Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $431.0000 (7.48%) ($413.0000 - $439.0000) on Wed. Jan. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.52% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $431.0000(7.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 7.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(10%)    IGOV(5%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(5%)    UUP(5%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -4.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    PEJ(-14%)    XOP(-13%)    XLY(-13%)    XLE(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.76% (StdDev 9.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $313.1(-27.35%)
5 Day Moving Average   $340.6(26.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $349.96(23.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $370.09(16.46%)
To recent high   -51.6%
To recent low   55%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 14.14% (three month std-dev: 9.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2017	556.1	370.09	349.96	340.6			431(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	16	-50	0.45	46%	-0.68	-48.7	9.52%	0	1.2	53	0
2	Jan_3_2017	559.89	367.5	347.47	315.8			401(32.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-10	-10000	11	-71	1.07	46%	-1.26	-71.1	9.5%	0	0.7	53	0
3	Dec_30_2016	567.04	369.34	348.95	300.6			303(4.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-9	-89	0.29	41%	-1	-84.7	8.56%	0	-1.3	50	0
4	Dec_29_2016	572.74	375.56	360.22	312.2			290(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-8	-68	0.52	41%	-0.97	-95.3	8.57%	0	-1.7	48	0
5	Dec_28_2016	578.34	385.88	369.77	323.6			278(-9.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-24	-66	0.47	41%	-0.9	-97.9	8.56%	0	-2	41	0

6	Dec_27_2016	583.61	397.47	384.19	360			307(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-14	-21	0.3	42%	-0.87	-93.2	8.51%	0	-1.7	46	0
7	Dec_23_2016	588.74	407.22	394.22	383.2			325(-9.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-10000	-12	5	0.54	42%	-0.55	-84.1	8.43%	0	-1.3	47	0
8	Dec_22_2016	592	419.34	397.12	404.2			361(4.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-6	11	0.5	45%	-0.47	-94.1	8.35%	0	-1	44	0
9	Dec_21_2016	594.77	431.11	396.74	415.2			347(-24.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.81	45%	-0.63	-85.4	8.39%	0	-1.2	45	0
10	Dec_20_2016	598.57	446.03	401.86	421.4			460(8.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	6	3	0.44	47%	-0.39	-78.1	7.81%	0	0.2	47	0

11	Dec_19_2016	600.92	454.2	392.97	412.4			423(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	3	-30	0.24	45%	-0.36	-76.7	7.87%	0	-0.3	42	0
12	Dec_16_2016	603.07	467.89	389.13	407.6			430(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	12	-50	0.22	45%	-0.35	-71.2	7.87%	0	-0.3	43	0
13	Dec_15_2016	605.18	485.6	390.02	389.6			416(10.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	9	-87	0.34	45%	-0.68	-63.3	7.86%	0	-0.5	36	0
14	Dec_14_2016	609.32	502.25	390.26	376			378(-8.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-2	-129	0.3	43%	-0.73	-62.1	7.76%	0	-0.9	29	0
15	Dec_13_2016	613.8	522.78	401.45	378.8			415(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-10000	5	-144	0.21	45%	-0.6	-60.4	7.69%	0	-0.7	28	0

16	Dec_12_2016	617.53	539.87	409.75	371			399(17.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	2	-166	0.51	43%	-0.59	-59.1	7.67%	0	-0.9	28	0
17	Dec_9_2016	621.17	561.27	419.33	368.8			340(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-62	-10000	-15	-201	0.46	39%	-0.8	-56	7.45%	0	-1.3	14	0
18	Dec_8_2016	626.2	586.16	442.33	390.8			348(-11.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-10000	-10	-205	0.47	37%	-0.84	-52.8	7.45%	0	-1.4	12	0
19	Dec_7_2016	631.49	610.3	468.02	406.2			392(4.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-10000	-13	-205	0.48	38%	-0.66	-51.3	7.5%	0	-1.3	19	0
20	Dec_6_2016	635.69	635.15	493.85	427.6			376(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-63	-10000	-16	-202	0.37	40%	-0.67	-44.8	7.5%	0	-1.6	16	0

21	Dec_5_2016	640.01	653.66	520.8	454.4			388(-13.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-58	-10000	-13	-192	0.35	40%	-0.62	-42.2	7.56%	0	-1.7	21	0
22	Dec_2_2016	643.99	673.39	553.75	477.2			450(5.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-10000	-13	-187	0.19	42%	-0.53	-37.3	7.44%	0	-1.6	21	0
23	Dec_1_2016	647.44	690.54	589.05	502.2			425(-14.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-57	-10000	-18	-175	0.19	44%	-0.56	-30.2	7.4%	0	-2	17	0
24	Nov_30_2016	651.09	708.36	623.8	539			499(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	-10000	-16	-160	0.14	47%	-0.45	-20.8	7.2%	0	-1.8	21	0
25	Nov_29_2016	654.05	719.38	654.17	571			510(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-13	-146	0.1	47%		-9.3	7.23%	0	-1.9	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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