Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: DGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN)
DGAZ latest price $694.0000 (7.1%) ($661.0000 - $695.0000) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.31% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $694.0000(7.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DGAZ advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DGAZ declines -8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(10%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(5%)    TIP(5%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting DGAZ price   DGAZ will decline at least -3.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-99%)    PEJ(-14%)    XOP(-13%)    XLY(-12%)    XLE(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.655% (StdDev 7.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

Resistance Level   $754.04
5 Day Moving Average   $678.6(2.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $707.06(-1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $754.04(-7.96%)
To recent high   -61.3%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DGAZ price fluctuates within 9.44% (three month std-dev: 7.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	1337.6	754.04	707.06	678.6			694(7.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	5	-70	0.07	34%	-0.97	-23.5	7.31%	0	-0.8	45	0
2	Aug_4_2016	1350.74	756.48	713.27	667			648(2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-20	-10000	1	-81	0.08	33%	-1.14	-25.4	7.33%	0	-1.6	43	0
3	Aug_3_2016	1366.31	763.26	731.9	665.2			635(-12.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-15	-84	0.08	33%	-1.16	-25.4	7.37%	0	-2	41	0
4	Aug_2_2016	1382.35	769.85	755.46	703.4			724(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-7	-54	0.08	39%	-1.17	-7.8	7.26%	0	-0.8	48	0
5	Aug_1_2016	1398.68	772.92	763.71	722.8			692(8.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-7	-41	0.08	39%	-1.16	-1.8	7.42%	0	-1.4	44	0

6	Jul_29_2016	1415.14	771.19	775.47	741.4			636(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-9	-33	0.06	34%	-1.22	-11.2	7.37%	0	-2.1	35	0
7	Jul_28_2016	1432.69	774.69	791.76	766			639(-22.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-14	-10000	-13	-17	0.22	38%	-1.34	-13.5	7.49%	0	-2.3	47	0
8	Jul_27_2016	1452.17	780.21	808.94	805.8			826(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-3	11	0.09	42%	-1.35	-6.9	7.15%	0	0.9	58	0
9	Jul_26_2016	1471.99	774.44	804.95	815			821(4.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	1	23	0.09	42%	-1.32	-10.2	7.16%	0	0.9	60	0
10	Jul_25_2016	1491.63	773.99	801.98	812.2			785(3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-1	22	0.06	42%	-1.49	-12.5	7.16%	0	0.2	52	0

11	Jul_22_2016	1514.24	778.45	804.96	816			759(-9.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-2	42	0.09	42%	-1.63	-11.7	7.21%	0	-0.3	67	0
12	Jul_21_2016	1539.28	782.91	803.62	820.6			838(-3.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	54	0.08	44%	-1.43	-17.8	7.17%	0	0.9	67	0
13	Jul_20_2016	1561.54	783.85	796.88	811.4			872(8.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	6	56	0.07	44%	-1.17	-26.9	7.16%	0	1.4	63	0
14	Jul_19_2016	1580.02	779.97	784.2	794.2			807(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	1	49	0.05	37%	-1.33	-45.3	7.07%	0	0.4	61	0
15	Jul_18_2016	1601.28	780.8	781.33	791.2			804(2.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-1	41	0.06	37%	-1.07	-53.9	7.51%	0	0.4	50	0

16	Jul_15_2016	1618.6	785.47	765.41	793.2			782(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	3	19	0.07	37%	-1.09	-51.6	7.52%	0	-0.1	44	0
17	Jul_14_2016	1636.43	793.99	755.9	783.4			792(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	1	-3	0.07	37%	-0.95	-46.1	7.6%	0	-0	47	0
18	Jul_13_2016	1652.13	801.29	749.38	779.4			786(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	2	-19	0.06	37%	-0.95	-51.8	7.68%	0	-0.2	46	0
19	Jul_12_2016	1668.02	808.39	741.58	772.2			792(-2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	1	-32	0.05	35%	-0.87	-58.5	7.69%	0	-0.2	51	0
20	Jul_11_2016	1682.63	815.37	743.22	770			814(11.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	13	-30	0.08	38%	-0.84	-64.4	7.83%	0	-0	51	0

21	Jul_8_2016	1696.9	822.02	748.32	733.8			733(-5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	-10000	4	-55	0.04	35%	-0.77	-80.2	7.8%	0	-0.9	41	0
22	Jul_7_2016	1710.11	831.97	759.59	723.4			772(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	3	-69	0.08	32%	-0.6	-93.6	7.81%	0	-0.6	40	0
23	Jul_6_2016	1720.43	848.31	768.47	714.8			750(-3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	3	-77	0.07	32%	-0.67	-86.8	8.09%	0	-0.8	39	0
24	Jul_5_2016	1732.07	865.08	774.1	706.6			781(23.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-3	-92	0.13	32%	-0.57	-92.3	8.16%	0	-0.7	42	0
25	Jul_1_2016	1741.98	881.26	778.62	715			633(-7.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-17	-109	0.09	23%		-90.7	7.63%	0	-1.7	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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