Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $154.3999 (1.65%) ($151.4233 - $154.5819) on Wed. Oct. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $154.3999(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(19%)    XLB(19%)    XLI(19%)    XLY(19%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    EMHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $154.75
5 Day Moving Average   $153.55(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.93(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $154.75(-0.23%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2014	153.04	154.75	153.93	153.55	153.65	152.93	154.4(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-59	-30	-46	-96	8.9	48%	0.05	-32.9	0.65%	0	-0.3	42	0
2	Oct_7_2014	152.97	154.78	154.1	153.19	153.48	153.73	151.89(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-85	20	-73	-121	7.13	40%	0.02	-40.2	0.62%	0	-2.3	39	0
3	Oct_6_2014	152.94	154.93	154.43	153.78	153.68	154.36	154.35(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	55	30	88	-46	5.32	47%	0.04	-34.3	0.59%	0	-0.5	45	0
4	Oct_3_2014	152.88	154.98	154.58	153.92	153.78	153.23	154.49(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-30	8	-66	5.59	47%	0.05	-31.4	0.59%	0	-0.4	50	0
5	Oct_2_2014	152.81	155.03	154.81	154.1	153.9	153.01	152.61(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-146	-40	-157	-113	9.09	39%	0.02	-24.3	0.57%	0	-2.2	46	0

6	Oct_1_2014	152.78	155.16	155.23	154.37	154.55	154.34	152.63(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-71	-10	-75	-59	11.03	39%	0.01	-23	0.58%	0	-2.7	44	0
7	Sep_30_2014	152.76	155.3	155.57	155.12	154.91	154.8	154.81(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10	-5	1	5.5	47%	0.03	-2.1	0.56%	0	-0.7	50	0
8	Sep_29_2014	152.71	155.31	155.66	155.15	155.06	154.76	155.05(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-20	-38	-3	5.17	47%	0.03	0	0.56%	0	-0.3	54	0
9	Sep_26_2014	152.66	155.32	155.64	155.34	155.26	155.02	155.38(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10	-57	-6	6.06	47%	0.05	12.2	0.55%	0	0.1	50	0
10	Sep_25_2014	152.59	155.3	155.55	155.66	155.62	155.35	153.99(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-44	-10	-58	-2	8.91	39%	0.03	26.5	0.54%	0	-1.7	44	0

11	Sep_24_2014	152.54	155.38	155.66	156.21	156.17	155.51	156.38(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-28	-30	-46	27	5.82	54%	0.06	60	0.51%	0	1.4	58	0
12	Sep_23_2014	152.45	155.31	155.52	156.1	156.38	155.88	154.94(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-79	-20	-105	1	5.52	40%	0.05	71.4	0.5%	0	-0.6	50	0
13	Sep_22_2014	152.38	155.32	155.49	156.24	156.49	156.83	156.03(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	20	24	57	4.9	51%	0.05	95.2	0.49%	0	1.1	59	0
14	Sep_19_2014	152.31	155.23	155.42	155.97	156.15	156.87	156.98(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	120	40	130	90	9.34	69%	0.05	102.3	0.49%	0	2.6	63	0
15	Sep_18_2014	152.23	155.1	155.25	155.43	155.46	156.15	156.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	103	30	116	64	6.46	69%	0.05	125	0.49%	0	2.9	62	0

16	Sep_17_2014	152.15	154.96	155.06	155.05	154.94	155.43	155.81(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	77	20	91	35	8.5	53%	0.05	160	0.49%	0	1.8	53	0
17	Sep_16_2014	152.08	154.84	154.97	154.88	154.63	154.77	155.63(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	0	44	8	5.95	53%	0.05	161.8	0.49%	0	1.5	53	0
18	Sep_15_2014	152	154.7	154.89	154.65	154.54	154.45	154.67(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-11	-26	5.13	0%	0.05	131.1	0.48%	0	-0	47	0
19	Sep_12_2014	151.92	154.54	154.94	154.79	154.6	154.48	154.29(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10	-36	-23	5	0%	0.04	97.1	0.48%	0	-0.2	53	0
20	Sep_11_2014	151.86	154.4	155.03	155.03	154.83	154.63	154.84(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	-18	-1	3.03	0%	0.04	97.6	0.49%	0	0.3	55	0

21	Sep_10_2014	151.8	154.22	155.07	155.06	154.96	154.72	154.98(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	-10	-40	1	4.6	0%	0.05	92.6	0.49%	0	0.5	62	0
22	Sep_9_2014	151.73	153.99	155.1	155.07	155.07	155.04	154.48(-0.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-15	-0	-27	20	4.26	0%	0.05	84.5	0.49%	0	0.3	65	0
23	Sep_8_2014	151.66	153.78	155.15	155.15	155.21	155.2	155.34(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	0	17	58	3.14	0%	0.02	78.9	0.49%	0	0.8	80	0
24	Sep_5_2014	151.63	153.52	155.05	155.12	155.21	155.1	155.51(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-0	-10	71	3.4	0%	0.06	75	0.49%	0	1	88	0
25	Sep_4_2014	151.54	153.17	154.95	155.03	155.12	155.22	154.98(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	10	10	99	3.76	0%		63.9	0.5%	0	0.8	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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