Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Mon. Jun. 3, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $150.9452 (-0.11%) ($150.7012 - $151.1079) on Tue. Jun. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1918.31% (three month average)
RSI   99
Latest Price   $150.9452(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIA advances 11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(74%)    XLI(20%)    XLY(20%)    XLB(19%)    GDXJ(18%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -959.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    EMHY(-6%)    UUP(-3%)    BNDX(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -959.155% (StdDev 1918.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $150.75(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $150.06(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.33(6.05%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   8
One Month Target Price   > $29099.97
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $-2762038.2

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 19178.5% away from the target price of 29099.97.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.76% (three month std-dev: 1918.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2014	146.53	142.33	150.06	150.75	150.77	150.97	150.95(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	10	0	0	4.13	99%	0.03	85.5	1918.31%	0	8	99	INF
2	Jun_2_2014	146.48	142.13	149.86	150.65	150.62	150.85	151.11(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	10	0	0	4.45	99%	0.03	89.2	1918.32%	0	8.6	99	INF
3	May_30_2014	146.44	141.91	136.3	150.4	150.46	150.58	150.86(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	10	0	0	2.77	99%	0.03	94.3	1933.24%	0	9	99	INF
4	May_29_2014	146.4	141.73	135.68	150.09	150.19	150.38	150.73(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	10	0	0	2.76	99%	0.02	92.4	1948.52%	0	9.7	99	INF
5	May_28_2014	146.37	141.56	135.23	149.76	149.87	150.34	150.1(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	20	0	0	3.68	99%	0.02	95.1	1964.16%	0	9.9	99	INF

6	May_27_2014	146.34	141.41	134.93	149.26	149.46	150	150.45(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	0	30	0	0	2.56	99%	0.01	81.4	1964.16%	0	10.9	99	INF
7	May_23_2014	146.32	141.2	134.57	148.94	148.9	149.4	149.87(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	20	0	0	2.86	99%	0.02	71.7	1918.31%	0	10.2	99	INF
8	May_22_2014	146.29	140.99	134.19	148.67	148.66	148.92	149.28(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	10	0	-0	3.56	99%	0.02	-879.7	1933.24%	0	10	99	INF
9	May_21_2014	146.26	140.87	133.84	148.4	148.45	148.41	149.1(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-0	-0	-0	4.9	99%	0.01	-908.6	1948.52%	0	10	99	INF
10	May_20_2014	146.25	140.75	133.49	148.53	148.46	148.39	147.6(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-0	-0	-0	-0	4.86	99%	0	-905.2	1948.52%	0	8.4	99	INF

11	May_19_2014	146.25	140.72	133.19	149.12	148.95	148.49	148.86(15465.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-30	-0	-0	2.88	99%	0.01	-896.5	1948.52%	0	10.2	99	INF
12	May_16_2014	146.24	140.6	132.86	149.43	149.45	148.52	148.5(-99.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-17	-40	-5	-53	3.3	7%	0.01	-862.1	12.44%	0	9.6	3	INF
13	May_15_2014	146.23	140.6	149.09	149.6	149.91	149.42	147.94(-1.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-65	-20	-88	4	7.54	45%	0.01	105.2	0.62%	0	-0.9	56	INF
14	May_14_2014	146.21	148.71	149.2	149.82	150.01	149.42	149.74(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	18	60	3.11	51%	0.02	110.2	0.6%	0	1.2	57	INF
15	May_13_2014	146.18	148.55	149.13	149.63	149.73	150.39	150.59(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	101	30	104	92	4.13	51%	0.03	95.4	0.61%	0	2.1	62	INF

16	May_12_2014	146.13	148.3	148.93	149.03	149.15	149.63	150.36(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	76	20	80	62	3.95	51%	0.04	70.4	0.61%	0	2	60	INF
17	May_9_2014	146.07	148	148.69	148.69	148.61	149.07	149.39(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	20	49	38	4.23	52%	0.02	38.8	0.61%	0	1.1	60	NAN
18	May_8_2014	146.04	147.81	148.48	148.52	148.38	148.66	149.05(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	10	44	28	6	52%	0.02	22.5	0.62%	0	0.9	60	NAN
19	May_7_2014	146.01	147.75	148.41	148.5	148.32	148.15	148.76(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10	-5	13	5.58	55%	0.02	18.4	0.62%	0	0.8	57	NAN
20	May_6_2014	145.98	147.63	148.38	148.57	148.5	148.09	147.59(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-33	-20	-47	11	5.28	56%	0.01	12.6	0.63%	0	-0	61	NAN

21	May_5_2014	145.96	147.56	148.48	148.8	148.72	148.49	148.67(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-15	-10	-34	42	4.06	58%	0.02	10.1	0.64%	0	0.8	73	NAN
22	May_2_2014	145.93	147.51	148.4	148.67	148.83	148.9	148.51(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	10	12	73	7.04	52%	0.02	11.5	0.68%	0	0.8	78	NAN
23	May_1_2014	145.9	147.52	148.32	148.41	148.57	148.96	148.94(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	20	32	84	3.89	52%	0.02	14.6	0.69%	0	1.1	68	NAN
24	Apr_30_2014	145.87	147.51	148.19	148.32	148.21	148.76	149.14(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	20	48	87	4.96	50%	0.03	22.2	0.7%	0	1.2	54	NAN
25	Apr_29_2014	145.83	147.47	147.92	148.17	148.1	148.19	148.74(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	0	40	80	4.58	48%		25	0.7%	0	1	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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