Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $412.0000 (7.57%) ($373.0000 - $419.0000) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.73% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $412.0000(7.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(10%)    IGOV(7%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(5%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    PEJ(-15%)    XOP(-14%)    XLY(-14%)    LIT(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.865% (StdDev 9.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7%

5 Day Moving Average   $380.8(8.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $399.46(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $374.62(9.98%)
To recent high   -53.8%
To recent low   48.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 14.47% (three month std-dev: 9.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2017	522.07	374.62	399.46	380.8			412(7.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	4	8	0.34	51%	-0.49	-16	9.73%	0	0.7	71	0
2	Jan_19_2017	524.63	376.33	399.04	372.8			383(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-3	17	0.46	51%	-0.45	-16.9	9.69%	0	0.1	71	0
3	Jan_18_2017	527.01	378.04	403.75	377.8			384(5.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-3	41	0.31	51%	-0.51	-12.6	9.7%	0	0.1	64	0
4	Jan_17_2017	529.71	380.03	405.75	383.4			364(0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-12	56	0.21	51%	-0.62	-2.4	9.68%	0	-0.3	59	0
5	Jan_13_2017	533.04	382.53	401.19	407.4			361(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-7	77	0.27	49%	-0.49	14.7	9.61%	0	-0.4	54	0

6	Jan_12_2017	535.69	383.52	395.67	420.6			372(-8.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	19	-10000	-4	86	0.51	49%	-0.54	20.3	9.69%	0	-0.2	57	0
7	Jan_11_2017	538.6	385.57	387.68	428.2			408(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-2	66	0.22	49%	-0.52	27.6	9.62%	0	0.4	48	0
8	Jan_10_2017	541.44	384.92	378.06	432.8			412(-14.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	1	55	0.34	48%	-0.65	31.1	9.63%	0	0.5	52	0
9	Jan_9_2017	545	381.39	369.39	430.6			484(13.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	19	45	0.32	50%	-0.67	21.3	9.48%	0	1.8	56	0
10	Jan_6_2017	548.67	374.17	355.71	394.4			427(4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	-10000	16	-1	0.23	46%	-0.61	-2.6	9.52%	0	1	53	0

11	Jan_5_2017	552.04	372.03	346.88	367			410(-4.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	16	-33	0.62	46%	-0.73	-25.3	9.51%	0	0.7	56	0
12	Jan_4_2017	556.1	370.09	349.96	340.6			431(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	16	-50	0.45	46%	-0.68	-48.7	9.52%	0	1.2	53	0
13	Jan_3_2017	559.89	367.5	347.47	315.8			401(32.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-10	-10000	11	-71	1.07	46%	-1.26	-71.1	9.5%	0	0.7	53	0
14	Dec_30_2016	567.04	369.34	348.95	300.6			303(4.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-9	-89	0.29	41%	-1	-84.7	8.56%	0	-1.3	50	0
15	Dec_29_2016	572.74	375.56	360.22	312.2			290(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-8	-68	0.52	41%	-0.97	-95.3	8.57%	0	-1.7	48	0

16	Dec_28_2016	578.34	385.88	369.77	323.6			278(-9.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-24	-66	0.47	41%	-0.9	-97.9	8.56%	0	-2	41	0
17	Dec_27_2016	583.61	397.47	384.19	360			307(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-14	-21	0.3	42%	-0.87	-93.2	8.51%	0	-1.7	46	0
18	Dec_23_2016	588.74	407.22	394.22	383.2			325(-9.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-10000	-12	5	0.54	42%	-0.55	-84.1	8.43%	0	-1.3	47	0
19	Dec_22_2016	592	419.34	397.12	404.2			361(4.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-6	11	0.5	45%	-0.47	-94.1	8.35%	0	-1	44	0
20	Dec_21_2016	594.77	431.11	396.74	415.2			347(-24.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.81	45%	-0.63	-85.4	8.39%	0	-1.2	45	0

21	Dec_20_2016	598.57	446.03	401.86	421.4			460(8.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	6	3	0.44	47%	-0.39	-78.1	7.81%	0	0.2	47	0
22	Dec_19_2016	600.92	454.2	392.97	412.4			423(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	3	-30	0.24	45%	-0.36	-76.7	7.87%	0	-0.3	42	0
23	Dec_16_2016	603.07	467.89	389.13	407.6			430(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	12	-50	0.22	45%	-0.35	-71.2	7.87%	0	-0.3	43	0
24	Dec_15_2016	605.18	485.6	390.02	389.6			416(10.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	9	-87	0.34	45%	-0.68	-63.3	7.86%	0	-0.5	36	0
25	Dec_14_2016	609.32	502.25	390.26	376			378(-8.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-2	-129	0.3	43%		-62.1	7.76%	0	-0.9	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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