Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $156.7459 (0.6%) ($156.1012 - $156.9184) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $156.7459(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    GDXJ(19%)    XLB(19%)    XLI(19%)    XLY(19%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    EMHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $155.43(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.25(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.1(1.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.9
One Month Target Price   > $156.75
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $152.91

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.8% away from the target price of 156.75.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.36% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2014	152.23	155.1	155.25	155.43	155.46	156.15	156.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	103	30	116	64	6.46	69%	0.05	125	0.49%	0	2.9	62	0
2	Sep_17_2014	152.15	154.96	155.06	155.05	154.94	155.43	155.81(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	77	20	91	35	8.5	53%	0.05	160	0.49%	0	1.8	53	0
3	Sep_16_2014	152.08	154.84	154.97	154.88	154.63	154.77	155.63(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	0	44	8	5.95	53%	0.05	161.8	0.49%	0	1.5	53	0
4	Sep_15_2014	152	154.7	154.89	154.65	154.54	154.45	154.67(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10	-11	-26	5.13	0%	0.05	131.1	0.48%	0	-0	47	0
5	Sep_12_2014	151.92	154.54	154.94	154.79	154.6	154.48	154.29(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10	-36	-23	5	0%	0.04	97.1	0.48%	0	-0.2	53	0

6	Sep_11_2014	151.86	154.4	155.03	155.03	154.83	154.63	154.84(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10	-18	-1	3.03	0%	0.04	97.6	0.49%	0	0.3	55	0
7	Sep_10_2014	151.8	154.22	155.07	155.06	154.96	154.72	154.98(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	-10	-40	1	4.6	0%	0.05	92.6	0.49%	0	0.5	62	0
8	Sep_9_2014	151.73	153.99	155.1	155.07	155.07	155.04	154.48(-0.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-15	-0	-27	20	4.26	0%	0.05	84.5	0.49%	0	0.3	65	0
9	Sep_8_2014	151.66	153.78	155.15	155.15	155.21	155.2	155.34(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	0	17	58	3.14	0%	0.02	78.9	0.49%	0	0.8	80	0
10	Sep_5_2014	151.63	153.52	155.05	155.12	155.21	155.1	155.51(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-0	-10	71	3.4	0%	0.06	75	0.49%	0	1	88	0

11	Sep_4_2014	151.54	153.17	154.95	155.03	155.12	155.22	154.98(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	10	10	99	3.76	0%	0.05	63.9	0.5%	0	0.8	84	0
12	Sep_3_2014	151.47	152.88	154.86	155.1	155.12	155.14	155.03(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	40	0	11	128	2.85	0%	0.06	54.5	0.49%	0	0.9	86	0
13	Sep_2_2014	151.38	152.56	154.71	155.13	155.05	155.02	154.9(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-0	1	150	3.46	0%	0.11	45.4	0.5%	0	0.9	88	0
14	Aug_29_2014	151.21	152.31	154.5	155.14	155.12	154.96	155.17(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	38	-10	-7	174	3.28	0%	0.07	39.3	0.49%	0	1.1	90	0
15	Aug_28_2014	151.11	152.01	154.11	154.96	155.1	155.09	155.08(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	38	0	-9	178	2.78	0%	0.05	30.6	0.49%	0	1.3	90	0

16	Aug_27_2014	151.04	151.74	153.74	154.85	154.98	155.28	155.29(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	82	20	37	217	5.16	0%	0.06	22.2	0.49%	0	1.5	94	0
17	Aug_26_2014	150.95	151.58	153.31	154.59	154.76	155.12	155.22(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	118	20	78	238	3.58	0%	0.06	16.6	0.5%	0	1.7	87	0
18	Aug_25_2014	150.86	151.44	152.8	154.22	154.36	154.68	154.94(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	108	20	67	232	2.59	0%	0.05	8.7	0.5%	0	1.7	87	0
19	Aug_22_2014	150.78	151.34	152.31	153.76	153.91	154.4	154.26(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	121	30	86	225	5.15	0%	0.03	0.8	0.5%	0	1.5	72	0
20	Aug_21_2014	150.73	151.27	151.87	153.12	153.38	154.03	154.54(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	148	30	123	221	2.65	0%	0.03	-11.3	0.5%	0	1.6	76	0

21	Aug_20_2014	150.68	151.27	151.24	152.45	152.62	153.43	154.01(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	136	40	121	180	3.11	0%	0.04	-17.9	0.51%	0	1.4	69	0
22	Aug_19_2014	150.62	151.23	150.71	151.83	152	152.73	153.37(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	141	40	143	136	3.06	100%	0.03	-26.3	0.52%	0	1	49	0
23	Aug_18_2014	150.57	151.27	150.22	151.16	151.36	151.8	152.61(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	20	0	0	2.98	100%	0.04	-34.3	1918.08%	0	0.6	45	0
24	Aug_15_2014	150.51	151.33	149.92	150.65	150.78	151.26	151.06(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	20	0	-0	7.03	99%	0.03	-39	1918.32%	0	-0.1	36	0
25	Aug_14_2014	150.46	151.49	149.72	150.42	150.51	150.92	151.2(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	20	0	-0	2.75	99%		-39.2	1918.32%	0	-0.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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