Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $160.1075 (-1.5%) ($159.8518 - $162.1261) on Wed. Dec. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $160.1075(-1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(19%)    XLB(18%)    XLI(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    VIXM(-9%)    EMHY(-7%)    BND(-7%)    UUP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $162.09
5 Day Moving Average   $162.61(-1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $162.69(-1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.09(-1.22%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2014	155.28	162.09	162.69	162.61	162.52	161.47	160.11(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-87	-50	-106	-30	7.62	53%	0.03	58.8	0.76%	0	-1.8	47	0
2	Dec_9_2014	155.23	162.12	162.97	163.28	163.07	162.58	162.55(-0.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-61	-20	-83	5	7.95	55%	0.06	88.1	0.74%	0	0.4	65	0
3	Dec_8_2014	155.14	162.01	162.96	163.39	163.42	163.57	163.08(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	10	10	53	5.57	55%	0.05	97.1	0.74%	0	0.9	74	0
4	Dec_5_2014	155.06	161.86	162.89	163.21	163.28	163.55	163.96(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	10	40	69	4.27	55%	0.07	97.3	0.74%	0	1.8	87	0
5	Dec_4_2014	154.95	161.65	162.64	162.96	162.86	163.27	163.34(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	25	60	4.79	55%	0.06	106.9	0.74%	0	1.5	84	0

6	Dec_3_2014	154.86	161.43	162.43	162.81	162.74	163.01	163.46(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	10	49	71	11.01	55%	0.06	118.7	0.74%	0	1.7	87	0
7	Dec_2_2014	154.77	161.17	162.21	162.62	162.55	162.45	163.09(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10	4	53	3.92	55%	0.06	119.8	0.74%	0	1.5	86	0
8	Dec_1_2014	154.68	160.92	161.98	162.49	162.5	162.46	162.22(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-16	44	6.67	55%	0.06	127.9	0.74%	0	0.9	83	0
9	Nov_28_2014	154.59	160.71	161.84	162.5	162.59	162.64	162.67(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	0	13	60	4.04	55%	0.07	137	0.74%	0	1.3	96	0
10	Nov_26_2014	154.48	160.41	161.64	162.27	162.55	162.53	162.59(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	0	20	63	3.01	55%	0.06	106.2	0.73%	0	1.1	96	0

11	Nov_25_2014	154.39	160.01	161.42	161.99	162.16	162.54	162.55(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	20	18	62	5.51	55%	0.06	102.8	0.73%	0	1.1	97	0
12	Nov_24_2014	154.3	159.63	161.2	161.72	161.79	162.56	162.4(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	30	73	88	2.41	55%	0.05	95.1	0.73%	0	1.1	98	0
13	Nov_21_2014	154.22	159.17	160.98	161.4	161.44	161.78	162.31(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	20	78	94	4.78	55%	0.05	91.5	0.73%	0	1.1	98	0
14	Nov_20_2014	154.14	158.71	160.74	161.07	160.95	161.02	161.49(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	16	0	-0	63	2.88	55%	0.05	87.6	0.73%	0	0.9	95	0
15	Nov_19_2014	154.06	158.24	160.56	160.93	160.88	161.1	161.2(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	38	10	22	85	4.01	55%	0.06	84.5	0.73%	0	0.9	97	0

16	Nov_18_2014	153.97	157.69	160.35	160.76	160.78	160.88	161.22(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	0	28	107	4.72	55%	0.06	83.5	0.73%	0	1	98	0
17	Nov_17_2014	153.88	157.19	160.05	160.59	160.52	160.67	160.8(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	10	4	109	3.67	55%	0.05	80.7	0.74%	0	0.9	94	0
18	Nov_14_2014	153.8	156.63	159.77	160.5	160.44	160.69	160.67(-0.05%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	58	10	30	143	3.52	55%	0.06	77.9	0.74%	0	1	95	0
19	Nov_13_2014	153.71	156.05	159.51	160.35	160.3	160.37	160.75(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	0	25	165	6.51	55%	0.05	70.5	0.74%	0	1.1	96	0
20	Nov_12_2014	153.63	155.36	159.09	160.15	160.05	160.2	160.39(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	0	10	177	2.84	55%	0.06	62.1	0.75%	0	1.1	97	0

21	Nov_11_2014	153.54	154.7	158.51	159.87	159.88	160.22	160.37(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	84	20	43	208	3.19	55%	0.05	53.5	0.75%	0	1.2	97	0
22	Nov_10_2014	153.47	154.1	157.95	159.41	159.51	159.91	160.3(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	98	20	57	222	2.94	55%	0.05	48.5	0.75%	0	1.4	86	0
23	Nov_7_2014	153.39	153.49	157.23	158.94	158.92	159.53	159.97(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	96	30	51	229	4.02	55%	0.05	41.9	0.75%	0	1.5	88	0
24	Nov_6_2014	153.32	152.98	156.52	158.55	158.5	159.11	159.7(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	121	30	78	251	7.19	55%	0.05	37.8	0.76%	0	1.6	88	0
25	Nov_5_2014	153.25	152.54	155.72	157.88	158.13	158.31	159.03(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	122	10	76	260	5.29	55%		34.7	0.76%	0	1.7	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.