Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 28, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $148.9153 (1.62%) ($147.7856 - $149.3708) on Fri. Oct. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $148.9153(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(19%)    XLI(19%)    XLY(19%)    XLB(18%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    EMHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    BNDX(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $145.7(-2.16%)
Resistance Level   $152.21
5 Day Moving Average   $147.79(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.99(-0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.21(-2.16%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.97%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.85%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.46%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.12%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2014	152.92	152.21	149.99	147.79	147.33	147.18	148.92(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	14	-20	66	-142	11.73	41%	-0.01	-66.7	0.73%	0	-1	34	INF
2	Oct_16_2014	152.94	152.61	150.52	148.09	147.55	146.01	146.54(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-195	-80	-179	-244	18.93	36%	-0.02	-61.2	0.71%	0	-1.9	26	INF
3	Oct_15_2014	152.97	153.14	151.16	149.06	148.89	147.49	146.81(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-217	-70	-210	-236	24.98	36%	-0.03	-55.9	0.71%	0	-2.2	33	INF
4	Oct_14_2014	153.01	153.61	151.78	150.58	150.51	149.09	148.4(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-156	-70	-146	-187	13.63	38%	-0.03	-47.2	0.7%	0	-2.1	30	INF
5	Oct_13_2014	153.06	153.99	152.44	151.28	151.6	150.29	148.31(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-175	-50	-174	-179	14.12	38%	-0.01	-42.9	0.71%	0	-2.6	36	INF

6	Oct_10_2014	153.07	154.34	153.14	152.49	152.44	151.94	150.39(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-126	-20	-124	-130	12.72	42%	0.01	-36.9	0.69%	0	-2.3	37	INF
7	Oct_9_2014	153.06	154.56	153.65	153.31	153.32	152.91	151.41(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-20	-20	-73	13.39	42%	0.01	-31.9	0.69%	0	-2.2	36	INF
8	Oct_8_2014	153.04	154.75	153.93	153.55	153.65	152.93	154.4(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-59	-30	-46	-96	8.9	48%	0.05	-32.9	0.65%	0	-0.3	42	INF
9	Oct_7_2014	152.97	154.78	154.1	153.19	153.48	153.73	151.89(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-85	20	-73	-121	7.13	40%	0.02	-40.2	0.62%	0	-2.3	39	INF
10	Oct_6_2014	152.94	154.93	154.43	153.78	153.68	154.36	154.35(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	55	30	88	-46	5.32	47%	0.04	-34.3	0.59%	0	-0.5	45	INF

11	Oct_3_2014	152.88	154.98	154.58	153.92	153.78	153.23	154.49(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-30	8	-66	5.59	47%	0.05	-31.4	0.59%	0	-0.4	50	INF
12	Oct_2_2014	152.81	155.03	154.81	154.1	153.9	153.01	152.61(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-146	-40	-157	-113	9.09	39%	0.02	-24.3	0.57%	0	-2.2	46	INF
13	Oct_1_2014	152.78	155.16	155.23	154.37	154.55	154.34	152.63(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-71	-10	-75	-59	11.03	39%	0.01	-23	0.58%	0	-2.7	44	INF
14	Sep_30_2014	152.76	155.3	155.57	155.12	154.91	154.8	154.81(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10	-5	1	5.5	47%	0.03	-2.1	0.56%	0	-0.7	50	INF
15	Sep_29_2014	152.71	155.31	155.66	155.15	155.06	154.76	155.05(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-20	-38	-3	5.17	47%	0.03	0	0.56%	0	-0.3	54	INF

16	Sep_26_2014	152.66	155.32	155.64	155.34	155.26	155.02	155.38(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10	-57	-6	6.06	47%	0.05	12.2	0.55%	0	0.1	50	INF
17	Sep_25_2014	152.59	155.3	155.55	155.66	155.62	155.35	153.99(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-44	-10	-58	-2	8.91	39%	0.03	26.5	0.54%	0	-1.7	44	INF
18	Sep_24_2014	152.54	155.38	155.66	156.21	156.17	155.51	156.38(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-28	-30	-46	27	5.82	54%	0.06	60	0.51%	0	1.4	58	INF
19	Sep_23_2014	152.45	155.31	155.52	156.1	156.38	155.88	154.94(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-79	-20	-105	1	5.52	40%	0.05	71.4	0.5%	0	-0.6	50	INF
20	Sep_22_2014	152.38	155.32	155.49	156.24	156.49	156.83	156.03(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	20	24	57	4.9	51%	0.05	95.2	0.49%	0	1.1	59	INF

21	Sep_19_2014	152.31	155.23	155.42	155.97	156.15	156.87	156.98(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	120	40	130	90	9.34	69%	0.05	102.3	0.49%	0	2.6	63	INF
22	Sep_18_2014	152.23	155.1	155.25	155.43	155.46	156.15	156.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	103	30	116	64	6.46	69%	0.05	125	0.49%	0	2.9	62	INF
23	Sep_17_2014	152.15	154.96	155.06	155.05	154.94	155.43	155.81(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	77	20	91	35	8.5	53%	0.05	160	0.49%	0	1.8	53	INF
24	Sep_16_2014	152.08	154.84	154.97	154.88	154.63	154.77	155.63(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	0	44	8	5.95	53%	0.05	161.8	0.49%	0	1.5	53	INF
25	Sep_15_2014	152	154.7	154.89	154.65	154.54	154.45	154.67(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-11	-26	5.13	0%		131.1	0.48%	0	-0	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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