Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $154.2799 (0.05%) ($153.7366 - $154.7598) on Tue. Jul. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1948.51% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $154.2799(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    XLI(20%)    XLB(19%)    XLY(19%)    GDXJ(18%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -974.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    EMHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -974.255% (StdDev 1948.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $153.65(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.6(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.03(0.82%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $30207.54
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $-2912777.15

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 19479.7% away from the target price of 30207.54.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.49% (three month std-dev: 1948.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2014	149.26	153.03	153.6	153.65	153.49	154.24	154.28(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	30	0	0	5.17	99%	0.06	59.2	1948.51%	0	1.7	66	0
2	Jul_14_2014	149.17	152.89	153.38	153.37	153.25	153.55	154.2(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	10	0	0	2.83	99%	0.07	40	1948.51%	0	1.7	56	0
3	Jul_11_2014	149.07	152.75	153.19	153.29	152.99	152.74	153.21(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	-0	0	2.83	99%	0.06	30.6	1948.51%	0	0.6	50	0
4	Jul_10_2014	148.98	152.66	153.1	153.52	153.2	152.94	152.99(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-20	-0	0	4.93	99%	0.06	32.1	1948.51%	0	0.4	53	0
5	Jul_9_2014	148.89	152.62	153.04	153.6	153.2	153.24	153.56(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-20	-0	0	3.55	99%	0.06	41.5	1948.52%	0	1.2	56	0

6	Jul_8_2014	148.8	152.62	152.89	153.53	153.58	153.46	152.89(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-0	-0	0	5.44	99%	0.03	52.9	1948.51%	0	0.4	58	0
7	Jul_7_2014	148.76	152.58	152.9	153.36	153.51	153.92	153.81(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	20	0	0	2.94	99%	0.09	57.7	1948.51%	0	1.6	67	0
8	Jul_3_2014	148.62	152.52	152.81	153.05	153.09	153.7	154.36(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	0	30	0	0	2.07	99%	0.07	62.5	1933.24%	0	2.5	72	0
9	Jul_2_2014	148.51	152.4	152.61	152.62	152.58	153.11	153.39(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	20	0	0	1.93	99%	0.07	60.5	1933.24%	0	1.5	70	0
10	Jul_1_2014	148.41	152.28	152.53	152.42	152.27	152.48	153.21(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	10	0	0	4.91	99%	0.08	59.1	1933.24%	0	1.4	57	0

11	Jun_30_2014	148.29	152.17	152.39	152.18	152.07	152.05	152.03(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-0	-0	0	6.49	99%	0.07	52.3	1918.31%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Jun_27_2014	148.18	152.13	152.35	152.36	152.18	152.06	152.28(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10	-0	0	3.09	99%	0.08	63.8	1918.31%	0	0.2	43	0
13	Jun_26_2014	148.06	152.06	152.29	152.53	152.41	152.09	152.2(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-20	-0	0	4.05	99%	0.09	76.5	1918.31%	0	0.2	44	0
14	Jun_25_2014	147.92	151.99	152.2	152.59	152.68	152.29	152.38(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-20	-0	0	3.66	99%	0.1	78.9	1918.31%	0	0.4	53	0
15	Jun_24_2014	147.77	151.89	152.17	152.65	152.82	152.73	152.01(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-0	-0	0	4.86	99%	0.09	90	1918.31%	0	0.1	58	0

16	Jun_23_2014	147.63	151.82	152.27	152.61	152.73	153.07	152.95(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	20	0	0	2.73	99%	0.09	96.7	1918.31%	0	1.2	66	0
17	Jun_20_2014	147.5	151.67	152.25	152.33	152.38	152.91	153.1(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	30	0	0	5.37	99%	0.07	798.5	1918.31%	0	1.5	66	0
18	Jun_19_2014	147.39	151.48	152.21	152.01	151.94	152.38	152.52(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	20	0	0	3.04	99%	0.08	759.4	1918.31%	0	1	64	0
19	Jun_18_2014	147.27	151.31	152.15	151.75	151.64	151.86	152.67(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	10	0	0	4.73	99%	0.07	708.1	1918.31%	0	1.2	67	0
20	Jun_17_2014	147.17	151.07	151.99	151.64	151.5	151.5	151.83(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-0	-0	0	2.89	99%	0.07	590.9	1918.31%	0	0.6	67	0

21	Jun_16_2014	147.07	150.93	151.92	151.89	151.67	151.42	151.55(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-20	-0	0	3.07	99%	0.07	572.8	1918.31%	0	0.4	61	0
22	Jun_13_2014	146.97	144.18	151.88	152.17	152.04	151.49	151.49(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-30	-0	0	2.71	99%	0.04	73.5	1918.31%	0	5	65	0
23	Jun_12_2014	146.91	143.93	151.84	152.43	152.43	151.93	151.19(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-20	-0	0	5.42	99%	0.03	70	1918.32%	0	4.6	68	0
24	Jun_11_2014	146.86	143.78	151.81	152.58	152.67	152.59	152.15(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-0	-0	0	3.07	99%	0.03	76.4	1918.31%	0	5.3	78	0
25	Jun_10_2014	146.81	143.61	151.62	152.36	152.5	152.92	153.05(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	20	0	0	2.82	99%		84.1	1918.31%	0	6.2	92	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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