Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 11, 2020

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $297.6200 (-3.83%) ($288.8900 - $315.9500) on Thu. Jun. 11, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.01% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $297.6200(-3.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
HYG(21%)    IBB(13%)    IBUY(7%)    PCY(53%)    IPO(7%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -5.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-88%)    LIT(-87%)    XLI(-49%)    SLV(-49%)    PEJ(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.505% (StdDev 11.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $304.89(-2.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $302.55(-1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $287.03(3.69%)
To recent high   -26.5%
To recent low   92.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.12%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.12% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 8.28% (three month std-dev: 11.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.86%(78%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(22%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -4.32%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.57%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.46%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2020	271.52	287.03	302.55	304.89	307.88	304.64	297.62(-3.83%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-23	-40	-36	16	0.61	50%	0.16	76.2	11.01%	0	0.4	57	-2.6
2	Jun_10_2020	271.08	286.47	302.16	303.23	307.7	312.87	309.48(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	160	22	43	0.59	47%	0.19	98.3	11.03%	0	1	64	0.9
3	Jun_9_2020	270.57	283.97	298.51	300.69	303.13	311.12	319.25(6.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	210	56	61	0.37	45%	0.19	119.7	11.34%	0	1.5	73	1
4	Jun_8_2020	270.06	278.77	291.7	299.75	296.6	302.53	298.45(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	110	28	51	0.52	45%	0.26	111.2	11.52%	0	0.7	66	1.6
5	Jun_5_2020	269.37	274.91	288.93	302.48	297.58	295.13	299.65(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-110	15	43	0.64	47%	0.35	104.9	11.54%	0	0.8	50	2

6	Jun_4_2020	268.44	270	286.64	299.95	299.65	290.68	289.34(-2.5%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-34	-210	-49	13	0.56	47%	0.35	89.8	11.62%	0	0.6	51	1.6
7	Jun_3_2020	267.51	264.98	284.05	300.51	302.98	300.03	296.76(-5.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-19	-40	-31	17	0.83	46%	0.44	73.8	11.64%	0	0.8	53	1.7
8	Jun_2_2020	266.34	258.24	278.16	295.32	301.84	308.63	314.57(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	220	52	41	0.51	45%	0.52	53.9	11.66%	0	1.3	62	1.3
9	Jun_1_2020	264.96	251.85	270.91	282.18	289.4	305.92	312.06(8.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	480	88	47	0.72	45%	0.53	40.6	11.75%	0	1.4	70	1
10	May_29_2020	263.57	247.22	269.55	273.67	275.26	294.97	287(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	103	520	115	65	0.91	45%	0.39	35.6	11.8%	0	0.9	66	1.3

11	May_28_2020	262.54	243.13	269.71	271.69	267.64	272.69	292.15(7.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	90	75	65	0.77	46%	0.41	34.4	11.89%	0	1.2	70	0.9
12	May_27_2020	261.48	239.79	268.85	265.56	267.51	255.76	270.8(8.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-290	-20	41	0.65	47%	0.32	37.4	11.9%	0	0.8	71	1.5
13	May_26_2020	260.64	236.65	267.79	258.33	265.89	262.64	248.9(-7.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-33	0	-57	40	0.78	47%	0.48	32.9	11.96%	0	0.3	74	1.3
14	May_22_2020	259.4	235.16	264.89	257.22	261.25	279.27	269.52(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	530	64	96	0.72	48%	0.29	38	11.78%	0	0.9	67	1.2
15	May_21_2020	258.64	233.15	260.08	264.77	251.04	269.14	277.07(5.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	104	350	98	122	1	48%	0.07	44.4	11.87%	0	1.1	60	1.1

16	May_20_2020	258.45	229.6	252.41	267.99	254.51	243.23	261.5(11.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-460	22	100	1.42	49%	0.31	40.3	11.85%	0	0.8	61	1.5
17	May_19_2020	257.64	225.72	245.06	273.29	261.84	232.93	234.66(-3.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-128	-900	-178	22	1.22	49%	0.22	27.6	11.8%	0	0.2	54	0.9
18	May_18_2020	257.08	224.24	238.02	278.23	275.71	265.8	243.35(-20.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-71	-280	-110	48	1.4	48%	0.3	21	11.8%	0	0.5	58	1.4
19	May_15_2020	256.31	221.29	232.69	271.96	278.94	290.74	307.27(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	95	370	88	114	0.59	50%	0.58	7.6	11.67%	0	2.2	63	1
20	May_14_2020	254.83	217.31	223.48	253.98	257.88	285.73	293.18(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	130	800	138	107	0.69	50%	0.16	-8.9	11.76%	0	2.2	59	0.8

21	May_13_2020	254.43	215.2	214.05	234.59	240.62	267.01	288(11.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	205	840	234	118	0.92	50%	0.44	-19.4	11.76%	0	1.9	62	0.1
22	May_12_2020	253.31	215.8	207.16	213.49	216.47	230.34	259.36(22.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	110	490	128	57	0.66	49%	0.34	-22.1	11.69%	0	1.2	64	1.2
23	May_11_2020	252.44	216.46	201.46	192.5	200.07	214.51	212(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	80	620	100	18	0.77	46%	0.22	-35.4	11.4%	0	-0.1	54	2.3
24	May_8_2020	251.88	218.43	201.86	187.32	183.62	202.6	217.34(10.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	660	89	14	1.08	48%	0.21	-46.4	11.42%	0	-0	59	2
25	May_7_2020	251.35	220.42	202.99	188.66	177.5	185.63	196.27(7.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	140	72	7	1.33	48%		-58.4	11.44%	0	-0.6	47	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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