Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $891.0000 (23.24%) ($814.0000 - $898.9900) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.08% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $891.0000(23.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 5.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ advances 29.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(11%)    IPO(9%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(5%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    PEJ(-14%)    XOP(-13%)    XLY(-13%)    XLE(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.54% (StdDev 7.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8%

5 Day Moving Average   $781.4(14.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $699.78(27.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $574.45(55.1%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   125.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 26% (three month std-dev: 7.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2016	663.81	574.45	699.78	781.4			891(23.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	-10000	15	256	0.17	61%	0.09	63.8	7.08%	0	2.1	88	0
2	Nov_7_2016	663.21	550.54	664.27	741.6			723(-4.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	78	-10000	10	282	0.09	56%	-0.29	56.1	6.49%	0	1.3	86	0
3	Nov_4_2016	665.14	535.17	639.89	719			761(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	-10000	19	289	0.09	56%	-0.32	44.8	6.51%	0	1.8	89	0
4	Nov_3_2016	667.26	519.03	609.8	677.6			776(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	81	-10000	18	269	0.17	53%	-0.27	31.1	6.5%	0	2.2	91	0
5	Nov_2_2016	669.06	505.29	574.38	639.6			756(9.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	72	-10000	16	241	0.13	53%	-0.28	22.4	6.69%	0	2.5	91	0

6	Nov_1_2016	670.92	492.71	540.16	606.6			692(13.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	65	-10000	15	216	0.18	53%	-0.38	13.9	6.61%	0	2.4	77	0
7	Oct_31_2016	673.45	485.24	510.67	577.2			610(10.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	-10000	16	188	0.15	50%	-0.52	6.4	6.5%	0	1.7	74	0
8	Oct_28_2016	677	483.98	490.19	548.8			554(-5.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	11	157	0.12	42%	-0.56	1.2	6.38%	0	0.9	72	0
9	Oct_27_2016	680.82	485.62	475.18	529.6			586(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	19	119	0.19	42%	-0.79	-2	6.93%	0	1.3	67	0
10	Oct_26_2016	686.22	484.07	455.44	497.4			591(8.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	21	58	0.26	42%	-0.74	-11.3	6.93%	0	1.4	54	0

11	Oct_25_2016	691.35	481.44	438.77	463.6			545(16.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	19	2	0.3	39%	-0.83	-20.6	6.87%	0	0.9	49	0
12	Oct_24_2016	697.16	480.41	426.66	435.2			468(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	9	-59	0.1	34%	-1.08	-29.2	6.56%	0	-0.2	32	0
13	Oct_21_2016	704.74	483.05	421.78	423.2			458(7.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	8	-102	0.12	32%	-1.07	-35.6	6.64%	0	-0.3	27	0
14	Oct_20_2016	712.39	487.17	420.98	412.4			425(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-10000	5	-139	0.17	33%	-1.15	-40.3	6.57%	0	-0.9	20	0
15	Oct_19_2016	720.68	492.69	430.72	406.4			422(4.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-3	-150	0.09	33%	-1.4	-45.9	6.66%	0	-1	27	0

16	Oct_18_2016	730.94	496.78	441.41	410			403(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-5	-152	0.07	33%	-0.45	-51.6	6.62%	0	-1.4	27	0
17	Oct_17_2016	734.28	502.19	457.81	416.8			408(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-2	-138	0.07	33%	-1.78	-55.9	6.64%	0	-1.4	33	0
18	Oct_14_2016	747.6	510.29	477.45	420			404(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-8	-124	0.09	33%	-1.81	-59.6	6.64%	0	-1.7	35	0
19	Oct_13_2016	761.35	518.25	497.55	430.8			395(-10.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-18	-109	0.25	33%	-1.73	-66.5	6.63%	0	-2.1	31	0
20	Oct_12_2016	774.75	527.51	516.21	458.6			440(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-13	-79	0.08	34%	-1.68	-67.7	6.52%	0	-1.6	38	0

21	Oct_11_2016	788.02	535.07	528.61	478.2			437(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-17	-55	0.17	38%	-1.53	-75.7	6.52%	0	-2	46	0
22	Oct_10_2016	800.28	542.52	539.71	505.8			424(-7.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-22	-10000	-21	-26	0.15	38%	-1.53	-81.2	6.67%	0	-2.6	43	0
23	Oct_7_2016	812.7	551.14	551.23	543.6			458(-14.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-11	-10000	-16	4	0.27	40%	-1.5	-73.4	6.64%	0	-2.2	39	0
24	Oct_6_2016	825.05	561.03	560.95	573.6			534(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-4	37	0.22	43%	-1.54	-59.4	6.43%	0	-0.7	49	0
25	Oct_5_2016	837.92	566.4	561.35	582			538(-6.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-2	40	0.11	50%		-37.9	6.44%	0	-0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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