Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 5, 2018

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $541.2000 (12%) ($515.0000 - $550.0000) on Mon. Feb. 5, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.94% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $541.2000(12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 8.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(13%)    IGOV(10%)    SHY(8%)    TIP(7%)    UUP(5%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-98%)    PEJ(-17%)    XLY(-15%)    XOP(-14%)    VWO(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.97% (StdDev 7.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $461.68(17.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $429.2(26.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $459.35(17.82%)
To recent high   -35.5%
To recent low   47.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 14.27% (three month std-dev: 7.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2018	547.57	459.35	429.2	461.68			541.2(12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	21	20	0.63	52%	0.16	-32.7	7.94%	0	1.2	58	-2.9
2	Feb_2_2018	546.72	462.72	420.14	426.8			483.2(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	14	-15	0.49	50%	0.07	-37.5	7.82%	0	0.3	54	-2.2
3	Feb_1_2018	546.34	467.21	417.41	404			475(7.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	10	-43	1.24	50%	0.04	-49.1	7.83%	0	0.1	47	-0.5
4	Jan_31_2018	546.12	469.34	413.7	388.12			440(19.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	3	-78	1.39	49%	-0.07	-66.2	7.76%	0	-0.4	35	-1.6
5	Jan_30_2018	546.48	472.54	412.6	383.8			369(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-5	-105	0.92	46%	-0.25	-80.2	7.42%	0	-1.3	27	-1.9

6	Jan_29_2018	547.84	481.83	422.71	391.76			366.8(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10000	-13	-121	0.95	46%	-0.3	-93.5	7.42%	0	-1.5	22	-2.1
7	Jan_26_2018	549.48	492.33	431.98	412.12			369.2(-6.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-10000	-12	-126	1.1	48%	-0.22	-104.1	7.49%	0	-1.7	21	136.8
8	Jan_25_2018	550.7	509.26	444.55	431.96			395.6(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-6	-120	1.19	48%	-0.15	-107.2	7.47%	0	-1.6	31	137.4
9	Jan_24_2018	551.52	528.6	461	442.4			418.4(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-2	-104	0.95	48%	-0.13	-89	7.47%	0	-1.4	42	-1.4
10	Jan_23_2018	552.25	546.05	472.88	445.48			408.8(-12.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-7	-99	1.26	48%	-0.27	-74.5	7.46%	0	-1.4	44	0.1

11	Jan_22_2018	553.74	566.88	493.15	457.72			468.6(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	2	-79	0.48	51%	0.03	-72.1	7.3%	0	-1	44	0.9
12	Jan_19_2018	553.59	583.02	508.86	455.12			468.4(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.6	51%	-0	-64.1	7.3%	0	-1.1	42	1
13	Jan_18_2018	553.61	596.6	520.57	460.04			447.8(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-13	-90	0.8	51%	-0.12	-57	7.28%	0	-1.2	32	0
14	Jan_17_2018	554.3	610.49	529.09	483.64			433.8(-7.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-11	-104	0.77	51%	-0.12	-50.4	7.27%	0	-1.4	27	0
15	Jan_16_2018	554.97	629.71	537.51	504.76			470(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-15	-122	0.6	52%	-0	-45.4	7.21%	0	-1.3	30	0

16	Jan_12_2018	554.98	644.72	546.24	534.28			455.6(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-10000	-18	-135	0.81	51%	-0.08	-38.8	7.16%	0	-1.5	27	0
17	Jan_11_2018	555.4	660.47	558.72	570.4			493(-12.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-10000	-9	-133	0.86	52%	-0.03	-29.1	7.15%	0	-1.4	31	0
18	Jan_10_2018	555.55	674.55	580.28	589.32			565.8(4.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-27	-10000	4	-121	0.34	54%	0.12	-21.3	6.95%	0	-1	40	0
19	Jan_9_2018	554.9	681.36	601.6	580.88			539.4(-12.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-26	-10000	4	-117	0.38	54%	0.09	-19.8	6.96%	0	-1.3	40	0
20	Jan_8_2018	554.41	690.62	624.71	573.64			617.6(-2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	7	-125	0.33	56%	0.18	-16	6.78%	0	-0.7	39	0

21	Jan_5_2018	553.42	695.91	644.9	560.12			636.2(8.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-26	-10000	7	-124	0.38	56%	0.23	-13.1	6.78%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	Jan_4_2018	552.16	696.21	660.26	547.24			587.6(12.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-44	-10000	-13	-137	0.51	55%	0.11	-11	6.72%	0	-1.1	41	0
23	Jan_3_2018	551.54	699.12	675.93	572.96			523.6(4.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-10000	-27	-132	0.29	52%	0.03	0.7	6.57%	0	-1.8	34	0
24	Jan_2_2018	551.39	703.84	697.09	627.96			503.2(-8.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-43	-10000	-25	-96	0.5	54%	0.13	18.5	6.56%	0	-2.2	40	0
25	Dec_29_2017	550.68	707.75	729.83	683.32			550(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-30	-10000	-24	-49	0.29	56%		32.1	6.56%	0	-1.8	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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