014	153.8	156.63	159.77	160.5	160.44	160.69	160.67(-0.05%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	58	10	30	143	3.52	55%	0.06	77.9	0.74%	0	1	95	0
23	Nov_13_2014	153.71	156.05	159.51	160.35	160.3	160.37	160.75(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	0	25	165	6.51	55%	0.05	70.5	0.74%	0	1.1	96	0
24	Nov_12_2014	153.63	155.36	159.09	160.15	160.05	160.2	160.39(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	0	10	177	2.84	55%	0.06	62.1	0.75%	0	1.1	97	0
25	Nov_11_2014	153.54	154.7	158.51	159.87	159.88	160.22	160.37(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	84	20	43	208	3.19	55%		53.5	0.75%	0	1.2	97	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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